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Toledo vs James Madison Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-69
38-41 34-28
Position#167
Record14-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.9
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#110
Record15-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
James Madison winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H22/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
41-37
46-33
44-54
34-30
35-37
42-30
36-55
44-40
49-35
30-44
34-39
43-38
41-33
47-39
39-44
50-35
39-50
42-32
45-42
159.6Avg total
81.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.177.9157.0+1.264%
Season at home (11)79.876.8156.6+3.073%
Season away (11)78.579.0157.5-0.555%
Last 10 (10)81.678.0159.6+3.680%
Last 5 (5)82.079.2161.2+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.681.5153.1-9.836%
vs Similar (12)79.074.1153.1+4.975%
vs Weaker (7)89.972.4162.3+17.486%
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H04/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A11/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H01/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
34-23
34-32
44-48
30-49
36-37
39-25
28-39
20-20
30-38
37-29
37-31
47-39
39-40
36-30
37-34
36-25
32-29
32-28
32-33
136.1Avg total
69.3Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.868.5141.2+4.362%
Season at home (13)74.362.8137.2+11.585%
Season away (11)70.975.1146.0-4.236%
Last 10 (10)69.366.8136.1+2.570%
Last 5 (5)73.063.6136.6+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.366.7131.0-2.350%
vs Similar (12)69.674.2143.8-4.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.965.4147.3+16.5100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -0.3-0.3
ToledoJames Madison
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H22/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H05/02
NCAA
76.7Avg total
41.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.672.6+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.432.670.1+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.636.975.6+1.764%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.476.7+5.990%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.338.572.8-4.336%-
vs Similar (12)37.932.870.8+5.167%-
vs Weaker (7)44.031.675.6+12.4100%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
D
20-20
20
20
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H06/02
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.430.767.1+5.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.727.965.6+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)34.934.068.9+0.971%-
Last 10 (10)34.431.666.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.267.8+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.231.562.7-0.333%-
vs Similar (12)34.332.566.8+1.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.128.669.7+12.5100%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
James Madison wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HBuffalo87-74
01/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-85
29/01/25AOhio86-83
24/01/25ABowling Green84-71
22/01/25HKent State64-83
18/01/25ABall State93-75
15/01/25AAkron78-85
11/01/25HCentral Michigan69-67
08/01/25HEastern Michigan90-87
04/01/25AWestern Michigan76-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HTroy64-61
01/02/25HOld Dominion68-54
31/01/25HCoastal Carolina73-64
25/01/25AGeorgia State86-79
23/01/25AOld Dominion74-60
18/01/25HAppalachian State50-58
17/01/25HMarshall67-64
11/01/25AAppalachian State66-86
10/01/25AMarshall78-80
04/01/25HArkansas State67-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%73%55%
Points / game79.179.878.5
Allowed / game77.976.879.0
Point differential+1.2+3.0-0.5
Avg total157.0156.6157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%27%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
James Madison
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%85%36%
Points / game72.874.370.9
Allowed / game68.562.875.1
Point differential+4.3+11.5-4.2
Avg total141.2137.2146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)2318578%81.472.3+9.1
2 Akron2217577%83.972.9+11.0
3 Kent State2214864%70.064.4+5.6
4 Toledo2214864%79.177.9+1.2
5 Ohio22121055%80.575.2+5.4
6 Central Michigan22101245%74.070.3+3.6
7 Ball State22101245%76.074.0+2.0
8 Eastern Michigan22101245%72.277.5-5.3
9 UMass23101343%75.775.1+0.6
10 Bowling Green2281436%75.576.3-0.8
11 Buffalo2271532%72.581.9-9.5
12 Western Michigan2371630%70.476.2-5.7
13 Northern Illinois2251723%71.776.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2418675%78.669.6+9.0
2 South Alabama2416867%72.162.2+9.9
3 Troy2415962%72.965.3+7.5
4 James Madison2415962%72.868.5+4.3
5 Appalachian State2314961%69.263.3+5.9
6 Marshall25151060%75.571.4+4.2
7 Georgia Southern25131252%74.676.7-2.1
8 Texas State24121250%76.172.7+3.4
9 Old Dominion24111346%68.071.3-3.3
10 Southern Miss24101442%72.075.0-3.0
11 Georgia State2491538%74.579.5-5.0
12 Coastal Carolina2481633%67.071.2-4.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette2471729%66.574.6-8.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2561924%68.673.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo383472
James Madison412869
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