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Illinois State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-76
29-47 38-29
Position#303
Record6-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#84
Record11-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illinois State v Indiana State
02 Jan 2027
ILLI v INDI
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
ILLI85
INDI65
21 Jan 2025
ILLI85
INDI81
04 Jan 2023
ILLI67
INDI76
03 Mar 2022
ILLI58
INDI53
26 Feb 2022
ILLI86
INDI66
17 Jan 2021
ILLI68
INDI74
16 Jan 2021
ILLI65
INDI73
08 Feb 2020
ILLI74
INDI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#199
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
67-70 OT
67
70
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
31-40
22-24
22-33
27-35
35-27
30-31
57-46
41-35
46-46
33-34
44-37
34-41
35-42
33-23
33-29
17-33
34-22
25-31
35-35
136.4Avg total
67.4Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)66.268.3134.5-2.140%
Season at home (7)73.169.7142.9+3.457%
Season away (8)60.167.0127.1-6.925%
Last 10 (10)67.469.0136.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)64.665.4130.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.574.0142.5-5.520%
vs Similar (12)63.364.9128.2-1.642%
vs Weaker (3)78.064.3142.3+13.767%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#172
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
105-68
105
68
+37
H27/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H01/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
88-61
88
61
+27
A03/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A08/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A17/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
91-63
91
63
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-35
45-46
51-24
54-44
42-34
33-39
58-28
30-33
39-28
35-43
36-40
41-37
36-37
50-55
29-35
28-32
39-22
52-41
36-24
32-26
152.8Avg total
81.4Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.270.1151.3+11.173%
Season at home (10)81.768.9150.6+12.880%
Season away (5)80.272.4152.6+7.860%
Last 10 (10)81.471.4152.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)77.472.0149.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.575.5142.0-9.012%
vs Similar (6)66.571.3137.8-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.970.0149.9+9.969%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.4+0.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.4+0.4
Illinois StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#199
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A22/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H04/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H10/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
17-33
17
33
-16
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H31/12
NCAA
62.2Avg total
29.7Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.633.464.0-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.933.567.4+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)27.333.360.6-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)29.732.562.2-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.432.460.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.034.965.9-3.927%-
vs Similar (12)28.632.661.2-4.033%-
vs Weaker (3)36.729.366.0+7.3100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#172
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H27/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
58-28
58
28
+30
A03/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A08/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A01/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
40.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.168.6+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.832.470.2+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)34.831.666.4+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)40.630.771.3+9.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.666.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.934.068.9+0.962%-
vs Similar (6)34.034.268.2-0.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.230.368.6+7.975%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illinois State wins
4
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HNorthern Iowa60-66
29/12/22AIllinois (Chi.)51-55
20/12/22HChicago State66-52
17/12/22ABall State69-83
10/12/22HSiu Edwardsville77-71
08/12/22HEastern Michigan87-81
04/12/22HBelmont87-77
02/12/22AMurray State67-70 OT
23/11/22ARhode Island44-57
22/11/22AWestern Kentucky66-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/23AValparaiso68-50
30/12/22HEvansville91-63
22/12/22HNorthern Illinois57-67
17/12/22ADuquesne86-92
11/12/22ASouthern Indiana85-88 OT
08/12/22ASouthern Illinois74-71
03/12/22AMiami (FL)88-61
01/12/22HDrake75-73
27/11/22HTrinity (IL)105-68
23/11/22HDrexel85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game66.273.160.1
Allowed / game68.369.767.0
Point differential-2.1+3.4-6.9
Avg total134.5142.9127.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Indiana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %73%80%60%
Points / game81.281.780.2
Allowed / game70.168.972.4
Point differential+11.1+12.8+7.8
Avg total151.3150.6152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1511473%81.270.1+11.1
2 Drake1511473%73.564.0+9.5
3 Southern Illinois1511473%68.160.5+7.6
4 Bradley1510567%69.358.7+10.5
5 Belmont159660%74.171.5+2.6
6 Illinois (Chi.)159660%66.967.5-0.7
7 Murray State148657%71.468.6+2.7
8 Northern Iowa157847%69.666.1+3.5
9 Illinois State156940%66.268.3-2.1
10 Valparaiso1661038%68.273.1-4.8
11 Evansville1541127%62.072.3-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State293867
Indiana State472976
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