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AEK Athens vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:14
Final 81-95
20-23 16-19 20-25 25-28
Position#5
Record9-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Lavrio 🏆
Greece
Position#9
Record2-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game83.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 16
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · AEK Athens v Lavrio
21 Dec 2024
AAT97
LAV86
14 Apr 2024
AAT100
LAV67
07 Oct 2023
AAT93
LAV98
11 Feb 2023
AAT81
LAV95
10 Apr 2022
AAT90
LAV75
03 Apr 2021
AAT94
LAV97
14 Mar 2020
AAT v LAV
upcoming
15 Dec 2018
AAT83
LAV64
24 Mar 2018
AAT96
LAV86
15 Oct 2016
AAT96
LAV56
07 Dec 2013
AAT80
LAV68
17 Dec 2011
AAT97
LAV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
W
73-70
73
70
+3
73avg 72
H04/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
61avg 72
A08/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 72
A10/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
75avg 72
A14/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
67avg 72
A21/01
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 72
A25/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 72
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
W
81-71
81
71
+10
78avg 72
A31/01
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H07/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
19-17
17-12
21-21
27-31
11-29
20-28
13-23
9-18
29-24
23-10
24-30
24-20
15-17
16-18
15-9
17-15
18-10
23-23
11-13
20-29
19-15
15-15
12-29
16-16
15-17
21-13
16-18
18-19
17-17
26-21
20-14
19-26
16-13
16-19
13-16
14-25
21-17
24-23
23-7
148.6Avg total
72.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.073.5146.5-0.560%
Season at home (7)75.671.6147.1+4.071%
Season away (8)70.875.1145.9-4.450%
Last 10 (10)72.975.7148.6-2.870%
Last 5 (5)72.273.8146.0-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.582.9152.4-13.425%
vs Similar (14)75.977.0152.9-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.666.5145.1+12.1100%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
51avg 67
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
L
54-71
54
71
-17
46avg 67
A20/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 67
H26/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
61-87
61
87
-26
59avg 67
A04/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H10/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
95-63
95
63
+32
96avg 67
H02/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 67
A08/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
A14/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 67
H22/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
60avg 67
A29/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
19-19
21-19
13-26
23-15
10-23
10-14
11-19
26-20
10-23
21-21
22-21
18-25
17-23
16-17
10-22
18-26
20-16
22-22
21-16
19-20
21-12
30-9
25-22
20-28
29-20
22-16
16-26
17-26
12-15
19-18
23-15
25-18
17-21
25-28
17-19
17-26
15-31
19-22
17-14
156.0Avg total
74.7Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.483.5156.9-10.114%
Season at home (7)79.480.4159.9-1.029%
Season away (7)67.486.6154.0-19.10%
Last 10 (10)74.781.3156.0-6.620%
Last 5 (5)81.081.2162.2-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.485.9158.4-13.56%
vs Similar (11)72.281.0153.2-8.827%
vs Weaker (1)95.063.0158.0+32.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
AEK AthensLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H04/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A08/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A10/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A21/01
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/01
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/01
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/02
Basket League
Limoges
#28
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/02
Champions League
75.5Avg total
36.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.474.5-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.935.172.1+1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)37.239.376.6-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.039.575.5-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.873.8-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.940.476.2-4.525%-
vs Similar (14)35.438.674.0-3.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.232.273.5+9.088%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/11
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/12
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A08/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A14/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A29/01
Basket League
79.4Avg total
36.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.743.279.9-6.620%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.740.077.7-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.746.582.1-10.87%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.779.4-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.481.8-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.944.281.1-7.418%-
vs Similar (11)35.941.877.7-5.918%-
vs Weaker (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.8
50.1%
53.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.712.4
70.1%
71.9%12.4
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.1
52.0%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.4
29.5%
33.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.815.3
70.2%
71.9%15.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWWLWWWLW
Lavrio
LLLLWWLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-5.0
Net rating
-9.2
101.7
Offensive rating
99.4
106.7
Defensive rating
108.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.8%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.4%
3-point %
29.5%
76.8%
Assist %
69.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 99.4Defence106.7 · 108.6Shooting50.8% · 48.7%3-point %34.4% · 29.5%Ball care20.8% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.8% · 24.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Athens wins
3
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
05/11/22Lavrio v AEK Athens67-84
10/04/22AEK Athens v Lavrio90-75
20/11/21Lavrio v AEK Athens81-82
26/09/21Lavrio v AEK Athens67-86
03/04/21AEK Athens v Lavrio94-97 OT
10/02/21Lavrio v AEK Athens90-85 OT
27/12/20Lavrio v AEK Athens78-70
23/11/19Lavrio v AEK Athens60-73
06/04/19Lavrio v AEK Athens94-100 OT
15/12/18AEK Athens v Lavrio83-64
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/23HLimoges82-72
04/02/23AAris64-74
31/01/23AGalatasaray81-71
28/01/23HPeristeri68-64
25/01/23AUnicaja66-88
21/01/23AApollon Patras69-61
14/01/23AAS Karditsas70-64
10/01/23ATofas85-82
08/01/23AOlympiacos71-111
04/01/23HTofas73-70
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23APAOK68-93
22/01/23HPanathinaikos84-86
14/01/23APromitheas71-74
08/01/23AKolossos Rhodes87-90
02/01/23HIonikos95-63
10/12/22HAS Karditsas81-80
04/12/22AAris61-87
26/11/22HPeristeri79-85
20/11/22AApollon Patras54-71
05/11/22HAEK Athens67-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game73.075.670.8
Allowed / game73.571.675.1
Point differential-0.5+4.0-4.4
Avg total146.5147.1145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lavrio
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%29%0%
Points / game73.479.467.4
Allowed / game83.580.486.6
Point differential-10.1-1.0-19.1
Avg total156.9159.9154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos14140100%93.170.4+22.8
2 Panathinaikos1412286%83.667.9+15.7
3 AEK Athens159660%73.073.5-0.5
4 Promitheas159660%75.376.3-1.1
5 PAOK169756%80.776.4+4.3
6 Peristeri169756%82.778.4+4.3
7 Aris158753%76.074.9+1.1
8 Kolossos Rhodes158753%75.575.7-0.2
9 Ionikos1541127%73.787.9-14.1
10 Apollon Patras1531220%67.878.8-11.0
11 AS Karditsas1631319%71.080.3-9.3
12 Lavrio1421214%73.483.5-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2016202581
Lavrio2319252895
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