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Italy vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Sep 2019
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 77-92
23-28 19-22 15-20 20-22
Position#14
Record10-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Serbia 🏆
Position#18
Record9-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game71.5
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Meetings · Italy v Serbia
31 Aug 2026
ITAL64
SERB76
19 Aug 2022
ITAL86
SERB90
04 Sep 2019
ITAL77
SERB92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#18
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#56
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H08/09
Friendly International
Poland
#19
W
101-82
101
82
+19
H14/09
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A17/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H29/11
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A02/12
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H22/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A25/02
World Cup
Philippines
#46
W
108-62
108
62
+46
A31/08
World Cup
Angola
#25
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H02/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
25-25
15-17
25-22
16-26
20-8
24-17
11-11
25-25
29-27
19-13
28-17
20-14
19-14
13-23
17-12
20-24
22-11
11-18
17-12
18-31
23-21
24-21
13-21
15-9
19-6
18-18
23-8
16-26
13-21
22-14
22-25
37-8
25-16
23-15
23-23
25-11
19-10
26-21
22-19
152.0Avg total
81.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.468.5149.9+12.971%
Season at home (7)80.765.6146.3+15.186%
Season away (7)82.171.4153.6+10.757%
Last 10 (10)81.770.3152.0+11.470%
Last 5 (5)85.268.8154.0+16.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.678.0148.6-7.440%
vs Similar (4)72.074.5146.5-2.525%
vs Weaker (20)80.565.2145.7+15.280%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#43
W
87-50
87
50
+37
A29/06
World Cup
Germany
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H02/07
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A13/09
World Cup
Estonia
#40
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H16/09
World Cup
Israel
#44
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#2
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/12
World Cup
Estonia
#40
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A21/02
World Cup
Israel
#44
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H24/02
World Cup
Angola
#25
W
105-59
105
59
+46
A31/08
World Cup
Philippines
#46
W
126-67
126
67
+59
H02/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
19-7
23-18
27-14
23-21
18-14
19-21
21-32
18-16
14-19
15-16
16-19
22-16
23-13
29-11
17-25
24-29
21-14
15-16
14-24
29-14
15-21
23-13
17-13
16-14
18-17
20-18
16-22
26-18
23-15
18-17
30-26
29-20
21-12
28-15
27-12
28-13
34-22
37-13
27-19
156.8Avg total
87.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.471.5158.9+15.964%
Season at home (7)95.672.6168.1+23.086%
Season away (7)79.370.4149.7+8.943%
Last 10 (10)87.869.0156.8+18.860%
Last 5 (5)96.466.8163.2+29.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)77.375.8153.2+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.870.1157.9+17.779%
This opponent (Italy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
ItalySerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#18
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#56
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/09
Friendly International
Poland
#19
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H14/09
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A17/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/11
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A02/12
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
34-15
34
15
+19
H22/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A25/02
World Cup
Philippines
#46
W
62-24
62
24
+38
A31/08
World Cup
Angola
#25
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H02/09
World Cup
77.7Avg total
42.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.434.873.2+3.655%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.934.774.6+5.262%-
Last 30 away (16)37.234.972.1+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.135.677.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.031.873.8+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.239.471.6-7.220%-
vs Similar (4)37.538.075.5-0.525%-
vs Weaker (20)40.133.073.2+7.170%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#43
W
37-18
37
18
+19
A29/06
World Cup
Germany
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/07
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A13/09
World Cup
Estonia
#40
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H16/09
World Cup
Israel
#44
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H03/12
World Cup
Estonia
#40
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/02
World Cup
Israel
#44
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H24/02
World Cup
Angola
#25
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A31/08
World Cup
Philippines
#46
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H02/09
World Cup
76.5Avg total
43.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.433.776.1+8.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.934.379.2+10.587%-
Last 30 away (15)39.933.173.1+6.873%-
Last 10 (10)43.932.676.5+11.390%-
Last 5 (5)47.833.281.0+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)39.733.773.3+6.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.133.876.8+9.375%-
This opponent (Italy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
1
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
23/08/17Serbia v Italy73-65
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/19HAngola92-61
31/08/19APhilippines108-62
25/02/19ALithuania73-86
22/02/19HHungary75-41
02/12/18APoland78-94
29/11/18HLithuania70-65
17/09/18AHungary69-63
14/09/18HPoland101-82
08/09/18HGermany71-62
07/09/18HCzech Republic80-87
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/19HPhilippines126-67
31/08/19AAngola105-59
24/02/19HIsrael97-76
21/02/19AEstonia70-71
03/12/18HGreece84-61
30/11/18AIsrael74-83
16/09/18HEstonia91-65
13/09/18AGreece63-70
02/07/18HGermany81-88
29/06/18AGeorgia87-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
World Cup 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game81.480.782.1
Allowed / game68.565.671.4
Point differential+12.9+15.1+10.7
Avg total149.9146.3153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Serbia
World Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game87.495.679.3
Allowed / game71.572.670.4
Point differential+15.9+23.0+8.9
Avg total158.9168.1149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%86%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lithuania1413193%85.165.6+19.6
2 Australia1412286%88.963.4+25.5
3 France1412286%79.965.4+14.4
4 Spain1412286%78.669.5+9.1
5 Greece1412286%81.172.8+8.3
6 Argentina1210283%88.671.4+17.2
7 New Zealand1411379%91.274.7+16.5
8 Brazil1411379%78.568.5+10.0
9 Puerto Rico1310377%79.076.1+2.9
10 Nigeria1511473%89.369.8+19.5
11 Tunisia1511473%75.960.3+15.6
12 Poland1511473%79.872.9+6.9
13 Canada1410471%91.173.8+17.4
14 Italy1410471%81.468.5+12.9
15 Russia1410471%81.171.6+9.4
16 Venezuela1410471%74.470.6+3.8
17 Senegal1410471%71.768.8+2.9
18 Turkey139469%73.867.1+6.8
19 Czech Republic139469%75.374.2+1.1
20 South Korea1510567%84.781.1+3.5
21 Angola1510567%68.968.4+0.5
22 Serbia149564%87.471.5+15.9
23 Germany149564%82.872.5+10.3
24 Dominican Republic149564%80.676.1+4.6
25 Uruguay106460%69.771.7-2.0
26 Cameroon127558%72.766.2+6.5
27 Latvia127558%78.676.2+2.4
28 Egypt127558%66.866.6+0.2
29 China148657%82.169.1+13.0
30 Japan148657%80.872.8+8.0
31 Iran148657%74.169.5+4.6
32 Lebanon126650%78.871.5+7.2
33 Jordan147750%84.181.0+3.1
34 Hungary126650%69.770.8-1.1
35 Finland126650%76.177.2-1.2
36 Montenegro147750%75.877.1-1.3
37 Bulgaria168850%76.177.8-1.8
38 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
39 Central African Republic126650%68.070.3-2.3
40 Ivory Coast157847%66.363.8+2.5
41 Philippines157847%78.783.5-4.9
42 Estonia167944%70.076.0-6.0
43 Ukraine125742%75.774.3+1.3
44 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
45 Georgia125742%77.280.7-3.4
46 Israel125742%77.181.2-4.1
47 Mexico104640%74.274.2+0.0
48 Panama104640%71.674.1-2.5
49 Bosnia & Herzegovina1871139%76.379.0-2.7
50 Netherlands1661038%77.975.5+2.4
51 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
52 Croatia124833%71.574.2-2.8
53 Morocco124833%61.665.8-4.2
54 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
55 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
56 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
57 Kazakhstan124833%69.080.2-11.2
58 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
59 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
60 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
61 Slovenia123925%75.882.3-6.6
62 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
63 Mali123925%64.075.8-11.8
64 United States Virgin Islands123925%72.184.7-12.6
65 Chad123925%60.174.8-14.8
66 Rwanda123925%67.283.1-15.8
67 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
68 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
69 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
70 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
71 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
72 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
73 Chile1221017%61.474.8-13.3
74 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
75 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
76 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
77 Qatar1221017%61.085.6-24.6
78 Syria1221017%66.190.7-24.6
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2319152077
Serbia2822202292
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