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Iraq vs Iran Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-86
25-21 13-21 12-19 21-25
Position#90
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Iran 🏆
Position#28
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex
Other2027
Meetings · Iraq v Iran
30 Nov 2025
IRAQ71
IRAN86
24 Nov 2017
IRAQ74
IRAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraq winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iran winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-66
58
66
-8
no box
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
71-59
71
59
+12
67avg 66
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
62avg 66
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 66
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
85-72
85
72
+13
92avg 66
A23/03
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
66avg 66
A05/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
60-87
60
87
-27
50avg 66
H07/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
57-66
57
66
-9
52avg 66
H09/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#28
L
68-94
68
94
-26
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
16-9
20-20
10-16
12-21
19-15
16-29
12-10
24-5
29-13
15-20
13-18
10-22
30-30
8-14
19-32
20-21
30-22
23-13
18-25
14-12
16-24
27-18
18-21
17-37
13-18
15-21
13-24
19-24
18-12
15-21
7-22
17-11
19-24
8-25
19-27
22-18
147.2Avg total
68.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.094.0162.0-26.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.094.0162.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)68.578.7147.2-10.220%
Last 5 (5)69.683.8153.4-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.578.2144.8-11.715%
vs Similar (8)77.978.1156.0-0.250%
vs Weaker (9)75.878.0153.8-2.233%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIran
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A25/11
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
106-55
106
55
+51
110avg 71
H21/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
88-45
88
45
+43
93avg 71
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
77-52
77
52
+25
76avg 71
A06/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
78-70
78
70
+8
64avg 71
H08/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
82-43
82
43
+39
78avg 71
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
66avg 71
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
26avg 71
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 71
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
94-68
94
68
+26
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
22-15
15-17
17-20
18-15
28-5
33-13
27-22
25-13
24-7
18-9
21-16
23-10
18-10
11-21
25-11
16-13
18-21
24-24
20-12
13-11
12-12
32-11
25-9
11-24
15-18
26-22
26-11
20-27
9-24
8-29
11-12
28-20
19-13
19-21
13-19
24-19
25-8
27-19
18-22
145.8Avg total
80.7Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.068.0162.0+26.0100%
Season at home (1)94.068.0162.0+26.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.765.1145.8+15.680%
Last 5 (5)76.270.2146.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.978.3140.2-16.417%
vs Similar (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)80.860.1140.9+20.788%
This opponent (Iraq) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.9+4.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.9+4.9
IraqIran
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/03
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A23/03
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A05/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H07/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#28
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A27/11
World Cup
76.0Avg total
37.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.874.5-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.337.773.0-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.076.1+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.476.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.676.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.037.273.2-1.262%-
vs Similar (8)37.638.476.0-0.862%-
vs Weaker (9)36.938.275.1-1.333%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A25/11
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H21/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A06/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/11
World Cup
68.3Avg total
38.2Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.036.673.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.938.176.0-0.144%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.670.3+1.258%-
Last 10 (10)38.230.168.3+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.270.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.743.977.6-10.218%-
vs Similar (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.631.870.4+6.969%-
This opponent (Iraq) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.6
47.3%
-37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.1
27.2%
-18.3
🏀 Free throws19.512.7
65.1%
-12.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.2
52.1%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.4
36.1%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.8
65.9%
-11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iraq
LLLLWLLWLL
Iran
WWLWWWWWWL
#90
League position
#28
-9.7
Net rating
+22.6
90.4
Offensive rating
108.2
100.0
Defensive rating
85.5
45.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
21.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.2%
3-point %
36.1%
67.2%
Assist %
64.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Iraq   ■ Iran
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iraq wins
2
Iran wins
DateGameScore
27/11/25Iran v Iraq94-68
25/02/18Iran v Iraq83-53
24/11/17Iraq v Iran74-66
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AIran68-94
09/08/25HPhilippines57-66
07/08/25HChinese Taipei60-87
05/08/25ANew Zealand78-100
23/03/25ABahrain85-72
21/03/25HIndia77-97
24/02/25HJordan67-73
21/02/25HPalestine71-59
25/11/24ASaudi Arabia58-66
22/11/24AJordan64-73
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HIraq94-68
17/08/25HNew Zealand79-73
16/08/25AAustralia48-92
13/08/25HChinese Taipei78-75
10/08/25ASyria82-43
08/08/25HJapan78-70
06/08/25AGuam77-52
24/02/25AKazakhstan88-45
21/02/25HIndia106-55
25/11/24AQatar77-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iraq
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game94.0-94.0
Point differential-26.0--26.0
Avg total162.0-162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Iran
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+26.0+26.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
3 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
4 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
5 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
6 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
7 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
8 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
9 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
10 Turkey110100%93.071.0+22.0
11 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
12 Germany110100%89.069.0+20.0
13 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
14 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
15 France110100%79.063.0+16.0
16 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
17 Guinea220100%75.562.5+13.0
18 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
19 Poland110100%90.078.0+12.0
20 Tunisia220100%83.572.0+11.5
21 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
22 Dominican Republic110100%92.085.0+7.0
23 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
24 Iceland110100%81.076.0+5.0
25 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
26 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
27 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
28 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
29 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
30 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
31 Lithuania110100%89.088.0+1.0
32 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
33 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
34 Switzerland118373%76.864.8+12.0
35 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
36 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
37 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
38 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
39 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
40 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
41 Austria95456%88.077.8+10.2
42 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
43 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
44 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
45 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
46 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
47 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
48 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
49 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
50 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
51 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
52 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
53 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
54 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
55 Great Britain1010%88.089.0-1.0
56 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
57 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
58 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
59 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
60 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
61 Italy1010%76.081.0-5.0
62 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
63 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
64 Mexico1010%85.092.0-7.0
65 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
66 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
67 Nigeria2020%66.578.5-12.0
68 Rwanda2020%68.080.5-12.5
69 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
70 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
71 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
72 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
73 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
74 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
75 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
76 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
77 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
78 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
79 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
80 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
81 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
82 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
83 Cyprus1010%60.0100.0-40.0
84 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iraq2513122171
Iran2121192586
← all games of the day
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