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James Madison vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 67-62
33-39 34-23
Position#110
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#54
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · James Madison v Arkansas State
31 Dec 2026
JAME v ARKA
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
JAME67
ARKA62
11 Mar 2024
JAME91
ARKA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

James Madison winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
99-81
99
81
+18
A21/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A23/11
NCAA
George Mason
#31
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H07/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
49-77
49
77
-28
A21/12
NCAA
Midway
#572
W
96-64
96
64
+32
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-41
54-40
28-34
39-39
40-29
31-36
24-26
37-40
37-27
34-34
44-28
34-33
32-31
26-44
26-34
23-43
55-23
41-41
33-31
50-41
142.8Avg total
73.3Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.269.6144.9+5.657%
Season at home (7)82.464.9147.3+17.686%
Season away (7)68.074.4142.4-6.429%
Last 10 (10)73.369.5142.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)72.869.8142.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)63.869.2133.0-5.525%
vs Similar (9)72.276.1148.3-3.944%
vs Weaker (17)84.367.2151.5+17.1100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lane College
#570
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A08/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H13/12
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
A15/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
78-59
78
59
+19
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
54-24
49-36
46-35
40-46
33-34
34-41
29-29
37-39
37-31
29-33
42-29
43-43
35-39
48-40
28-53
56-31
53-22
44-45
32-29
46-30
154.3Avg total
82.9Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.570.6151.1+9.979%
Season at home (9)77.966.7144.6+11.278%
Season away (5)85.277.8163.0+7.480%
Last 10 (10)82.971.4154.3+11.580%
Last 5 (5)88.273.2161.4+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.677.4153.0-1.957%
vs Similar (9)84.476.6161.0+7.978%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.867.2144.0+9.783%
This opponent (James Madison) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +4.2+4.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +4.2+4.2
James MadisonArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A23/11
NCAA
George Mason
#31
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H29/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A18/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Midway
#572
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H29/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
36.4Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.530.968.4+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.428.568.9+11.987%-
Last 30 away (15)34.633.367.9+1.367%-
Last 10 (10)36.430.466.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.029.467.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.530.561.0+0.025%-
vs Similar (9)35.233.368.6+1.978%-
vs Weaker (17)40.429.770.1+10.688%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lane College
#570
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A08/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/12
NCAA
UAB
#91
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A15/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A03/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
38.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.872.5+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.232.672.7+7.667%-
Last 30 away (12)36.535.872.2+0.858%-
Last 10 (10)38.932.571.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.472.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.136.771.9-1.643%-
vs Similar (9)39.637.677.1+2.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.830.168.8+8.775%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
James Madison wins
0
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HSouthern Miss83-72
29/12/24HMidway96-64
21/12/24ASouth Alabama49-77
18/12/24AWake Forest58-75
07/12/24HUtah Valley State78-61
04/12/24HEast Tennessee St71-61
29/11/24HGeorge Mason61-66
23/11/24AJacksonville State71-65
22/11/24AUC San Diego67-73
21/11/24AIllinois (Chi.)99-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AOld Dominion78-59
21/12/24HCoastal Carolina97-67
15/12/24AUAB98-89 OT
13/12/24HUT Arlington83-79
08/12/24AMemphis85-72
06/12/24HJackson State66-64
01/12/24HHofstra66-68
01/12/24HRice67-75
29/11/24AIndiana State86-81
23/11/24HLane College103-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

James Madison
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%86%29%
Points / game75.282.468.0
Allowed / game69.664.974.4
Point differential+5.6+17.6-6.4
Avg total144.9147.3142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%86%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %79%78%80%
Points / game80.577.985.2
Allowed / game70.666.777.8
Point differential+9.9+11.2+7.4
Avg total151.1144.6163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%44%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %14%11%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1411379%80.570.6+9.9
2 South Alabama1511473%75.160.9+14.3
3 Troy139469%74.966.0+8.9
4 James Madison148657%75.269.6+5.6
5 Texas State158753%75.568.9+6.6
6 Marshall158753%76.172.2+3.9
7 Coastal Carolina158753%69.267.1+2.1
8 Georgia Southern158753%73.678.9-5.3
9 Appalachian State147750%69.565.0+4.5
10 Southern Miss146843%72.176.6-4.5
11 Old Dominion145936%69.175.2-6.1
12 Georgia State1441029%69.978.9-9.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette1441029%66.075.2-9.2
14 Louisiana Monroe1641225%72.073.3-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
James Madison333467
Arkansas State392362
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