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Italy U18 vs Lithuania U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-94
21-26 18-26 12-21 34-21
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game87.3
EuropeEuroBasket U18
Other2024
Meetings · Italy U18 v Lithuania U18
31 Jul 2024
ITAL85
LITH94
29 Jul 2023
ITAL89
LITH87
31 Jul 2022
ITAL61
LITH79
04 Aug 2017
ITAL67
LITH73
28 Jul 2015
ITAL77
LITH70
29 Jul 2014
ITAL64
LITH61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U18
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#11
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
12-23
16-20
29-30
26-12
22-18
24-19
21-28
24-18
12-18
12-21
24-21
21-20
18-24
23-14
11-28
16-25
21-17
24-19
32-22
20-19
15-20
24-20
20-20
18-12
14-14
21-13
23-22
17-17
19-16
14-21
22-24
20-25
27-20
18-14
24-21
18-15
22-23
23-12
27-20
161.8Avg total
83.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.776.0159.7+7.767%
Season at home (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Season away (2)89.575.0164.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.078.8161.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.275.2158.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.275.6139.8-11.311%
vs Similar (8)76.175.0151.1+1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.767.1144.8+10.685%
This opponent (Lithuania U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel U18
#8
L
98-101
98
101
-3
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#14
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Czech Republic U18
#16
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#6
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#3
L
95-100
95
100
-5
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
19-28
24-33
31-24
23-15
28-17
25-26
23-22
15-20
14-24
16-19
24-29
23-17
14-20
14-16
21-23
29-15
21-25
20-14
25-5
19-20
20-15
20-24
20-20
25-9
20-20
17-19
20-31
23-15
18-21
14-21
25-24
23-30
27-15
23-28
22-27
23-24
16-20
16-17
29-20
169.9Avg total
86.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.387.3173.7-1.033%
Season at home (1)95.0100.0195.0-5.00%
Season away (2)82.081.0163.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.183.8169.9+2.340%
Last 5 (5)85.686.0171.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.790.7165.3-16.00%
vs Similar (9)74.177.6151.7-3.422%
vs Weaker (18)85.367.8153.2+17.583%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
Italy U18Lithuania U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U18
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#13
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/07
EuroBasket U18
Croatia U18
#11
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Israel U18
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/07
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
75.9Avg total
38.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.670.4+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.032.467.4+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.536.472.9+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.175.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.274.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.937.470.3-4.611%-
vs Similar (8)37.536.173.6+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.831.668.4+5.269%-
This opponent (Lithuania U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel U18
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#14
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H23/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A24/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/07
EuroBasket U18
Czech Republic U18
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Italy U18
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Sweden U18
#14
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Finland U18
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H28/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
81.0Avg total
42.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.776.5+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.334.780.0+10.693%-
Last 30 away (16)36.936.673.4+0.338%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.681.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.880.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.343.780.0-7.333%-
vs Similar (9)35.936.872.7-0.933%-
vs Weaker (18)44.033.877.8+10.283%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Italy U18 wins
4
Lithuania U18 wins
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/24ALatvia U1890-70
28/07/24AIsrael U1889-80
27/07/24HSerbia U1872-78
30/07/23HCroatia U1876-61
29/07/23HLithuania U1889-87 OT
27/07/23APoland U1893-83
26/07/23ASlovenia U1873-86
24/07/23ASpain U1872-78
23/07/23HDenmark U1893-77
22/07/23AGreece U1883-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/24ASpain U1884-81
28/07/24HSlovenia U1895-100
27/07/24AFinland U1880-81
30/07/23HSweden U1882-79
29/07/23AItaly U1887-89 OT
27/07/23HCzech Republic U1895-59
26/07/23ATurkey U1872-76
24/07/23AFrance U1869-92
23/07/23HSweden U1899-80
22/07/23AIsrael U1898-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game83.772.089.5
Allowed / game76.078.075.0
Point differential+7.7-6.0+14.5
Avg total159.7150.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania U18
EuroBasket U18 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game86.395.082.0
Allowed / game87.3100.081.0
Point differential-1.0-5.0+1.0
Avg total173.7195.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France U18330100%88.767.7+21.0
2 Germany U18440100%84.067.8+16.2
3 Slovenia U18440100%91.575.8+15.8
4 Serbia U18330100%90.775.7+15.0
5 Sweden U1843175%87.081.5+5.5
6 Italy U1832167%83.776.0+7.7
7 Belgium U1832167%72.773.3-0.7
8 Spain U1831233%79.374.3+5.0
9 Lithuania U1831233%86.387.3-1.0
10 Greece U1831233%80.782.3-1.7
11 Israel U1831233%81.092.0-11.0
12 Finland U1831233%60.383.3-23.0
13 Croatia U1841325%73.589.0-15.5
14 Turkey U183030%75.081.7-6.7
15 Latvia U184040%80.891.0-10.2
16 Denmark U184040%82.898.0-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U182118123485
Lithuania U182626212194
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