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Poland vs Latvia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 92-72
23-16 31-20 16-18 22-18
Position#7
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game81.0
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#40
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Polsat Plus Arena Gdynia
Other2027
Meetings · Poland v Latvia
01 Mar 2026
POLA92
LATV72
23 Aug 2015
POLA80
LATV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 77
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 77
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 77
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
76avg 77
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 77
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 77
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 77
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
18-21
33-23
25-26
19-14
18-12
11-25
18-13
19-16
22-16
20-19
23-24
24-27
20-14
11-19
21-23
17-16
16-23
25-19
11-12
14-23
26-21
22-17
18-11
19-19
13-27
18-19
27-26
22-18
21-21
26-21
21-18
22-28
15-25
21-17
27-13
21-23
21-25
24-14
18-20
160.9Avg total
81.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.381.0167.3+5.3100%
Season at home (1)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)84.582.5167.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.679.3160.9+2.370%
Last 5 (5)83.281.2164.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.986.1161.1-11.233%
vs Similar (9)82.973.9156.8+9.089%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.276.2157.3+5.083%
This opponent (Latvia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
W
89-68
89
68
+21
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
62avg 77
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
72-70
72
70
+2
64avg 77
A29/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
74avg 77
H30/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
78-62
78
62
+16
79avg 77
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
109-75
109
75
+34
113avg 77
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 77
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
86-68
86
68
+18
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
19-18
30-18
20-17
21-24
18-23
16-25
18-21
17-21
21-21
25-19
9-9
18-22
20-20
18-25
24-17
23-21
27-7
15-15
13-19
30-24
28-20
28-12
23-19
18-28
19-19
17-19
25-22
12-26
17-22
21-17
28-21
20-24
20-13
29-17
17-14
23-21
25-21
14-24
20-18
160.4Avg total
82.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.079.3161.3+2.733%
Season at home (2)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
Season away (1)86.068.0154.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.677.8160.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)86.880.2167.0+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.590.5168.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)82.881.1163.9+1.662%
vs Weaker (18)86.368.3154.7+18.0100%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
PolandLatvia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/02
World Cup
81.0Avg total
39.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.277.8-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.237.775.8+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.242.179.4-4.924%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.481.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.846.084.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.140.576.6-4.327%-
vs Similar (9)40.038.778.7+1.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.841.879.7-4.033%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#56
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H28/11
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/12
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/02
World Cup
82.6Avg total
41.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.480.3+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.838.280.0+3.567%-
Last 30 away (18)42.138.480.5+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.082.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.686.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.843.585.2-1.825%-
vs Similar (8)37.642.980.5-5.212%-
vs Weaker (18)43.935.279.1+8.789%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.0
53.0%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
-19.0
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.715.4
51.9%
-30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.6
35.9%
-34.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
-15.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
WWWLWLLWWW
Latvia
LWLLWWLWLW
#7
League position
#40
-5.5
Net rating
+7.8
106.9
Offensive rating
113.6
112.3
Defensive rating
105.8
51.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.4%
3-point %
35.9%
61.7%
Assist %
72.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Poland   ■ Latvia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poland wins
1
Latvia wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Latvia v Poland82-84
23/08/15Poland v Latvia80-81
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ALatvia84-82
01/12/25ANetherlands85-83
28/11/25HAustria90-78
09/09/25ATurkey77-91
07/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina80-72
04/09/25HBelgium69-70
02/09/25AFrance76-83
31/08/25HIceland84-75
30/08/25HIsrael66-64
28/08/25ASlovenia105-95
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HPoland82-84
01/12/25AAustria86-68
28/11/25HNetherlands78-86
06/09/25ALithuania79-88
03/09/25ACzech Republic109-75
01/09/25APortugal78-62
30/08/25HSerbia80-84
29/08/25AEstonia72-70
27/08/25HTurkey73-93
23/02/25ASlovakia89-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.390.084.5
Allowed / game81.078.082.5
Point differential+5.3+12.0+2.0
Avg total167.3168.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latvia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game82.080.086.0
Allowed / game79.385.068.0
Point differential+2.7-5.0+18.0
Avg total161.3165.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
5 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
6 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
7 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
8 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
11 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
12 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
13 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
14 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
15 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
16 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
17 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
18 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
19 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
20 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
21 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
24 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
25 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
26 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
27 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
28 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
29 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
34 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
35 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
36 Iceland32167%83.783.7+0.0
37 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
38 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
39 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
40 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
43 Senegal21150%89.578.0+11.5
44 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
45 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
46 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
47 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
48 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
49 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
50 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
51 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
52 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 D.R. Congo21150%73.087.5-14.5
57 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
58 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
59 Lithuania31233%85.085.3-0.3
60 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
63 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
64 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
65 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
66 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
67 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
68 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
69 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
70 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
77 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
78 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
79 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
80 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
81 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
82 Egypt2020%74.584.5-10.0
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Uganda2020%70.587.0-16.5
88 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
89 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland2331162292
Latvia1620181872
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