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Iowa State vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-57
44-26 43-31
Position#34
Record15-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game65.9
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
UCF Knights
USA
Position#92
Record14-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Iowa State v UCF Knights
20 Jan 2026
IOWA87
UCF 57
21 Jan 2025
IOWA108
UCF 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
81-58
81
58
+23
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H14/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H30/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A14/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
46-27
25-33
41-29
44-28
34-25
57-20
34-40
41-28
48-33
41-28
39-31
25-24
45-36
42-40
41-31
23-44
40-40
31-35
39-44
141.8Avg total
77.1Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.765.9150.6+18.883%
Season at home (11)90.960.6151.5+30.3100%
Season away (7)75.074.1149.1+0.957%
Last 10 (10)77.164.7141.8+12.480%
Last 5 (5)73.270.6143.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)80.474.8155.2+5.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)82.366.6148.8+15.780%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A15/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-32
37-25
47-27
39-34
35-27
46-36
49-49
53-31
33-38
52-42
44-41
37-34
32-41
44-46
33-32
40-40
42-28
40-45
38-41
39-43
155.7Avg total
82.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.275.9161.1+9.482%
Season at home (14)86.175.4161.5+10.686%
Season away (3)81.378.0159.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)82.573.2155.7+9.380%
Last 5 (5)77.878.2156.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.783.3163.0-3.527%
vs Similar (16)83.278.4161.6+4.875%
vs Weaker (3)87.063.3150.3+23.7100%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +5.1+5.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +5.1+5.1
Iowa StateUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
57-20
57
20
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A14/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A17/01
NCAA
67.5Avg total
36.4Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.832.370.1+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.829.670.4+11.278%-
Last 30 away (12)33.236.469.7-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.431.167.5+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.266.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.434.070.4+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)38.032.070.0+6.068%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#364
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A15/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/01
NCAA
75.4Avg total
39.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.175.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 30 away (10)34.741.175.8-6.410%-
Last 10 (10)39.835.675.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.674.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.538.573.0-4.127%-
vs Similar (16)38.639.978.6-1.344%-
vs Weaker (3)45.026.771.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Iowa State wins
0
UCF Knights wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25UCF Knights v Iowa State65-77
22/01/25Iowa State v UCF Knights108-83
02/03/24UCF Knights v Iowa State52-60
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ACincinnati70-79
14/01/26AKansas63-84
10/01/26HOklahoma State83-71
08/01/26ABaylor70-60
03/01/26HWest Virginia80-59
30/12/25HHouston Christian89-61
21/12/25HLong Beach State91-60
14/12/25HEastern Illinois78-53
12/12/25HIowa66-62
06/12/25APurdue81-58
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HArizona77-84
15/01/26AKansas State82-73
11/01/26HCincinnati73-72
07/01/26AOklahoma State76-87
03/01/26HKansas81-75
23/12/25HFlorida Atlantic85-80
20/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast102-80
18/12/25HMercer81-63
07/12/25HTowson86-61
29/11/25HVMI82-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %83%100%57%
Points / game84.790.975.0
Allowed / game65.960.674.1
Point differential+18.8+30.3+0.9
Avg total150.6151.5149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%91%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL82%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17143
Win %82%86%67%
Points / game85.286.181.3
Allowed / game75.975.478.0
Point differential+9.4+10.6+3.3
Avg total161.1161.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona18180100%90.669.3+21.3
2 Houston1817194%78.760.1+18.6
3 Brigham Young1816289%86.669.6+17.0
4 Iowa State1815383%84.765.9+18.8
5 UCF Knights1714382%85.275.9+9.4
6 Texas Tech1814478%83.473.1+10.3
7 Oklahoma State1814478%88.280.9+7.3
8 Kansas1813572%78.067.5+10.5
9 West Virginia1812667%73.263.1+10.1
10 Colorado1812667%83.277.2+5.9
11 Baylor1711665%87.174.9+12.2
12 TCU1811761%79.769.6+10.2
13 Cincinnati1810856%74.166.2+7.9
14 Arizona State1810856%80.480.7-0.3
15 Kansas State189950%85.580.3+5.2
16 Utah Utes189950%80.381.0-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State444387
UCF Knights263157
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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