PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ireland vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 61-95
12-20 22-22 8-21 19-32
Position#29
Record3-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Croatia 🏆
Position#7
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game65.6
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Tallaght Stadium
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ireland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IrelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIreland
Date
Competition
Gibraltar
#5
W
113-63
113
63
+50
no box
A14/08
Small Countries European Championship
Malta
#3
W
97-66
97
66
+31
no box
H15/08
Small Countries European Championship
Cyprus
#40
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
70-97
70
97
-27
no box
H28/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
no box
H27/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
66-92
66
92
-26
no box
A30/06
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H03/07
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
49-89
49
89
-40
22avg 59
A19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
96-76
96
76
+20
96avg 59
A26/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
26-14
26-18
30-17
23-17
28-15
22-22
24-12
20-17
24-14
22-19
15-23
13-28
28-15
9-30
20-24
14-28
23-13
15-20
20-22
15-15
23-11
10-21
16-17
22-23
13-28
15-20
16-21
25-25
22-20
18-30
17-13
5-24
12-32
16-14
16-19
23-21
17-16
30-22
26-17
161.1Avg total
80.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.984.1159.0-9.238%
Season at home (3)78.386.7165.0-8.333%
Season away (5)72.882.6155.4-9.840%
Last 10 (10)80.980.2161.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)75.284.0159.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.583.0150.5-15.512%
vs Similar (1)96.076.0172.0+20.0100%
vs Weaker (12)87.262.4149.6+24.883%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Estonia
#34
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
100-75
100
75
+25
106avg 84
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 84
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 84
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
77avg 84
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
89-49
89
49
+40
97avg 84
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
98-62
98
62
+36
105avg 84
H22/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
13-13
20-19
20-22
17-22
17-20
25-13
17-26
21-21
24-21
22-25
23-18
21-20
22-25
22-22
21-27
18-24
30-19
25-16
27-16
18-21
19-13
19-24
23-29
13-21
19-17
15-11
17-7
23-19
27-17
21-20
13-18
24-5
32-12
14-16
19-16
31-14
26-20
23-12
18-16
157.2Avg total
83.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.865.6149.4+18.188%
Season at home (5)86.865.0151.8+21.880%
Season away (3)78.766.7145.3+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.973.3157.2+10.670%
Last 5 (5)82.865.6148.4+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.684.9160.5-9.212%
vs Similar (7)79.982.7162.6-2.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)79.365.5144.7+13.887%
This opponent (Ireland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
IrelandCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IrelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gibraltar
#5
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A14/08
Small Countries European Championship
Malta
#3
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H15/08
Small Countries European Championship
Cyprus
#40
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A25/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A24/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H27/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A30/06
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H03/07
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
17-56
17
56
-39
A19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A26/07
EuroBasket
79.7Avg total
40.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)41.733.975.5+7.867%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.228.872.0+14.482%-
Last 30 away (10)40.039.479.4+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.079.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)35.443.078.4-7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.942.177.0-7.225%-
vs Similar (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (12)46.328.174.4+18.392%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#34
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H22/07
EuroBasket
79.5Avg total
43.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.275.4+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.932.174.1+9.873%-
Last 30 away (15)36.540.276.7-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.079.5+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.431.878.2+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.242.077.2-6.812%-
vs Similar (7)38.641.379.9-2.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.730.772.3+11.087%-
This opponent (Ireland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Irelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ireland: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.8
50.4%
50.6%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.4
34.1%
32.5%28.1
🏀 Free throws17.210.2
59.4%
71.4%10.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.6
56.7%
50.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.9%
32.5%27.8
🏀 Free throws24.118.2
75.6%
71.4%18.2
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 29 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ireland
WLLLWLLWWW
Croatia
WWWWLWLWLW
#29
League position
#7
-12.4
Net rating
+25.3
96.5
Offensive rating
111.7
108.9
Defensive rating
86.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.1%
3-point %
35.9%
64.1%
Assist %
74.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 111.7Defence108.9 · 86.4Shooting50.7% · 55.4%3-point %34.1% · 35.9%Ball care20.3% · 19.9%Off. rebounds24.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Ireland   ■ Croatia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ireland wins
1
Croatia wins
DateGameScore
19/07/23Croatia v Ireland89-49
Irelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/23ALuxembourg96-76
19/07/23ACroatia49-89
03/07/22HSwitzerland82-88
30/06/22AAustria66-92
27/02/22HCyprus83-75 OT
24/02/22ASwitzerland72-83
28/11/21HAustria70-97
25/11/21ACyprus81-73
15/08/21HMalta97-66
14/08/21AGibraltar113-63
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/23HLuxembourg98-62
19/07/23HIreland89-49
26/02/23HAustria84-74
23/02/23ASwitzerland64-56
13/11/22HPoland79-87
10/11/22AAustria100-75
11/09/22AFinland86-94
08/09/22HUkraine90-85
06/09/22AItaly76-81
05/09/22HEstonia73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ireland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game74.978.372.8
Allowed / game84.186.782.6
Point differential-9.2-8.3-9.8
Avg total159.0165.0155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%33%0%
Croatia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%80%100%
Points / game83.886.878.7
Allowed / game65.665.066.7
Point differential+18.1+21.8+12.0
Avg total149.4151.8145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia87188%83.865.6+18.1
2 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
3 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
4 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
5 Bulgaria86275%80.072.6+7.4
6 Slovakia86275%74.270.5+3.8
7 Romania127558%73.271.9+1.2
8 Denmark126650%74.571.1+3.4
9 Austria146843%75.476.1-0.8
10 Switzerland146843%66.570.1-3.6
11 Norway125742%70.274.9-4.7
12 Ireland83538%74.984.1-9.2
13 Kosovo62433%78.281.7-3.5
14 Luxembourg61517%75.085.3-10.3
15 Albania61517%76.587.5-11.0
16 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ireland122281961
Croatia2022213295
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.