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Italy vs Russia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-64
26-24 15-9 21-18 21-13
Position#11
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroBasket
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Russia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#33
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A17/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H29/11
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A02/12
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H22/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A25/02
World Cup
Philippines
#46
W
108-62
108
62
+46
A31/08
World Cup
Angola
#25
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H04/09
World Cup
Spain
#1
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A06/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
A08/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
19-14
13-23
17-12
20-24
22-11
11-18
17-12
18-31
23-21
24-21
13-21
15-9
19-6
18-18
23-8
16-26
13-21
22-14
22-25
37-8
25-16
23-15
23-23
25-11
19-10
26-21
22-19
23-28
19-22
15-20
20-22
18-18
13-12
17-20
12-17
13-24
13-22
24-18
33-19
151.6Avg total
79.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.672.0151.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)86.274.2160.4+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.780.3152.0-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (5)69.673.0142.6-3.420%
vs Weaker (19)80.466.3146.7+14.179%
This opponent (Russia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#35
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H16/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
A30/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#20
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H03/12
World Cup
Bulgaria
#35
W
104-60
104
60
+44
A21/02
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H24/02
World Cup
Nigeria
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H31/08
World Cup
South Korea
#16
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A02/09
World Cup
Argentina
#3
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H04/09
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A06/09
World Cup
Venezuela
#17
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A08/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
17-20
15-20
15-13
13-18
14-18
20-21
21-11
14-16
30-12
21-11
16-22
26-18
26-12
30-14
22-16
16-28
21-10
21-27
33-11
18-13
22-22
18-23
24-19
27-18
13-19
23-12
24-24
17-12
16-27
7-14
21-16
22-16
18-18
17-19
17-26
13-10
14-17
21-15
21-18
150.6Avg total
80.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.370.3150.6+10.080%
Last 5 (5)74.671.6146.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.778.5153.2-3.817%
vs Similar ◀ (2)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
vs Weaker (22)80.169.2149.3+11.077%
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
ItalyRussia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#33
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A17/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/11
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A02/12
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
34-15
34
15
+19
H22/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A25/02
World Cup
Philippines
#46
W
62-24
62
24
+38
A31/08
World Cup
Angola
#25
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H04/09
World Cup
Spain
#1
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A08/09
World Cup
73.8Avg total
39.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.735.272.9+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.135.375.4+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)35.835.271.0+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.873.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.275.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.841.275.0-7.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.236.472.6-0.240%-
vs Weaker (19)39.333.172.3+6.268%-
This opponent (Russia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RussiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#35
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A30/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#20
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H03/12
World Cup
Bulgaria
#35
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A21/02
World Cup
Finland
#34
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H24/02
World Cup
Nigeria
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H31/08
World Cup
South Korea
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/09
World Cup
Argentina
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/09
World Cup
Poland
#19
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/09
World Cup
Venezuela
#17
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A08/09
World Cup
73.1Avg total
38.7Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.674.2+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.336.976.2+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)38.134.572.6+3.665%-
Last 10 (10)38.734.473.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.470.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.836.070.8-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.046.589.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker (22)39.334.573.7+4.868%-
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
0
Russia wins
No previous meetings.
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/19APuerto Rico94-89 OT
06/09/19ASpain60-67
04/09/19HSerbia77-92
02/09/19HAngola92-61
31/08/19APhilippines108-62
25/02/19ALithuania73-86
22/02/19HHungary75-41
02/12/18APoland78-94
29/11/18HLithuania70-65
17/09/18AHungary69-63
Russialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/19AVenezuela69-60
06/09/19APoland74-79
04/09/19HArgentina61-69
02/09/19ASouth Korea87-73
31/08/19HNigeria82-77
24/02/19HFinland91-76
21/02/19ABulgaria104-60
03/12/18HCzech Republic81-61
30/11/18AFinland77-75 OT
16/09/18HBulgaria77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Russia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia110100%80.058.0+22.0
2 Ukraine110100%88.073.0+15.0
3 Belgium440100%76.263.2+13.0
4 Spain110100%84.071.0+13.0
5 Estonia110100%81.072.0+9.0
6 Georgia110100%96.088.0+8.0
7 Israel110100%75.071.0+4.0
8 Hungary110100%77.075.0+2.0
9 Great Britain87188%81.967.5+14.4
10 Denmark1210283%81.373.8+7.6
11 Romania97278%79.473.3+6.1
12 North Macedonia96367%76.972.9+4.0
13 Austria53260%79.477.6+1.8
14 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
15 Sweden42250%74.570.5+4.0
16 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
17 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
18 Switzerland94544%82.683.3-0.8
19 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
20 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
21 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
22 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
23 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
24 Slovenia1010%75.077.0-2.0
25 Poland1010%71.075.0-4.0
26 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
27 Finland1010%58.080.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2615212183
Russia249181364
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