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Israel vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-106
15-23 27-32 18-25 26-26
Position#67
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Poland 🏆
Position#7
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Xiaomi Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Israel v Poland
27 Aug 2026
ISRA86
POLA106
25 Nov 2021
ISRA69
POLA61
30 Nov 2020
ISRA78
POLA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Israel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
France
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 77
H31/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 77
A02/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
96-106
96
106
-10
85avg 77
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 77
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
69-89
69
89
-20
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
94-54
94
54
+40
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
83-54
83
54
+29
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
75-103
75
103
-28
no box
A06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
19-14
19-20
27-13
23-15
28-21
20-18
21-35
22-26
21-30
22-23
31-27
22-28
19-22
18-17
20-17
22-26
9-24
22-19
16-20
25-25
17-22
14-24
15-14
32-15
26-8
13-16
23-15
24-12
21-17
23-13
15-12
15-23
22-22
18-31
31-16
12-25
19-22
20-27
24-29
165.2Avg total
82.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.779.5159.2+0.233%
Season at home (3)83.777.0160.7+6.733%
Season away (3)75.782.0157.7-6.333%
Last 10 (10)82.782.5165.2+0.240%
Last 5 (5)81.877.6159.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.886.3163.1-9.611%
vs Similar (11)80.581.7162.2-1.345%
vs Weaker (10)84.973.3158.2+11.680%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
France
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
76avg 75
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 75
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 75
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 75
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
92-72
92
72
+20
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
123-77
123
77
+46
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
92-84
92
84
+8
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
20-14
11-19
21-23
17-16
16-23
25-19
11-12
14-23
26-21
22-17
18-11
19-19
13-27
18-19
27-26
22-18
21-21
26-21
21-18
22-28
15-25
21-17
27-13
21-23
21-25
24-14
18-20
23-16
31-20
16-18
22-18
24-16
29-12
28-29
42-20
18-16
28-28
27-21
19-19
166.0Avg total
86.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.379.3173.7+15.0100%
Season at home (3)91.378.0169.3+13.3100%
Season away (3)97.380.7178.0+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)86.879.2166.0+7.670%
Last 5 (5)95.279.6174.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.986.1161.1-11.233%
vs Similar (6)82.872.8155.7+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.276.7164.9+11.689%
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +4.6+4.6
IsraelPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A02/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/07
World Cup
83.4Avg total
41.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.679.4-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.180.6+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.178.2-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.983.4-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.146.083.1-8.911%-
vs Similar (11)38.739.177.8-0.445%-
vs Weaker (10)40.537.377.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H01/03
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A03/07
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/07
World Cup
84.2Avg total
42.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.079.0-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.337.476.7+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.280.9-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.884.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.888.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.140.576.6-4.327%-
vs Similar (6)41.338.880.2+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.239.982.1+2.356%-
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.5
51.6%
-39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.0
38.8%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
-17.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.0
53.0%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
-19.0
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Israel
LLWWLLLLWW
Poland
WWWWWWLWLL
#67
League position
#7
+7.7
Net rating
-5.5
111.7
Offensive rating
106.9
104.0
Defensive rating
112.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.9%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.45
38.8%
3-point %
32.4%
67.0%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Israel   ■ Poland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Israel wins
3
Poland wins
DateGameScore
30/08/25Poland v Israel66-64
05/09/22Poland v Israel85-76
30/06/22Poland v Israel90-85 OT
25/11/21Israel v Poland69-61
30/11/20Israel v Poland78-72
20/02/20Poland v Israel71-75
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26ACroatia75-103
03/07/26HGermany86-92
01/03/26ACyprus83-54
27/02/26HCyprus94-54
01/12/25HCroatia71-85
28/11/25AGermany69-89
07/09/25AGreece79-84
04/09/25HSlovenia96-106
02/09/25ABelgium92-89
31/08/25HFrance82-69
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26HNetherlands92-84
03/07/26AAustria123-77
01/03/26HLatvia92-72
27/02/26ALatvia84-82
01/12/25ANetherlands85-83
28/11/25HAustria90-78
09/09/25ATurkey77-91
07/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina80-72
04/09/25HBelgium69-70
02/09/25AFrance76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Israel
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game79.783.775.7
Allowed / game79.577.082.0
Point differential+0.2+6.7-6.3
Avg total159.2160.7157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.391.397.3
Allowed / game79.378.080.7
Point differential+15.0+13.3+16.7
Avg total173.7169.3178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada660100%104.081.8+22.2
4 Brazil660100%93.775.3+18.3
5 Poland660100%94.379.3+15.0
6 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
7 Croatia109190%97.570.3+27.2
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
10 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
11 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
12 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
13 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
14 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
15 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
16 Germany65183%92.380.0+12.3
17 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
18 France65183%84.272.8+11.3
19 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
20 Dominican Republic43175%91.277.8+13.5
21 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
22 South Sudan75271%82.466.1+16.3
23 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
24 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
25 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
26 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
27 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
28 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Guinea74357%72.366.7+5.6
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Nigeria74357%77.175.1+2.0
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
40 Latvia63350%83.777.5+6.2
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Netherlands105550%80.377.3+3.0
46 Slovenia63350%85.583.5+2.0
47 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
48 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
49 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
50 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
51 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
52 Colombia63350%83.288.0-4.8
53 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
54 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
57 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
58 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
59 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
60 Israel62433%79.779.5+0.2
61 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
62 Puerto Rico62433%89.592.2-2.7
63 Bahamas62433%90.593.5-3.0
64 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
65 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
66 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
67 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
68 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
69 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
70 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Israel1527182686
Poland23322526106
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