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Iran vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 11:10
Final 78-70
16-13 18-21 24-24 20-12
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game51.0
Iran 🏆
vs
Japan
Position#6
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeAsia CupRound 2· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023
Meetings · Iran v Japan
08 Aug 2025
IRAN78
JAPA70
25 Aug 2022
IRAN79
JAPA68
17 Jul 2022
IRAN88
JAPA76
21 Feb 2019
IRAN89
JAPA97
27 Aug 2018
IRAN93
JAPA67
03 Oct 2015
IRAN68
JAPA63
23 Sep 2015
IRAN86
JAPA48
26 Sep 2014
IRAN82
JAPA59
22 Sep 2012
IRAN53
JAPA51
18 Sep 2012
IRAN71
JAPA65
26 Nov 2010
IRAN74
JAPA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iran winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIran
Date
Competition
Philippines
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
92-60
92
60
+32
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Qatar
#13
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
86-53
86
53
+33
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H22/11
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
77avg 79
A25/11
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
106-55
106
55
+51
110avg 79
H21/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
88-45
88
45
+43
93avg 79
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
77-52
77
52
+25
76avg 79
A06/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
14-20
18-23
29-13
21-20
19-28
26-15
23-19
23-11
22-23
31-10
16-16
20-13
15-19
12-16
20-19
23-20
19-12
25-12
19-9
–
–
–
–
14-16
22-15
15-17
17-20
18-15
28-5
33-13
27-22
25-13
24-7
18-9
21-16
23-10
18-10
11-21
25-11
137.7Avg total
79.4Scored
58.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.751.0126.7+24.786%
Season at home (3)67.343.0110.3+24.3100%
Season away (4)82.057.0139.0+25.075%
Last 10 (10)79.458.3137.7+21.180%
Last 5 (5)73.646.0119.6+27.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.277.1140.3-13.918%
vs Similar (2)74.072.0146.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.561.2142.6+20.382%
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
98avg 81
H21/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
82avg 81
A24/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
58-100
58
100
-42
41avg 81
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
93avg 81
A23/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
99-68
99
68
+31
95avg 81
H06/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
13-15
18-23
23-19
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
19-20
19-18
17-13
21-22
22-22
25-14
20-15
26-24
20-15
28-16
20-22
15-25
12-19
21-31
12-19
13-31
23-22
23-22
21-18
22-17
18-13
14-28
28-10
39-17
153.7Avg total
77.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.175.6157.7+6.686%
Season at home (4)86.268.0154.2+18.2100%
Season away (3)76.785.7162.3-9.067%
Last 10 (10)77.076.7153.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)84.480.0164.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.785.7156.3-15.033%
vs Similar (6)80.886.0166.8-5.233%
vs Weaker (18)88.666.4155.0+22.194%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
IranJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H03/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H04/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H06/10
Asian Games
Qatar
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H23/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A25/11
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H21/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A06/08
Asia Cup
72.8Avg total
41.1Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.336.975.1+1.454%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.378.0-0.547%-
Last 30 away (13)37.834.171.8+3.762%-
Last 10 (9)41.131.772.8+9.478%-
Last 5 (5)42.824.667.4+18.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.243.277.4-9.020%-
vs Similar (2)41.537.579.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.432.873.2+7.675%-
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H21/11
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A24/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H06/08
Asia Cup
77.1Avg total
36.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.179.8+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.636.878.4+4.850%-
Last 30 away (14)39.641.781.4-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.677.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.481.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.246.080.2-11.817%-
vs Similar (6)33.545.579.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (18)45.234.779.9+10.672%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.2
57.4%
49.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.8
40.6%
32.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.612.8
65.3%
70.1%12.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.914.4
51.8%
49.3%28.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.712.7
33.7%
32.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
70.1%14.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/7 games with a box score before 08 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iran
WWWLWWWWWL
Japan
WWLWWWWLLL
#3
League position
#6
+39.9
Net rating
+8.7
116.2
Offensive rating
107.1
76.3
Defensive rating
98.5
58.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
40.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.6%
3-point %
33.7%
73.5%
Assist %
74.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 107.1Defence76.3 · 98.5Shooting58.9% · 51.1%3-point %40.6% · 33.7%Ball care18.9% · 15.6%Off. rebounds34.8% · 25.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Iran   ■ Japan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Iran wins
3
Japan wins
DateGameScore
23/02/23Japan v Iran96-61
25/08/22Iran v Japan79-68
17/07/22Iran v Japan88-76
21/02/19Iran v Japan89-97
17/09/18Japan v Iran70-56
27/08/18Iran v Japan93-67
03/10/15Iran v Japan68-63
23/09/15Iran v Japan86-48
26/09/14Iran v Japan82-59
11/07/14Japan v Iran56-66
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/25AGuam77-52
24/02/25AKazakhstan88-45
21/02/25HIndia106-55
25/11/24AQatar77-78 OT
22/11/24HKazakhstan20-0
26/02/24AIndia86-53
23/02/24HQatar76-74 OT
06/10/23HSaudi Arabia92-60
04/10/23HSouth Korea89-82
03/10/23HPhilippines83-84
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/25HSyria99-68
23/02/25AMongolia89-79
20/02/25AChina58-100
24/11/24AGuam83-78
21/11/24HMongolia93-75
25/02/24HChina76-73
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79
03/10/23HChinese Taipei66-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iran
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game75.767.382.0
Allowed / game51.043.057.0
Point differential+24.7+24.3+25.0
Avg total126.7110.3139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %29%33%25%
Japan
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game82.186.276.7
Allowed / game75.668.085.7
Point differential+6.6+18.2-9.0
Avg total157.7154.2162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia770100%101.461.1+40.3
2 Lebanon770100%89.775.4+14.3
3 China87188%90.465.4+25.0
4 New Zealand87188%90.070.0+20.0
5 Jordan87188%78.468.9+9.5
6 Iran76186%75.751.0+24.7
7 Japan76186%82.175.6+6.6
8 Chinese Taipei107370%87.877.8+10.0
9 Saudi Arabia85362%74.172.0+2.1
10 South Korea85362%83.482.0+1.4
11 Qatar137654%72.270.0+2.2
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Philippines84450%89.178.4+10.8
14 Guam147750%71.278.0-6.8
15 Iraq157847%73.676.2-2.6
16 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Syria73443%76.380.3-4.0
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 India103730%69.181.9-12.8
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iran1618242078
Japan1321241270
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