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UAB vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-98 (OT)
53-28 31-56 5-14
Position#91
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#54
Record8-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#97
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H08/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H10/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Aub.-Montgomery
#580
W
109-64
109
64
+45
H19/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H01/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-38
38-29
56-40
42-44
37-36
45-36
25-26
40-42
49-30
60-34
43-43
38-46
43-39
40-45
42-44
56-42
28-38
41-38
39-29
56-37
159.8Avg total
84.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.275.6159.8+8.650%
Season at home (7)85.174.0159.1+11.157%
Season away (3)82.079.3161.3+2.733%
Last 10 (10)84.275.6159.8+8.650%
Last 5 (5)85.280.2165.4+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.674.4148.0-0.943%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.474.6150.9+1.856%
vs Weaker (6)91.278.5169.7+12.783%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A08/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-43
39-45
33-27
47-36
30-24
29-25
54-24
49-36
46-35
40-46
33-34
34-41
29-29
37-39
37-31
29-33
42-29
43-43
35-39
48-40
147.3Avg total
77.4Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.670.4148.0+7.373%
Season at home (8)75.566.6142.1+8.975%
Season away (3)83.380.3163.7+3.067%
Last 10 (10)77.469.9147.3+7.570%
Last 5 (5)73.471.6145.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.677.4153.0-1.957%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.675.3156.9+6.370%
vs Weaker (11)75.469.5144.9+5.873%
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +1.1+1.1
UABArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#97
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H08/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Aub.-Montgomery
#580
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H01/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H07/12
NCAA
74.9Avg total
38.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.435.571.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.735.572.2+1.259%-
Last 30 away (13)35.935.471.3+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.374.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.677.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.733.463.1-3.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.436.272.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (6)41.836.878.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H16/11
NCAA
Lane College
#570
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H01/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A08/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/12
NCAA
69.4Avg total
37.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.872.5+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.433.272.6+6.265%-
Last 30 away (13)37.734.672.3+3.162%-
Last 10 (10)37.931.569.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.467.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.136.771.9-1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.936.276.1+3.760%-
vs Weaker (11)38.330.568.8+7.773%-
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UAB wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Arkansas State v UAB87-68
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HPrairie View A&M95-66
01/12/24HMiddle Tenn. St.69-76
25/11/24ALouisiana Lafayette98-86
23/11/24AIllinois State83-84
22/11/24HLongwood81-89
19/11/24HAub.-Montgomery109-64
16/11/24AHigh Point65-68
10/11/24HSE Louisiana82-72
08/11/24HSouthern Miss98-84
05/11/24HVermont62-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HUT Arlington83-79
08/12/24AMemphis85-72
06/12/24HJackson State66-64
01/12/24HHofstra66-68
01/12/24HRice67-75
29/11/24AIndiana State86-81
23/11/24HLane College103-60
16/11/24HStephen F. Austin59-49
13/11/24HUALR80-63
09/11/24AAlabama79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UAB
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %50%57%33%
Points / game84.285.182.0
Allowed / game75.674.079.3
Point differential+8.6+11.1+2.7
Avg total159.8159.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW73%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game77.675.583.3
Allowed / game70.466.680.3
Point differential+7.3+8.9+3.0
Avg total148.0142.1163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State108280%78.274.1+4.1
2 Memphis108280%81.177.1+4.0
3 Rice107370%70.366.3+4.0
4 North Texas96367%66.958.4+8.4
5 East Carolina117464%77.369.9+7.4
6 Temple106460%78.873.5+5.3
7 Florida Atlantic127558%86.176.8+9.2
8 Charlotte95456%72.170.8+1.3
9 UAB105550%84.275.6+8.6
10 South Florida105550%76.177.7-1.6
11 UTSA Roadrunners105550%77.479.2-1.8
12 Tulane125742%73.068.1+4.9
13 Tulsa114736%74.277.0-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State118373%77.670.4+7.3
2 South Alabama107370%74.266.7+7.5
3 Texas State117464%76.967.6+9.3
4 James Madison106460%76.768.7+8.0
5 Appalachian State106460%71.464.4+7.0
6 Troy106460%72.368.0+4.3
7 Marshall116555%76.973.5+3.5
8 Georgia Southern116555%74.578.4-3.8
9 Coastal Carolina105550%68.566.7+1.8
10 Georgia State104640%74.378.0-3.7
11 Southern Miss104640%72.578.5-6.0
12 Louisiana Monroe124833%73.071.6+1.4
13 Old Dominion113827%67.977.8-9.9
14 Louisiana Lafayette112918%66.378.1-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UAB5331589
Arkansas State28561498
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