PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Iran vs Iraq Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-68
24-19 25-8 27-19 18-22
Position#28
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Iran 🏆
vs
Position#90
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Mikheyev Y.
Other2027
Meetings · Iran v Iraq
27 Nov 2025
IRAN94
IRAQ68
25 Feb 2018
IRAN83
IRAQ53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iran winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraq winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIran
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#21
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H22/11
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A25/11
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
106-55
106
55
+51
110avg 71
H21/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
88-45
88
45
+43
93avg 71
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
77-52
77
52
+25
76avg 71
A06/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
78-70
78
70
+8
64avg 71
H08/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
82-43
82
43
+39
78avg 71
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
66avg 71
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
26avg 71
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 71
H17/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
14-16
22-15
15-17
17-20
18-15
28-5
33-13
27-22
25-13
24-7
18-9
21-16
23-10
18-10
11-21
25-11
16-13
18-21
24-24
20-12
13-11
12-12
32-11
25-9
11-24
15-18
26-22
26-11
20-27
9-24
8-29
11-12
28-20
19-13
19-21
13-19
131.6Avg total
73.3Scored
58.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.358.3131.6+15.080%
Last 5 (5)73.070.6143.6+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.978.3140.2-16.417%
vs Similar (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.861.5141.2+18.382%
This opponent (Iraq) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
Palestine
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-66
58
66
-8
no box
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
71-59
71
59
+12
67avg 66
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
62avg 66
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 66
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
85-72
85
72
+13
92avg 66
A23/03
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
66avg 66
A05/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
60-87
60
87
-27
50avg 66
H07/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
57-66
57
66
-9
52avg 66
H09/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
12-13
19-17
19-19
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
16-9
20-20
10-16
12-21
19-15
16-29
12-10
24-5
29-13
15-20
13-18
10-22
30-30
8-14
19-32
20-21
30-22
23-13
18-25
14-12
16-24
27-18
18-21
17-37
13-18
15-21
13-24
19-24
18-12
15-21
7-22
17-11
145.7Avg total
69.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.276.5145.7-7.330%
Last 5 (5)71.484.4155.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.975.7141.6-9.815%
vs Similar (8)77.978.1156.0-0.250%
vs Weaker (9)75.878.0153.8-2.233%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
IranIraq
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A25/11
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H21/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A06/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/08
Asia Cup
67.4Avg total
37.0Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.637.273.8-0.646%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.239.176.4-1.938%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.670.3+1.258%-
Last 10 (9)37.030.467.4+6.667%-
Last 5 (5)32.236.668.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.743.977.6-10.218%-
vs Similar (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.932.870.8+5.162%-
This opponent (Iraq) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palestine
#22
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/03
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H07/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/08
Asia Cup
75.7Avg total
38.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.173.8-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.837.171.8-2.344%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.276.1+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.175.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.677.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.935.671.5+0.362%-
vs Similar (8)37.638.476.0-0.862%-
vs Weaker (9)36.938.275.1-1.333%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.2
52.1%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.4
36.1%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.8
65.9%
-11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.6
47.3%
-37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.1
27.2%
-18.3
🏀 Free throws19.512.7
65.1%
-12.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iran
WLWWWWWWLW
Iraq
LLLWLLWLLW
#28
League position
#90
+22.6
Net rating
-9.7
108.2
Offensive rating
90.4
85.5
Defensive rating
100.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
45.0%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
21.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.1%
3-point %
27.2%
64.7%
Assist %
67.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Iran   ■ Iraq
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iran wins
1
Iraq wins
DateGameScore
25/02/18Iran v Iraq83-53
24/11/17Iraq v Iran74-66
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/08/25HNew Zealand79-73
16/08/25AAustralia48-92
13/08/25HChinese Taipei78-75
10/08/25ASyria82-43
08/08/25HJapan78-70
06/08/25AGuam77-52
24/02/25AKazakhstan88-45
21/02/25HIndia106-55
25/11/24AQatar77-78 OT
22/11/24HKazakhstan20-0
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25HPhilippines57-66
07/08/25HChinese Taipei60-87
05/08/25ANew Zealand78-100
23/03/25ABahrain85-72
21/03/25HIndia77-97
24/02/25HJordan67-73
21/02/25HPalestine71-59
25/11/24ASaudi Arabia58-66
22/11/24AJordan64-73
26/02/24APalestine75-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iran
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Iraq
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 South Sudan110100%79.055.0+24.0
4 Cape Verde110100%82.077.0+5.0
5 Switzerland108280%75.962.3+13.6
6 Ukraine43175%78.871.8+7.0
7 Netherlands43175%78.271.8+6.5
8 Romania86275%77.171.9+5.2
9 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
10 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
11 Hungary42250%80.270.5+9.8
12 Denmark42250%78.880.0-1.2
13 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
14 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
15 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
16 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
17 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
18 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
19 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
20 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
21 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
22 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
23 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
24 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
25 Cameroon1010%77.082.0-5.0
26 Libya1010%55.079.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iran2425271894
Iraq198192268
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.