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Ionikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-98
25-29 11-20 19-24 24-25
Position#12
Record4-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game88.6
Ionikos
Greece
vs
AEK Athens 🏆
Greece
Position#5
Record9-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game74.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 17
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ionikos v AEK Athens
04 Mar 2023
ION79
AAT98
30 Oct 2021
ION59
AAT65
24 Oct 2020
ION68
AAT81
15 Apr 2020
ION v AAT
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ionikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IonikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIonikos
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
H27/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
67-96
67
96
-29
55avg 64
A03/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
no box
H11/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
63-95
63
95
-32
56avg 64
A02/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
56avg 64
H07/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
48-89
48
89
-41
39avg 64
A14/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
55avg 64
H21/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
62avg 64
A28/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
61avg 64
H05/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 64
A12/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
22-17
21-19
10-8
17-26
20-20
13-30
17-20
22-12
11-14
18-25
28-28
20-19
12-21
9-30
22-25
28-13
15-19
17-19
18-20
12-25
12-17
9-21
15-26
22-23
13-22
13-19
18-10
10-28
20-27
15-30
25-17
25-20
13-19
16-14
20-18
9-27
11-21
18-20
30-32
157.3Avg total
70.3Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.488.6162.0-15.225%
Season at home (8)77.483.1160.5-5.850%
Season away (8)69.494.1163.5-24.80%
Last 10 (10)70.387.0157.3-16.730%
Last 5 (5)65.287.2152.4-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.086.0160.0-12.027%
vs Similar (8)80.085.2165.2-5.212%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
75avg 72
A14/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
67avg 72
A21/01
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 72
A25/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 72
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
W
81-71
81
71
+10
78avg 72
A31/01
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H07/02
Champions League
Lavrio
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
76avg 72
H11/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
no box
A16/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
15-17
16-18
15-9
17-15
18-10
23-23
11-13
20-29
19-15
15-15
12-29
16-16
15-17
21-13
16-18
18-19
17-17
26-21
20-14
19-26
16-13
16-19
13-16
14-25
21-17
24-23
23-7
20-23
16-19
20-25
25-28
21-28
23-18
23-25
17-13
21-24
18-10
14-19
12-24
149.3Avg total
73.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.574.8148.3-1.356%
Season at home (8)76.274.5150.8+1.862%
Season away (8)70.875.1145.9-4.450%
Last 10 (10)73.975.4149.3-1.560%
Last 5 (5)77.081.2158.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.181.9154.0-9.838%
vs Similar (13)74.476.0150.4-1.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.969.7148.6+9.289%
This opponent (Ionikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
IonikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IonikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H27/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H11/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A02/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A14/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A28/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
20-48
20
48
-28
A12/02
Basket League
76.1Avg total
34.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.442.479.8-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.940.679.6-1.735%-
Last 30 away (13)35.344.880.1-9.515%-
Last 10 (10)34.042.176.1-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.445.875.2-16.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.443.179.5-6.723%-
vs Similar (8)40.040.680.6-0.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A21/01
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/01
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/02
Champions League
Lavrio
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A16/02
Greek Cup
Peristeri
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/02
Greek Cup
74.6Avg total
36.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.474.4-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.335.471.6+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)37.839.176.9-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.874.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.678.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.940.076.9-3.125%-
vs Similar (13)34.738.573.2-3.815%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.733.374.0+7.378%-
This opponent (Ionikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ionikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ionikos: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.5
48.1%
53.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.0
27.7%
33.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.611.8
75.6%
71.9%11.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.8
51.0%
53.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.3%
71.9%11.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ionikos
LWLLLWLLLW
AEK Athens
LWLWLWWLWW
#12
League position
#5
-23.7
Net rating
-7.3
89.7
Offensive rating
101.7
113.3
Defensive rating
109.0
45.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
20.3%
Turnover %
21.1%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.7%
3-point %
34.3%
75.5%
Assist %
72.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 101.7Defence113.3 · 109.0Shooting45.4% · 51.2%3-point %27.7% · 34.3%Ball care20.3% · 21.1%Off. rebounds22.3% · 30.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Ionikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ionikos wins
6
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22AEK Athens v Ionikos92-77
19/03/22AEK Athens v Ionikos92-75
30/10/21Ionikos v AEK Athens59-65
23/01/21AEK Athens v Ionikos81-74
24/10/20Ionikos v AEK Athens68-81
28/12/19AEK Athens v Ionikos103-70
Ionikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AOlympiacos68-100
05/02/23HPAOK74-71
28/01/23APanathinaikos70-102
21/01/23HPromitheas66-74
14/01/23AKolossos Rhodes48-89
07/01/23HAS Karditsas78-71
02/01/23ALavrio63-95
11/12/22HAris90-97 OT
03/12/22APeristeri67-96
27/11/22HApollon Patras79-75
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HPeristeri65-77
16/02/23APanionios93-88 OT
11/02/23HLavrio81-95
07/02/23HLimoges82-72
04/02/23AAris64-74
31/01/23AGalatasaray81-71
28/01/23HPeristeri68-64
25/01/23AUnicaja66-88
21/01/23AApollon Patras69-61
14/01/23AAS Karditsas70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ionikos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game73.477.469.4
Allowed / game88.683.194.1
Point differential-15.2-5.8-24.8
Avg total162.0160.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL56%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game73.576.270.8
Allowed / game74.874.575.1
Point differential-1.3+1.8-4.4
Avg total148.3150.8145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos15150100%93.670.2+23.4
2 Panathinaikos1513287%83.968.7+15.2
3 Promitheas1710759%76.476.5-0.2
4 Peristeri169756%82.778.4+4.3
5 Aris169756%76.474.9+1.5
6 AEK Athens169756%73.574.8-1.3
7 Kolossos Rhodes158753%75.575.7-0.2
8 PAOK179853%80.077.2+2.8
9 Ionikos1641225%73.488.6-15.2
10 Lavrio1531220%74.983.3-8.5
11 AS Karditsas1631319%71.080.3-9.3
12 Apollon Patras1631319%68.279.0-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ionikos2511192479
AEK Athens2920242598
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