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Indiana vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 69-68
25-36 44-32
Position#153
Record7-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.3
Indiana 🏆
USA
vs
Morehead State
USA
Position#34
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game65.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Indiana v Morehead State
19 Dec 2023
INDI69
MORE68
07 Nov 2022
INDI88
MORE53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Army
#324
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H13/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H17/11
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H19/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A20/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A06/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
76-104
76
104
-28
H09/12
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-26
41-37
32-31
40-33
54-49
35-31
30-37
27-40
34-29
40-37
39-40
50-36
40-28
25-25
37-39
41-36
34-52
42-52
40-32
31-43
147.3Avg total
74.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.073.3147.3+0.770%
Season at home (8)73.574.0147.5-0.562%
Season away (2)76.070.5146.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)74.073.3147.3+0.770%
Last 5 (5)75.876.6152.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.574.8146.3-3.350%
vs Similar (20)71.971.0142.9+0.965%
vs Weaker (4)69.060.8129.8+8.2100%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shawnee State
#631
W
96-40
96
40
+56
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
94-53
94
53
+41
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A30/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A10/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
102-33
102
33
+69
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-20
47-20
29-42
28-45
38-30
36-36
26-37
25-37
22-20
42-31
36-33
58-20
27-27
34-23
40-36
47-44
30-37
56-40
52-19
50-14
138.3Avg total
77.2Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.865.1141.9+11.773%
Season at home (5)90.654.4145.0+36.2100%
Season away (6)65.374.0139.3-8.750%
Last 10 (10)77.261.1138.3+16.180%
Last 5 (5)86.058.6144.6+27.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (13)68.369.8138.1-1.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.060.7136.7+15.387%
This opponent (Indiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +11.3+11.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +11.3+11.3
IndianaMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Army
#324
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H13/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H19/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H02/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H09/12
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/12
NCAA
73.1Avg total
36.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.969.4-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (20)35.934.770.6+1.160%-
Last 30 away (10)31.835.467.2-3.630%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.373.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.276.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.837.576.3+1.367%-
vs Similar (20)33.935.269.1-1.440%-
vs Weaker (4)31.229.560.8+1.875%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shawnee State
#631
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H15/12
NCAA
65.0Avg total
34.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.830.665.3+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.828.266.0+9.687%-
Last 30 away (15)31.732.964.7-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)34.930.165.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.467.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (13)34.032.466.4+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.128.264.3+7.980%-
This opponent (Indiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Indiana wins
0
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
08/11/22Indiana v Morehead State88-53
Indianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HKansas71-75
09/12/23HAuburn76-104
06/12/23AMichigan78-75
02/12/23HMaryland65-53
26/11/23HHarvard89-76
20/11/23ALouisville74-66
19/11/23HUconn57-77
17/11/23HWright State89-80
13/11/23HArmy72-64
07/11/23HFlorida Gulf Coast69-63
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HSMWC Pomeroys102-33
10/12/23ANorth Alabama86-77
03/12/23HChattanooga Mocs87-80
30/11/23AAustin Peay61-50
22/11/23HMidway94-53
20/11/23ABellarmine64-51
18/11/23APenn State51-74
15/11/23HMercer74-66
11/11/23APurdue57-87
09/11/23HShawnee State96-40

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %70%62%100%
Points / game74.073.576.0
Allowed / game73.374.070.5
Point differential+0.7-0.5+5.5
Avg total147.3147.5146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game76.890.665.3
Allowed / game65.154.474.0
Point differential+11.7+36.2-8.7
Avg total141.9145.0139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1110191%86.270.5+15.7
2 Ohio State119282%79.566.6+12.9
3 Nebraska119282%75.964.9+11.0
4 Illinois108280%79.464.2+15.2
5 Northwestern108280%73.664.8+8.8
6 Minnesota118373%80.567.0+13.5
7 Wisconsin118373%73.666.0+7.6
8 Washington107370%84.075.3+8.7
9 Rutgers107370%69.160.9+8.2
10 Oregon107370%78.571.0+7.5
11 Indiana107370%74.073.3+0.7
12 Maryland106460%73.464.4+9.0
13 UCLA95456%68.159.7+8.4
14 Michigan State116555%74.464.5+9.9
15 Iowa116555%85.177.4+7.7
16 Michigan116555%82.275.9+6.3
17 USC105550%78.574.5+4.0
18 Penn State115645%76.872.4+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State118373%76.865.1+11.7
2 Tennessee State127558%77.570.3+7.2
3 Siu Edwardsville127558%72.969.1+3.8
4 Eastern Illinois126650%72.863.5+9.2
5 Western Illinois126650%72.568.2+4.3
6 UT Martin126650%85.781.8+3.9
7 UALR126650%80.479.4+1.0
8 Lindenwood115645%67.372.4-5.1
9 Tennessee Tech125742%72.576.5-4.0
10 Southeast Missouri State114736%70.073.7-3.7
11 Southern Indiana112918%65.071.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana254469
Morehead State363268
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