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Aris vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 74-64
26-19 13-16 19-16 16-13
Position#7
Record7-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game75.7
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#5
Record9-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game73.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 15
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Aris v AEK Athens
10 Oct 2026
ARI88
AAT58
17 May 2026
ARI90
AAT81
04 Apr 2026
ARI82
AAT78
05 Oct 2024
ARI59
AAT70
29 Oct 2023
ARI75
AAT64
04 Feb 2023
ARI74
AAT64
13 Mar 2022
ARI91
AAT73
27 Mar 2021
ARI68
AAT73
04 Apr 2020
ARI v AAT
upcoming
08 Dec 2018
ARI77
AAT81
14 Oct 2017
ARI64
AAT62
31 May 2017
ARI85
AAT91
13 Apr 2017
ARI81
AAT77
14 Jan 2017
ARI77
AAT76
07 Oct 2015
ARI64
AAT61
19 May 2015
ARI79
AAT68
13 May 2015
ARI71
AAT69
06 Dec 2014
ARI86
AAT75
13 Apr 2011
ARI78
AAT74
20 Mar 2010
ARI79
AAT76
29 Nov 2008
ARI77
AAT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
70-57
70
57
+13
65avg 64
H05/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
81avg 64
A19/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
85-68
85
68
+17
71avg 64
H26/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
81avg 64
H04/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
no box
A11/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
68-74
68
74
-6
53avg 64
H26/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
61-64
61
64
-3
48avg 64
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
65avg 64
A15/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
77-70
77
70
+7
64avg 64
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 64
A29/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
19-10
17-15
23-10
21-23
23-30
28-18
18-21
15-13
29-18
17-22
24-15
25-18
23-17
17-16
22-10
12-22
14-11
25-18
28-28
13-22
19-13
14-14
22-25
16-19
15-17
16-13
14-15
7-24
17-21
25-29
30-22
20-16
19-22
20-15
18-17
13-16
18-29
24-22
20-22
155.0Avg total
78.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.175.7151.9+0.450%
Season at home (7)74.668.3142.9+6.371%
Season away (7)77.783.1160.9-5.429%
Last 10 (10)78.976.1155.0+2.850%
Last 5 (5)72.078.6150.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.989.8164.7-14.910%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.173.5147.6+0.657%
vs Weaker (5)82.470.0152.4+12.480%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#38
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 72
H21/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
H27/12
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
73-70
73
70
+3
73avg 72
H04/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
61avg 72
A08/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 72
A10/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
75avg 72
A14/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
67avg 72
A21/01
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 72
A25/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 72
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
W
81-71
81
71
+10
78avg 72
A31/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
15-20
26-16
30-16
21-20
15-19
16-17
19-27
16-20
19-17
17-12
21-21
27-31
11-29
20-28
13-23
9-18
29-24
23-10
24-30
24-20
15-17
16-18
15-9
17-15
18-10
23-23
11-13
20-29
19-15
15-15
12-29
16-16
15-17
21-13
16-18
18-19
17-17
26-21
20-14
150.0Avg total
73.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.673.4147.1+0.264%
Season at home (7)75.671.6147.1+4.071%
Season away (7)71.775.3147.0-3.657%
Last 10 (10)73.476.6150.0-3.270%
Last 5 (5)70.869.6140.4+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.582.9152.4-13.425%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.577.9155.4-0.457%
vs Weaker (8)78.666.5145.1+12.1100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
ArisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H05/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H26/11
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H04/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A11/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/01
Basket League
73.2Avg total
34.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.973.9-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.537.373.9-0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)33.540.574.0-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.373.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.871.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.445.075.4-14.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.536.774.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker (5)35.432.067.4+3.440%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#38
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H21/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/12
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H04/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A08/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A10/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A21/01
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/01
Champions League
74.3Avg total
35.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.174.3+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.934.571.4+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.476.8-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.374.3-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.940.476.2-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.638.073.6-2.421%-
vs Weaker (8)41.232.273.5+9.088%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.0
49.9%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.8
30.6%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.69.8
67.1%
71.9%9.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.8
50.8%
53.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.6%
71.9%11.9
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LWLLLWWWLW
AEK Athens
WWLWWWLWLW
#7
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
-4.9
101.8
Offensive rating
102.5
97.0
Defensive rating
107.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.6%
3-point %
34.6%
54.9%
Assist %
68.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 102.5Defence97.0 · 107.4Shooting48.2% · 51.3%3-point %30.6% · 34.6%Ball care18.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds33.9% · 28.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aris wins
7
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
29/10/22AEK Athens v Aris63-76
13/03/22Aris v AEK Athens91-73
23/10/21AEK Athens v Aris64-63
27/03/21Aris v AEK Athens68-73
20/12/20AEK Athens v Aris84-67
13/12/19AEK Athens v Aris92-79
30/03/19AEK Athens v Aris81-73
08/12/18Aris v AEK Athens77-81
03/02/18AEK Athens v Aris73-64
14/10/17Aris v AEK Athens64-62
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23AOlympiacos75-89
22/01/23HPAOK77-70
15/01/23APanathinaikos79-96
07/01/23APromitheas61-64
26/12/22HKolossos Rhodes68-74
11/12/22AIonikos97-90 OT
04/12/22HLavrio87-61
26/11/22HAS Karditsas85-68
19/11/22APeristeri90-92
05/11/22HApollon Patras70-57
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/23AGalatasaray81-71
28/01/23HPeristeri68-64
25/01/23AUnicaja66-88
21/01/23AApollon Patras69-61
14/01/23AAS Karditsas70-64
10/01/23ATofas85-82
08/01/23AOlympiacos71-111
04/01/23HTofas73-70
27/12/22HPAOK71-83
21/12/22HKarsiyaka80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game76.174.677.7
Allowed / game75.768.383.1
Point differential+0.4+6.3-5.4
Avg total151.9142.9160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game73.675.671.7
Allowed / game73.471.675.3
Point differential+0.2+4.0-3.6
Avg total147.1147.1147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos14140100%93.170.4+22.8
2 Panathinaikos1412286%83.667.9+15.7
3 AEK Athens149564%73.673.4+0.2
4 Peristeri159660%82.977.9+5.0
5 Promitheas159660%75.376.3-1.1
6 PAOK148657%80.876.1+4.6
7 Kolossos Rhodes148657%75.074.7+0.3
8 Aris147750%76.175.7+0.4
9 Ionikos1431121%73.789.1-15.4
10 Apollon Patras1531220%67.878.8-11.0
11 Lavrio1421214%73.483.5-10.1
12 AS Karditsas1521313%70.080.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2613191674
AEK Athens1916161364
← all games of the day
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