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North Alabama vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-86
37-30 40-56
Position#236
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#34
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Alabama v Morehead State
10 Dec 2023
NORT77
MORE86
30 Nov 2019
NORT67
MORE57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#3
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A18/03
CBI
Blue Mountain
#503
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H07/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H10/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
54-81
54
81
-27
A15/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A26/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H01/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
74-75 OT
74
75
-1
A02/12
NCAA
Rust College
#594
W
109-65
109
65
+44
H07/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-34
0-0
16-38
0-0
50-33
0-0
43-27
0-0
40-30
0-0
43-37
0-0
28-36
0-0
26-45
0-0
20-22
0-0
41-37
0-0
39-36
0-0
47-50
0-0
30-45
0-0
33-36
0-0
32-38
0-0
54-33
0-0
31-23
0-0
34-42
0-0
57-26
0-0
52-39
151.2Avg total
77.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.773.8154.4+6.956%
Season at home (5)86.464.4150.8+22.0100%
Season away (4)73.585.5159.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)77.673.6151.2+4.050%
Last 5 (5)87.079.4166.4+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.882.2152.0-12.422%
vs Similar (12)74.876.7151.4-1.950%
vs Weaker (6)82.065.7147.7+16.3100%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#2
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
96-40
96
40
+56
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
94-53
94
53
+41
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A30/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-39
0-0
32-38
0-0
35-55
0-0
38-50
0-0
49-20
0-0
47-20
0-0
29-42
0-0
28-45
0-0
38-30
0-0
36-36
0-0
26-37
0-0
25-37
0-0
22-20
0-0
42-31
0-0
36-33
0-0
58-20
0-0
27-27
0-0
34-23
0-0
40-36
0-0
47-44
139.9Avg total
71.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.067.3140.3+5.767%
Season at home (4)87.859.8147.5+28.0100%
Season away (5)61.273.4134.6-12.240%
Last 10 (10)71.668.3139.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)71.461.6133.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (15)68.569.7138.3-1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)73.261.6134.8+11.685%
This opponent (North Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +4.3+4.3
North AlabamaMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/03
CBI
Blue Mountain
#503
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H01/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A02/12
NCAA
Rust College
#594
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H07/12
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.467.5+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.568.6+5.553%-
Last 30 away (15)31.135.366.3-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.132.368.4+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.671.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.937.468.3-6.633%-
vs Similar (12)32.232.364.6-0.142%-
vs Weaker (6)37.533.270.7+4.350%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.530.865.3+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.828.965.6+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)32.432.665.0-0.156%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.966.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.230.660.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (15)34.332.366.7+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)35.428.263.6+7.285%-
This opponent (North Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
North Alabama wins
0
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HRust College109-65
02/12/23AKansas State74-75 OT
01/12/23HTennessee Tech86-71
26/11/23AWestern Carolina63-81
22/11/23AUT Martin103-105 OT
19/11/23HJacksonville State61-59
15/11/23AMississippi St.54-81
10/11/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs83-67
07/11/23HBlue Mountain93-60
18/03/23ASouthern Utah50-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HChattanooga Mocs87-80
30/11/23AAustin Peay61-50
22/11/23HMidway94-53
20/11/23ABellarmine64-51
18/11/23APenn State51-74
15/11/23HMercer74-66
11/11/23APurdue57-87
09/11/23HShawnee State96-40
07/11/23AAlabama73-105
19/03/23AUAB59-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%100%0%
Points / game80.786.473.5
Allowed / game73.864.485.5
Point differential+6.9+22.0-12.0
Avg total154.4150.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %22%0%50%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game73.087.861.2
Allowed / game67.359.873.4
Point differential+5.7+28.0-12.2
Avg total140.3147.5134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville75271%76.771.9+4.9
2 Stetson106460%78.666.8+11.8
3 North Alabama95456%80.773.8+6.9
4 Lipscomb116555%80.575.3+5.3
5 North Florida116555%77.272.0+5.2
6 Queens Royals116555%82.377.5+4.8
7 Austin Peay115645%66.763.6+3.1
8 Eastern Kentucky73443%87.177.9+9.3
9 Bellarmine114736%70.868.0+2.8
10 Florida Gulf Coast113827%68.974.8-5.9
11 Central Arkansas112918%70.277.1-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State96367%76.770.3+6.3
2 Morehead State96367%73.067.3+5.7
3 UT Martin95456%84.483.3+1.1
4 Siu Edwardsville116555%70.570.3+0.3
5 Eastern Illinois105550%71.662.3+9.3
6 Western Illinois115645%70.769.3+1.5
7 UALR104640%79.280.3-1.1
8 Tennessee Tech93633%71.978.2-6.3
9 Lindenwood93633%65.173.9-8.8
10 Southeast Missouri State103730%68.375.2-6.9
11 Southern Indiana112918%65.071.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Alabama374077
Morehead State305686
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