PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Italy vs Nigeria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 04:40
Final 80-71
29-17 11-22 16-24 24-8
Position#7
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game81.0
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game91.5
EuropeOlympic Games
Other2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nigeria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#34
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H28/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
23-29
18-14
28-20
15-15
21-16
14-13
20-22
25-23
16-20
22-21
29-20
21-20
23-34
22-28
28-12
30-20
22-21
13-26
13-20
18-24
19-20
27-14
26-25
22-14
20-16
24-8
13-21
28-22
29-23
23-18
22-32
22-32
21-14
25-26
24-10
25-25
20-19
17-21
21-21
170.2Avg total
87.4Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.281.0170.2+8.280%
Season at home (3)84.076.0160.0+8.067%
Season away (2)97.088.5185.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.482.8170.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)89.281.0170.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.882.2158.0-6.525%
vs Similar (6)76.371.7148.0+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.573.9159.4+11.675%
This opponent (Nigeria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NigeriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#45
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H22/02
World Cup
Central African Republic
#37
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A23/02
World Cup
Senegal
#24
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A24/02
World Cup
Russia
#15
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A31/08
World Cup
Argentina
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H02/09
World Cup
South Korea
#16
W
108-66
108
66
+42
A04/09
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#45
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H06/09
World Cup
China
#29
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A08/09
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A25/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
92-99
92
99
-7
H28/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-14
9-14
12-27
15-17
14-14
18-11
21-15
19-19
19-27
15-13
19-23
10-21
13-18
22-22
23-18
19-24
17-28
26-15
18-29
20-22
17-15
32-16
30-19
29-16
24-18
13-17
26-11
20-20
19-21
16-10
25-20
26-22
23-23
17-20
12-15
15-26
21-24
29-26
24-24
18-25
155.4Avg total
77.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.591.5171.0-12.00%
Season at home (1)92.099.0191.0-7.00%
Season away (1)67.084.0151.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)77.577.9155.4-0.440%
Last 5 (5)87.277.6164.8+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.186.0160.1-11.912%
vs Similar (2)79.580.0159.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (20)87.969.7157.6+18.280%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
ItalyNigeria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#34
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H19/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A21/02
EuroBasket
Puerto Rico
#24
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H01/07
Olympic Games
Dominican Republic
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/07
Olympic Games
Serbia
#6
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A04/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/07
Olympic Games
Australia
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H28/07
Olympic Games
86.3Avg total
43.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.378.4+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.337.479.7+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.137.277.3+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.586.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.886.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.544.083.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (6)39.533.873.3+5.783%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.937.078.9+4.955%-
This opponent (Nigeria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NigeriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#45
L
19-28
19
28
-9
H22/02
World Cup
Central African Republic
#37
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A23/02
World Cup
Senegal
#24
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A24/02
World Cup
Russia
#15
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A31/08
World Cup
Argentina
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/09
World Cup
South Korea
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A04/09
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#45
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H06/09
World Cup
China
#29
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A08/09
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H28/07
Olympic Games
74.0Avg total
37.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.475.9+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.137.678.8+3.543%-
Last 30 away (16)40.133.473.4+6.775%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.674.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.080.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.443.181.5-4.812%-
vs Similar (2)37.533.571.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (20)41.832.574.2+9.375%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
0
Nigeria wins
No previous meetings.
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/21HAustralia83-86
25/07/21AGermany92-82
04/07/21ASerbia102-95
03/07/21HDominican Republic79-59
01/07/21HPuerto Rico90-83
21/02/21ANorth Macedonia78-87
19/02/21HEstonia101-105 OT
18/02/21HNorth Macedonia92-84
30/11/20ARussia70-66
23/02/20AEstonia87-81
Nigerialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/21HGermany92-99
25/07/21AAustralia67-84
08/09/19AChina86-73
06/09/19HIvory Coast83-66
04/09/19ASouth Korea108-66
02/09/19HArgentina81-94
31/08/19ARussia77-82
24/02/19ASenegal63-84
23/02/19ACentral African Republic72-59
22/02/19HIvory Coast46-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game89.284.097.0
Allowed / game81.076.088.5
Point differential+8.2+8.0+8.5
Avg total170.2160.0185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nigeria
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.592.067.0
Allowed / game91.599.084.0
Point differential-12.0-7.0-17.0
Avg total171.0191.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovenia660100%109.780.2+29.5
2 France220100%88.069.5+18.5
3 Spain220100%84.574.0+10.5
4 Australia220100%85.075.0+10.0
5 Germany65183%82.277.8+4.3
6 Italy54180%89.281.0+8.2
7 Brazil43175%85.868.2+17.5
8 Lithuania43175%86.271.8+14.5
9 Serbia43175%93.584.5+9.0
10 Canada32167%102.391.0+11.3
11 Turkey32167%81.779.0+2.7
12 Czech Republic64267%85.285.7-0.5
13 Greece42250%87.284.2+3.0
14 Dominican Republic31233%76.380.0-3.7
15 Venezuela31233%76.384.7-8.3
16 Mexico31233%74.082.7-8.7
17 Croatia31233%72.783.3-10.7
18 Poland31233%76.388.0-11.7
19 Russia2020%65.570.5-5.0
20 Uruguay2020%82.587.5-5.0
21 Iran2020%70.081.5-11.5
22 Nigeria2020%79.591.5-12.0
23 Puerto Rico2020%83.596.0-12.5
24 Argentina2020%85.599.5-14.0
25 Tunisia2020%63.579.0-15.5
26 Philippines2020%71.588.5-17.0
27 Japan2020%79.0102.0-23.0
28 South Korea2020%68.595.0-26.5
29 China2020%79.5107.0-27.5
30 Angola2020%66.0100.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2911162480
Nigeria172224871
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.