PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

James Madison vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 73-71
32-32 41-39
Position#169
Record11-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#156
Record12-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

James Madison winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H08/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A17/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H23/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H24/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A30/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
39-40
25-36
39-30
27-44
43-25
27-38
38-42
32-36
40-41
40-36
43-54
47-28
35-29
31-28
42-36
21-29
44-44
32-29
29-35
142.7Avg total
71.3Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.975.2149.1-1.446%
Season at home (11)74.468.5142.8+5.973%
Season away (13)73.581.0154.5-7.523%
Last 10 (10)71.371.4142.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)72.869.6142.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.681.0150.6-11.429%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.177.9155.0-0.740%
vs Weaker (7)76.069.1145.1+6.986%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/01
NCAA
Valle de Egues
#28
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A17/01
Segunda FEB
UMass
#189
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H31/01
NCAA
Leonesa
#19
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H01/02
Segunda FEB
Kent State
#52
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Ponferrada
#14
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A07/02
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
52-50
0-0
49-35
0-0
41-35
0-0
43-52
19-23
21-17
24-16
17-27
0-0
34-35
0-0
48-49
0-0
39-38
0-0
34-34
0-0
49-41
0-0
32-50
0-0
39-27
0-0
34-28
25-13
12-12
15-19
21-10
0-0
36-29
0-0
36-46
16-29
11-25
16-13
20-22
155.8Avg total
78.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.377.7159.0+3.752%
Season at home (12)83.974.8158.7+9.267%
Season away (11)78.580.8159.4-2.336%
Last 10 (10)78.377.5155.8+0.840%
Last 5 (5)72.472.8145.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.685.8159.4-12.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.381.9163.2-0.636%
vs Weaker (10)84.270.0154.2+14.290%
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -1.2-1.2
James MadisonToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H08/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H10/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H24/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.135.370.4-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.933.269.1+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)34.337.271.5-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.865.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.064.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.735.767.4-4.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.237.272.4-2.040%-
vs Weaker (7)37.731.769.4+6.071%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Valle de Egues
#28
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/01
Segunda FEB
UMass
#189
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A28/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Leonesa
#19
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H01/02
Segunda FEB
Kent State
#52
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H04/02
NCAA
Ponferrada
#14
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A07/02
Segunda FEB
76.8Avg total
39.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.877.2+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.435.476.8+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.977.5-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.476.8+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.272.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.045.882.8-8.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.738.176.9+0.657%-
vs Weaker (10)40.534.374.8+6.270%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
James Madison wins
1
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Toledo v James Madison72-69
James Madisonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette61-64
31/01/26ASouthern Miss65-73
30/01/26ATroy73-64
24/01/26HTexas State82-57
23/01/26HSouth Alabama83-90
17/01/26AMarshall72-77
15/01/26AAppalachian State65-80
10/01/26HOld Dominion70-69
08/01/26HMarshall64-66
03/01/26AArkansas State78-74
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26APonferrada63-89
04/02/26HKent State72-75
01/02/26HLeonesa73-54
31/01/26HBall State73-55
28/01/26AAkron81-91
24/01/26HBowling Green73-72
20/01/26AUMass82-84
17/01/26AValle de Egues81-83
16/01/26AKent State84-87
14/01/26HOhio101-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

James Madison
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL46%
HomeLWLWL73%
AwayWLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %46%73%23%
Points / game73.974.473.5
Allowed / game75.268.581.0
Point differential-1.4+5.9-7.5
Avg total149.1142.8154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game81.383.978.5
Allowed / game77.774.880.8
Point differential+3.7+9.2-2.3
Avg total159.0158.7159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2416867%83.375.2+8.1
2 Appalachian State2617965%71.364.1+7.2
3 Marshall2315865%80.274.2+6.0
4 South Alabama2314961%72.368.1+4.1
5 Arkansas State25151060%81.477.2+4.2
6 Texas State26151158%73.770.7+3.0
7 Coastal Carolina26151158%73.772.3+1.3
8 Georgia Southern25141156%81.079.6+1.4
9 Southern Miss26131350%73.373.2+0.2
10 James Madison24111346%73.975.2-1.4
11 Georgia State2591636%70.873.9-3.1
12 Louisiana Lafayette2481633%61.568.6-7.0
13 Old Dominion2471729%74.077.8-3.8
14 Louisiana Monroe2542116%71.882.1-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)23230100%92.874.3+18.5
2 Akron2319483%90.474.0+16.4
3 Kent State2416867%85.880.3+5.4
4 Buffalo2314961%79.775.5+4.2
5 UMass25151060%80.675.8+4.8
6 Bowling Green24141058%83.071.0+12.1
7 Ohio24131154%78.077.3+0.7
8 Toledo23121152%81.377.7+3.7
9 Eastern Michigan2491538%70.772.4-1.7
10 Northern Illinois2281436%73.076.4-3.3
11 Ball State2381535%66.970.1-3.3
12 Western Michigan2381535%74.679.6-5.0
13 Central Michigan2371630%73.178.3-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
James Madison324173
Toledo323971
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.