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Poland vs Belgium Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 69-70
17-16 16-23 25-19 11-12
Position#9
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Belgium 🏆
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Spodek
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-96
71
96
-25
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 73
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 73
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
48-82
48
82
-34
33avg 73
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 73
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 73
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 73
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 73
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
76avg 73
A02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
11-19
19-27
15-21
16-25
22-22
12-22
21-27
18-19
22-19
13-19
25-25
22-25
18-17
22-21
26-23
18-15
14-22
10-25
6-20
19-26
20-19
16-22
19-21
29-25
18-21
33-23
25-26
19-14
18-12
11-25
18-13
19-16
22-16
20-19
23-24
24-27
20-14
11-19
21-23
158.8Avg total
75.4Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.879.2162.0+3.575%
Season at home (2)75.069.5144.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)90.589.0179.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)75.483.4158.8-8.040%
Last 5 (5)81.081.0162.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.684.6159.2-10.029%
vs Similar (9)84.075.3159.3+8.789%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.071.8146.8+3.275%
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
58-53
58
53
+5
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
61avg 67
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 67
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
93-63
93
63
+30
98avg 67
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
35avg 67
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
56avg 67
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
71-64
71
64
+7
62avg 67
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
63avg 67
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 67
H02/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
15-23
24-18
11-6
11-14
8-12
21-13
18-14
25-17
19-25
13-17
15-16
20-16
21-20
25-22
17-27
21-24
25-13
23-10
24-16
11-11
14-11
15-20
12-17
10-18
17-25
22-27
15-22
17-21
15-15
14-16
25-12
10-16
21-27
17-21
21-22
15-23
21-28
18-20
35-21
145.5Avg total
72.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.283.5156.8-10.225%
Season at home (2)76.592.0168.5-15.50%
Season away (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)72.672.9145.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)69.078.6147.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.078.0149.0-7.029%
vs Similar (9)71.379.0150.3-7.722%
vs Weaker (14)77.266.6143.8+10.671%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
PolandBelgium
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/09
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
38.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.875.9-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.236.273.4+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.141.078.1-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.977.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.079.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.738.974.6-3.229%-
vs Similar (9)40.237.878.0+2.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.540.276.8-3.825%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H02/09
EuroBasket
71.3Avg total
34.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.137.272.3-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.037.572.5-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)35.136.972.0-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)34.137.271.3-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.239.069.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.342.673.9-11.30%-
vs Similar (9)35.939.775.6-3.844%-
vs Weaker (14)36.432.969.4+3.564%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.316.2
53.5%
52.4%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
33.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.618.8
76.4%
73.1%18.8
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.915.8
46.6%
52.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
33.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.912.3
68.7%
73.1%12.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
LWWWLLWLLL
Belgium
LLWLLWLLWW
#9
League position
#16
-11.4
Net rating
-0.1
103.7
Offensive rating
100.4
115.1
Defensive rating
100.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.1%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.4%
3-point %
33.3%
61.3%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 100.4Defence115.1 · 100.6Shooting49.8% · 48.1%3-point %30.4% · 33.3%Ball care19.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.44 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Poland   ■ Belgium
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poland wins
0
Belgium wins
No previous meetings.
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/25AFrance76-83
31/08/25HIceland84-75
30/08/25HIsrael66-64
28/08/25ASlovenia105-95
24/02/25ANorth Macedonia74-88
21/02/25HLithuania48-82
24/11/24AEstonia88-86
21/11/24HEstonia78-82
26/02/24HNorth Macedonia71-96
22/02/24ALithuania64-83
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/25HIsrael89-92
31/08/25ASlovenia69-86
30/08/25AIceland71-64
28/08/25HFrance64-92
23/02/25ASpain52-59
20/02/25HSlovakia93-63
25/11/24HLatvia83-85
22/11/24ALatvia72-75
25/02/24HSpain58-53
22/02/24ASlovakia75-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.875.090.5
Allowed / game79.269.589.0
Point differential+3.5+5.5+1.5
Avg total162.0144.5179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belgium
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game73.276.570.0
Allowed / game83.592.075.0
Point differential-10.2-15.5-5.0
Avg total156.8168.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany550100%105.873.0+32.8
2 Turkey550100%91.871.8+20.0
3 France54180%92.278.2+14.0
4 Serbia54180%86.873.6+13.2
5 Italy54180%79.266.6+12.6
6 Lithuania54180%86.278.6+7.6
7 Greece43175%85.567.0+18.5
8 Poland43175%82.879.2+3.5
9 Latvia53260%82.476.8+5.6
10 Finland53260%85.281.2+4.0
11 Slovenia53260%93.890.4+3.4
12 Israel53260%83.480.2+3.2
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%80.280.2+0.0
14 Spain42250%77.866.0+11.8
15 Georgia52340%73.477.2-3.8
16 Portugal52340%63.073.6-10.6
17 Belgium41325%73.283.5-10.2
18 Sweden51420%80.683.6-3.0
19 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
20 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
21 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland1716251169
Belgium1623191270
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