PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Iran vs New Zealand Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 91-93 (OT)
19-21 20-17 22-28 19-14 11-13
Position#28
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#15
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Mall of Asia Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Iran v New Zealand
28 Aug 2026
IRAN91
NEW 93
17 Aug 2025
IRAN79
NEW 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iran winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syria
#20
W
82-43
82
43
+39
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/02
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/06
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A02/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A05/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
12-12
32-11
25-9
11-24
15-18
26-22
26-11
20-27
9-24
8-29
11-12
28-20
19-13
19-21
13-19
24-19
25-8
27-19
18-22
21-25
21-13
19-12
25-21
14-17
11-12
18-17
17-27
21-12
17-19
12-25
22-12
17-11
12-11
23-8
15-19
17-5
14-15
23-10
19-22
140.3Avg total
73.9Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.363.5138.8+11.883%
Season at home (3)75.369.7145.0+5.767%
Season away (3)75.357.3132.7+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.966.4140.3+7.580%
Last 5 (5)71.662.6134.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)63.379.9143.2-16.611%
vs Similar (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (20)80.260.6140.9+19.690%
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New ZealandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
118-78
118
78
+40
A09/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H14/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A16/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A17/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A28/11
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H01/12
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A26/02
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
99-67
99
67
+32
A01/03
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
106-102 OT
106
102
+4
H03/07
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
129-75
129
75
+54
H06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
30-17
35-24
34-19
12-32
18-13
26-17
34-24
19-28
21-14
26-26
18-30
20-28
13-19
21-19
19-13
25-28
24-14
18-24
12-18
21-23
16-16
25-18
15-22
25-21
12-16
20-9
12-20
25-18
26-16
18-16
30-17
23-17
21-22
19-25
20-19
35-24
28-14
35-13
31-24
173.8Avg total
92.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.278.8172.0+14.367%
Season at home (3)104.085.3189.3+18.767%
Season away (3)82.372.3154.7+10.067%
Last 10 (10)92.481.4173.8+11.060%
Last 5 (5)96.077.8173.8+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.092.0171.0-13.00%
vs Similar (1)73.079.0152.0-6.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)91.777.1168.8+14.676%
This opponent (Iran) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
IranNew Zealand
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syria
#20
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H29/06
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A05/07
World Cup
65.7Avg total
34.1Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.734.471.1+2.359%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.037.274.2-0.244%-
Last 30 away (13)36.330.967.2+5.477%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.665.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.028.061.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.040.872.8-8.822%-
vs Similar (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (19)38.431.469.8+6.974%-
This opponent (New Zealand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New ZealandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H14/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/12
World Cup
Philippines
#45
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/02
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A01/03
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/07
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H06/07
World Cup
83.1Avg total
43.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.039.185.1+7.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.138.185.3+9.073%-
Last 30 away (15)44.940.084.9+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.883.1+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.483.8+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.047.588.5-6.525%-
vs Similar (1)33.047.080.0-14.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.437.484.8+10.076%-
This opponent (Iran) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.2
52.1%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.4
36.1%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.8
65.9%
-11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
-41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.0
36.1%
-33.0
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
-15.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iran
WWWLWWWLWW
New Zealand
WWWWLLLLWW
#28
League position
#15
+22.6
Net rating
+15.5
108.2
Offensive rating
113.7
85.5
Defensive rating
98.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
36.1%
64.7%
Assist %
59.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Iran   ■ New Zealand
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iran wins
0
New Zealand wins
DateGameScore
17/08/25Iran v New Zealand79-73
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/26ASyria73-52
02/07/26AJordan67-49
29/06/26HSyria72-68
27/02/26HJordan60-73
30/11/25AIraq86-71
27/11/25HIraq94-68
17/08/25HNew Zealand79-73
16/08/25AAustralia48-92
13/08/25HChinese Taipei78-75
10/08/25ASyria82-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26HGuam129-75
03/07/26HPhilippines106-102 OT
01/03/26AGuam99-67
26/02/26APhilippines69-66
01/12/25HAustralia77-79
28/11/25AAustralia79-84
17/08/25AIran73-79
16/08/25AChina84-98
14/08/25HLebanon90-86
09/08/25AChinese Taipei118-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iran
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game75.375.375.3
Allowed / game63.569.757.3
Point differential+11.8+5.7+18.0
Avg total138.8145.0132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game93.2104.082.3
Allowed / game78.885.372.3
Point differential+14.3+18.7+10.0
Avg total172.0189.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Poland770100%96.080.3+15.7
5 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
6 Croatia1110191%99.171.2+27.9
7 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
10 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
11 France76186%85.372.0+13.3
12 Germany76186%93.380.4+12.9
13 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
14 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
15 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
16 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
17 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
18 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
19 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
20 Senegal75271%85.168.9+16.3
21 South Sudan75271%82.466.1+16.3
22 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
23 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
24 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
25 Tunisia75271%72.766.7+6.0
26 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
27 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
28 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Guinea74357%72.366.7+5.6
33 Egypt74357%77.472.7+4.7
34 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
35 Nigeria74357%77.175.1+2.0
36 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
37 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
38 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
39 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
40 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
45 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
46 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
47 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
48 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
49 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
50 Netherlands115645%80.579.3+1.3
51 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
52 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
55 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
56 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
57 Cape Verde73443%76.478.7-2.3
58 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
59 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
60 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
61 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
62 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
66 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
67 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
68 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
69 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
70 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Iran192022191191
New Zealand211728141393
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.