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Netherlands vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-85
28-22 25-15 17-21 13-27
Position#56
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Poland 🏆
Position#7
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Sportcampus Zuiderpark
Other2027
Meetings · Netherlands v Poland
01 Dec 2025
NETH83
POLA85
06 Sep 2022
NETH69
POLA75
29 Nov 2018
NETH78
POLA105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNetherlands
Date
Competition
Greece
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
74-96
74
96
-22
no box
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
69-73
69
73
-4
68avg 58
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
53-63
53
63
-10
49avg 58
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
27-16
19-30
14-12
21-21
24-25
16-30
13-20
25-10
12-17
17-14
23-29
14-20
15-11
21-18
19-24
18-18
5-16
16-14
14-15
21-12
13-23
18-14
13-15
22-15
22-17
18-21
19-17
10-19
21-20
17-30
22-14
25-29
26-12
16-14
30-15
26-12
22-17
17-21
21-28
148.5Avg total
74.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.873.0152.8+6.880%
Season at home (2)81.067.0148.0+14.0100%
Season away (3)79.077.0156.0+2.067%
Last 10 (10)74.474.1148.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)79.873.0152.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.679.6150.2-9.08%
vs Similar (4)75.278.2153.5-3.050%
vs Weaker (2)89.070.0159.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
48-82
48
82
-34
33avg 72
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 72
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 72
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 72
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 72
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
76avg 72
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 72
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 72
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 72
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
14-22
10-25
6-20
19-26
20-19
16-22
19-21
29-25
18-21
33-23
25-26
19-14
18-12
11-25
18-13
19-16
22-16
20-19
23-24
24-27
20-14
11-19
21-23
17-16
16-23
25-19
11-12
14-23
26-21
22-17
18-11
19-19
13-27
18-19
27-26
22-18
21-21
26-21
21-18
156.7Avg total
76.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.979.8156.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)78.478.8157.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.185.7160.8-10.629%
vs Similar (9)82.973.9156.8+9.089%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.573.0152.5+6.575%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
NetherlandsPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A28/11
World Cup
72.7Avg total
38.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.276.2-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.538.677.1-0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)35.939.675.5-3.624%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.672.7+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.276.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.539.576.0-3.029%-
vs Similar (4)35.038.273.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker (2)47.536.584.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/11
World Cup
78.3Avg total
38.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.976.1-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.636.574.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.977.8-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.578.3-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.880.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.839.375.1-3.529%-
vs Similar (9)40.038.778.7+1.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.037.574.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.5%
-27.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
-13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.0
53.0%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
-19.0
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Netherlands
WWLWWLLWLL
Poland
WLWLLWWWLL
#56
League position
#7
-7.9
Net rating
-5.5
97.5
Offensive rating
106.9
105.3
Defensive rating
112.3
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
23.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.45
35.5%
3-point %
32.4%
81.8%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Netherlands   ■ Poland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Netherlands wins
3
Poland wins
DateGameScore
06/09/22Netherlands v Poland69-75
25/02/19Poland v Netherlands85-76
29/11/18Netherlands v Poland78-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25ALatvia86-78
20/08/25HBulgaria97-70
13/08/25AAustria70-83
09/08/25ABulgaria81-70
02/08/25HAustria65-64
24/02/25AGreece53-63
21/02/25HGreat Britain69-73
24/11/24HCzech Republic77-70
21/11/24ACzech Republic74-96
26/02/24HGreece72-74
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HAustria90-78
09/09/25ATurkey77-91
07/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina80-72
04/09/25HBelgium69-70
02/09/25AFrance76-83
31/08/25HIceland84-75
30/08/25HIsrael66-64
28/08/25ASlovenia105-95
24/02/25ANorth Macedonia74-88
21/02/25HLithuania48-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game79.881.079.0
Allowed / game73.067.077.0
Point differential+6.8+14.0+2.0
Avg total152.8148.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total168.0168.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
2 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
3 Philippines220100%91.058.5+32.5
4 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
5 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
6 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
7 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
8 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
9 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
10 Spain220100%82.062.5+19.5
11 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
12 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
13 Japan220100%85.068.5+16.5
14 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
15 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
16 Poland110100%90.078.0+12.0
17 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
18 Czech Republic220100%97.086.0+11.0
19 South Korea220100%85.076.0+9.0
20 Dominican Republic110100%92.085.0+7.0
21 Australia220100%81.578.0+3.5
22 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
23 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
24 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
25 Ukraine65183%82.572.8+9.7
26 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
27 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
28 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
29 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
30 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
31 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
32 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
33 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
34 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
35 Austria95456%88.077.8+10.2
36 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
37 Slovenia21150%93.588.5+5.0
38 France21150%77.573.0+4.5
39 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
40 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
41 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
42 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
43 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
44 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
45 Estonia21150%93.095.0-2.0
46 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
47 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
48 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
49 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
50 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
51 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
52 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
53 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
54 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
55 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
56 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
57 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
58 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
59 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
60 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
61 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
62 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
63 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
64 New Zealand2020%78.081.5-3.5
65 Mexico1010%85.092.0-7.0
66 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
67 China2020%76.085.0-9.0
68 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
69 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
70 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
71 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
72 Sweden2020%81.595.5-14.0
73 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
74 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
75 Chinese Taipei2020%68.585.0-16.5
76 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
77 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
78 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
79 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
80 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
81 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
82 Guam2020%58.591.0-32.5
83 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
84 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands2825171383
Poland2215212785
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