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Ipswich Force vs Cairns Marlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 110-96
30-16 28-24 27-29 25-27
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#12
Record3-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game99.1
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Ipswich Force v Cairns Marlins
13 Jul 2025
IPSW110
CAIR96
22 Jul 2023
IPSW99
CAIR92
18 Jun 2023
IPSW98
CAIR111
22 May 2021
IPSW72
CAIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ipswich Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ipswich ForceAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H10/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H24/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A30/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
116-127 OT
116
127
-11
A31/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A07/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A27/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
130-125 OT
130
125
+5
A05/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
24-16
20-18
13-21
20-18
29-30
23-19
21-19
28-26
24-25
6-22
24-7
17-22
32-16
16-26
18-33
28-25
24-21
25-32
27-26
14-22
29-20
25-33
28-16
26-25
20-19
22-27
19-19
28-26
25-17
18-21
27-22
22-37
16-23
30-14
19-29
34-28
23-37
29-32
29-18
190.6Avg total
94.8Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)94.296.0190.2-1.855%
Season at home (4)84.582.2166.8+2.275%
Season away (7)99.7103.9203.6-4.143%
Last 10 (10)94.895.8190.6-1.060%
Last 5 (5)99.699.0198.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)90.698.2188.8-7.636%
vs Similar (14)93.195.9188.9-2.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)85.581.5167.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
75-111
75
111
-36
H17/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
81-109
81
109
-28
A30/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
A31/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H06/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
90-104
90
104
-14
H14/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H20/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H06/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A12/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-35
22-22
32-22
29-20
26-24
23-21
21-24
19-16
16-22
19-28
16-30
24-31
23-31
21-20
13-30
24-28
26-18
25-27
18-19
25-30
10-22
16-20
19-23
18-14
25-17
21-22
22-36
22-29
20-23
32-23
24-27
15-29
22-14
20-22
27-19
24-35
22-27
23-27
19-19
13-19
184.2Avg total
86.3Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.199.1185.2-13.027%
Season at home (5)82.497.2179.6-14.820%
Season away (6)89.2100.7189.8-11.533%
Last 10 (10)86.397.9184.2-11.630%
Last 5 (5)82.893.4176.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)87.198.3185.4-11.230%
vs Similar (6)90.389.5179.8+0.867%
vs Weaker (1)104.086.0190.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.8-3.8
Ipswich ForceCairns Marlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ipswich ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H24/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A30/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/06
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A27/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A05/07
NBL1 North
95.3Avg total
48.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.748.795.4-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.747.195.8+1.675%-
Last 30 away (18)45.449.895.2-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)48.247.195.3+1.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.450.898.2-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)47.750.197.9-2.436%-
vs Similar (14)46.448.094.4-1.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H17/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A31/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H06/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H14/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H20/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A12/07
NBL1 North
89.5Avg total
43.0Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.947.792.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.145.591.6+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.749.893.5-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.589.5-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.485.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)43.749.292.9-5.439%-
vs Similar (6)47.043.090.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker (1)59.041.0100.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Ipswich Force) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ipswich Force wins
5
Cairns Marlins wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25ABrisbane Capitals130-125 OT
28/06/25ARockhampton Rockets87-103
27/06/25AMackay Meteors98-86
14/06/25HLogan Thunder87-90
07/06/25ASouth West Metro Pirates96-91
31/05/25ALogan Thunder116-127 OT
30/05/25ANorthside Wizards83-97
24/05/25HTownsville Heat82-80
17/05/25HSouth West Metro Pirates93-86
10/05/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix76-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25ASouth West Metro Pirates77-92
06/07/25HMackay Meteors93-90
20/06/25HNorthside Wizards91-102
14/06/25HSouthern District90-104
06/06/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix63-79
31/05/25AMackay Meteors103-108 OT
30/05/25ARockhampton Rockets81-109
17/05/25HBrisbane Capitals75-111
10/05/25ALogan Thunder89-85
09/05/25AGold Coast Rollers101-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ipswich Force
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%75%43%
Points / game94.284.599.7
Allowed / game96.082.2103.9
Point differential-1.8+2.2-4.1
Avg total190.2166.8203.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %18%0%29%
Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game86.182.489.2
Allowed / game99.197.2100.7
Point differential-13.0-14.8-11.5
Avg total185.2179.6189.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sunshine Coast Phoenix128467%91.787.0+4.7
2 Brisbane Capitals117464%99.692.0+7.6
3 Mackay Meteors138562%97.194.7+2.4
4 Gold Coast Rollers127558%96.993.1+3.8
5 Ipswich Force116555%94.296.0-1.8
6 South West Metro Pirates126650%91.391.2+0.2
7 Southern District126650%92.895.9-3.1
8 Northside Wizards136746%86.786.8-0.2
9 Rockhampton Rockets115645%93.494.4-1.0
10 Logan Thunder125742%95.495.1+0.3
11 Townsville Heat124833%87.488.2-0.8
12 Cairns Marlins113827%86.199.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ipswich Force30282725110
Cairns Marlins1624292796
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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