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Southern Miss vs James Madison Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 73-65
29-21 44-44
Position#174
Record11-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#169
Record11-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Miss v James Madison
19 Dec 2026
SOUT v JAME
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
SOUT86
JAME80
31 Jan 2026
SOUT73
JAME65
06 Jan 2024
SOUT81
JAME71
21 Jan 2023
SOUT83
JAME70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
James Madison winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#230
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
80-70 OT
80
70
+10
H09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A24/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
32-49
45-38
42-35
33-27
41-40
29-28
36-37
31-28
39-32
26-42
39-49
28-27
39-47
32-30
30-39
25-39
42-46
27-29
36-41
144.6Avg total
69.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.573.6147.1-0.048%
Season at home (10)76.666.6143.2+10.080%
Season away (13)71.278.9150.1-7.823%
Last 10 (10)69.774.9144.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)64.877.8142.6-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.780.0149.7-10.314%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.975.9146.8-5.127%
vs Weaker (8)77.865.2143.0+12.588%
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
A20/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A30/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H08/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A17/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H23/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H24/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
41-43
28-48
46-55
39-34
39-40
25-36
39-30
27-44
43-25
27-38
38-42
32-36
40-41
40-36
43-54
47-28
35-29
31-28
42-36
152.9Avg total
75.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.975.9150.7-1.050%
Season at home (10)75.768.9144.6+6.880%
Season away (12)74.281.7155.8-7.525%
Last 10 (10)75.377.6152.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)75.073.6148.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.681.0150.6-11.429%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.078.2156.2-0.243%
vs Weaker (8)77.170.5147.6+6.688%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
Southern MissJames Madison
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#230
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A15/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H30/01
NCAA
63.5Avg total
30.6Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.233.365.6-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.231.663.8+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)32.335.167.3-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)30.632.963.5-2.360%-
Last 5 (5)27.633.461.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.734.966.6-3.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.333.864.1-3.533%-
vs Weaker (8)36.231.167.4+5.188%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A30/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H08/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H10/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H24/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A30/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
33.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.771.6+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.233.569.8+2.762%-
Last 30 away (17)35.637.473.1-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)33.536.570.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.268.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.735.767.4-4.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.237.874.0-1.643%-
vs Weaker (8)38.832.971.6+5.975%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern Miss wins
1
James Madison wins
Southern Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HAppalachian State63-70
24/01/26ACoastal Carolina67-85
23/01/26AGeorgia State62-69
17/01/26ATexas State67-74
15/01/26ATroy65-91
10/01/26HLouisiana Monroe70-60
09/01/26HTexas State80-70 OT
03/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette74-67
01/01/26ALouisiana Monroe87-73
30/12/25ALSU62-90
James Madisonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26ATroy73-64
24/01/26HTexas State82-57
23/01/26HSouth Alabama83-90
17/01/26AMarshall72-77
15/01/26AAppalachian State65-80
10/01/26HOld Dominion70-69
08/01/26HMarshall64-66
03/01/26AArkansas State78-74
30/12/25AArkansas74-103
20/12/25AGeorgia Southern92-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWLWWL80%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %48%80%23%
Points / game73.576.671.2
Allowed / game73.666.678.9
Point differential-0.0+10.0-7.8
Avg total147.1143.2150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %9%10%8%
James Madison
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLWLW80%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %50%80%25%
Points / game74.975.774.2
Allowed / game75.968.981.7
Point differential-1.0+6.8-7.5
Avg total150.7144.6155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2215768%85.576.1+9.4
2 Marshall2113862%80.674.7+6.0
3 South Alabama2113862%73.168.3+4.8
4 Appalachian State2314961%72.165.4+6.7
5 Georgia Southern2314961%82.380.1+2.2
6 Arkansas State2213959%82.579.1+3.3
7 Coastal Carolina23131057%72.771.3+1.4
8 Texas State24131154%73.471.1+2.3
9 James Madison22111150%74.975.9-1.0
10 Southern Miss23111248%73.573.6-0.0
11 Georgia State2291341%71.174.0-2.9
12 Old Dominion2371630%73.777.4-3.7
13 Louisiana Lafayette2261627%61.169.3-8.2
14 Louisiana Monroe2231914%71.082.6-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss294473
James Madison214465
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