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Jamtland vs BC Lulea Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Projected 91-91
Projected total 181.7
Scheduled
Position#3
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game82.1
Jamtland
Sweden
Vs
51%
49%
■ JAMT 51%■ LUL 49%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
BC Lulea
Sweden
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game81.6
SwedenBasketligan· Ostersunds Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Jamtland v BC Lulea
17 Nov 2026
JAMT v LUL
upcoming
29 Sep 2026
JAMT96
LUL87
22 Nov 2025
JAMT109
LUL102
07 Dec 2024
JAMT91
LUL95
16 Nov 2024
JAMT94
LUL91
17 Jan 2024
JAMT85
LUL78
25 Sep 2023
JAMT85
LUL59
17 Feb 2023
JAMT90
LUL77
15 Oct 2022
JAMT65
LUL81
17 Feb 2022
JAMT84
LUL88
15 Nov 2021
JAMT79
LUL86
29 Apr 2021
JAMT87
LUL72
27 Apr 2021
JAMT92
LUL90
13 Feb 2021
JAMT92
LUL80
24 Oct 2020
JAMT68
LUL80
28 Feb 2020
JAMT91
LUL71
04 Oct 2019
JAMT94
LUL98
02 Apr 2019
JAMT86
LUL75
28 Mar 2019
JAMT89
LUL80
15 Jan 2019
JAMT95
LUL99
15 Oct 2018
JAMT92
LUL108
10 Feb 2018
JAMT72
LUL84
03 Nov 2017
JAMT70
LUL90
10 Feb 2017
JAMT78
LUL89
11 Nov 2016
JAMT85
LUL99
19 Jan 2016
JAMT75
LUL84
03 Feb 2015
JAMT71
LUL89
12 Dec 2014
JAMT73
LUL77
14 Feb 2014
JAMT90
LUL97
15 Nov 2013
JAMT83
LUL101
04 Jan 2013
JAMT94
LUL93
29 Dec 2011
JAMT86
LUL70
11 Oct 2011
JAMT96
LUL84
11 Feb 2011
JAMT94
LUL86
19 Nov 2010
JAMT70
LUL78
29 Dec 2009
JAMT58
LUL83
29 Sep 2009
JAMT61
LUL83
13 Feb 2009
JAMT88
LUL87
20 Nov 2008
JAMT69
LUL101
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Jamtland host BC Luleå on 17 November 2026 in a Basketligan clash that feels almost evenly matched, with the margin of victory a whisper. Both clubs finish the season with identical 8-2 records, Jamtland averaging 91.0 points per game while allowing 82.4, and BC Luleå scoring 97.6 and conceding 82.7; Jamtland sits third and BC Luleå second in the league. At home Jamtland has gone 3-1, scoring 97.8 and giving up 85.0, and has won its last five outings, including a 97-94 win over Koping Stars on 10 November and a 92-74 triumph at home on 30 October. BC Luleå's road record is 3-2, with 94.0 points for and 87.0 against, and they have won four of their last five, highlighted by a 104-79 victory over Uppsala on 6 November. In their ten previous meetings Jamtland has prevailed seven times, most recently 96-87 on 29 September. Pythia gives Jamtland a 51% chance to win versus 49% for BC Luleå, projecting a 91-91 score for a total of 181.7 points, and a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Jamtland can sustain its recent form against a BC Luleå side that has already proven capable of outscoring its opponents by double-digit margins.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jamtland win
51.4%fair 1.95
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea win
48.6%fair 2.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JamtlandSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJamtland
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#1
W
96-87
96
87
+9
86avg 91
H29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
61avg 91
A03/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
93-69
93
69
+24
91avg 91
A09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
92-99
92
99
-7
89avg 91
H13/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
87avg 91
A16/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
111-80
111
80
+31
104avg 91
H23/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 91
A26/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 91
H30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
no box
A10/11
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
105-79
105
79
+26
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
20-21
19-17
27-28
11-15
11-22
15-24
39-30
21-23
22-20
27-19
23-7
23-26
21-26
27-15
21-32
26-17
27-21
15-17
21-20
10-26
32-20
36-12
33-22
22-23
25-22
24-21
15-17
25-18
30-18
19-23
18-15
24-21
15-21
29-29
29-23
25-27
30-17
27-26
23-9
176.8Avg total
93.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.382.1174.4+10.282%
Season at home (5)99.283.8183.0+15.480%
Season away (6)86.580.7167.2+5.883%
Last 10 (10)93.783.1176.8+10.680%
Last 5 (5)98.282.0180.2+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)94.589.0183.5+5.5100%
vs Similar (12)91.293.2184.5-2.050%
vs Weaker (16)99.785.8185.5+13.994%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
73avg 85
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
108-77
108
77
+31
106avg 85
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
113-81
113
81
+32
107avg 85
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
86avg 85
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 85
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
108-71
108
71
+37
100avg 85
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
81avg 85
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
86avg 85
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
21-20
17-19
28-27
29-11
27-18
30-19
22-29
26-25
25-24
22-16
40-16
21-16
28-14
25-13
17-31
21-26
22-20
17-22
22-17
33-20
21-10
37-17
17-24
21-25
20-20
24-23
16-13
28-16
20-27
18-13
26-24
32-22
27-22
16-20
29-15
20-20
16-18
22-13
24-20
177.0Avg total
96.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.281.6177.8+14.582%
Season at home (6)98.077.2175.2+20.8100%
Season away (5)94.087.0181.0+7.060%
Last 10 (10)96.380.7177.0+15.680%
Last 5 (5)96.478.8175.2+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
vs Similar (5)83.479.6163.0+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.980.7174.6+13.279%
This opponent (Jamtland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
81.5%
Under 166.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
72.3%
Under 171.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
61.2%
Under 176.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Jamtland total 83.5
Over 83.5
76.4%
Under 83.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jamtland total 87.5
Over 87.5
63.0%
Under 87.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jamtland total 91.5
Over 91.5
47.8%
Under 91.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Lulea total 80
Over 80
85.4%
Under 80
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Lulea total 84
Over 84
74.4%
Under 84
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BC Lulea total 88
Over 88
60.0%
Under 88
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Jamtland -3
JAMT -3
42.2%
LUL +3
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
JAMT
No market prices yet.
LUL
No market prices yet.
Spread Jamtland 0
JAMT 0
51.4%
LUL 0
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
JAMT
No market prices yet.
LUL
No market prices yet.
Spread Jamtland +3
JAMT +3
60.5%
LUL -3
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
JAMT
No market prices yet.
LUL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
JamtlandBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JamtlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H29/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A03/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H13/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A16/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/11
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H13/11
Basketligan
87.5Avg total
45.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.544.092.5+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.143.792.8+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)47.944.392.2+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.587.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.690.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)51.044.095.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (12)46.044.290.2+1.867%-
vs Weaker (16)50.143.893.9+6.369%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H13/11
Basketligan
88.3Avg total
47.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.040.386.3+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.938.885.7+8.259%-
Last 30 away (13)44.742.387.0+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)47.940.488.3+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.087.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.540.783.2+1.833%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.484.4+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.839.987.7+7.974%-
This opponent (Jamtland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jamtlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jamtland: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.2
54.7%
52.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
33.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.0
77.3%
74.1%17.0
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.3
57.8%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.2
39.7%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
74.1%17.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jamtland
WWWWWWLWLW
BC Lulea
WWWWWLWWWL
#3
League position
#1
+7.8
Net rating
+13.2
99.1
Offensive rating
108.4
91.3
Defensive rating
95.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
58.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.2%
3-point %
39.7%
59.2%
Assist %
47.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 108.4Defence91.3 · 95.2Shooting53.2% · 58.5%3-point %34.2% · 39.7%Ball care14.9% · 12.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Jamtland   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Jamtland wins
3
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
29/09/26Jamtland v BC Lulea96-87
03/02/26BC Lulea v Jamtland90-95
22/11/25Jamtland v BC Lulea109-102
07/10/25BC Lulea v Jamtland96-87
28/03/25BC Lulea v Jamtland84-91
24/01/25BC Lulea v Jamtland82-77
07/12/24Jamtland v BC Lulea91-95
16/11/24Jamtland v BC Lulea94-91
15/03/24BC Lulea v Jamtland91-92 OT
17/01/24Jamtland v BC Lulea85-78
Jamtlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HHogsbo105-79
10/11/26AKoping Stars97-94
30/10/26HNassjo92-74
26/10/26ANorrkoping86-83
23/10/26HSloga Uppsala111-80
16/10/26AHogsbo89-75
13/10/26HBoras92-99
09/10/26AUmea93-69
03/10/26ASodertalje76-91
29/09/26HBC Lulea96-87
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSodertalje82-71
06/11/26HUppsala104-79
30/10/26ANorrkoping92-80
27/10/26AUmea96-93 OT
23/10/26HHogsbo108-71
16/10/26ASodertalje82-85
13/10/26HNassjo91-74
09/10/26ABoras113-81
02/10/26HSloga Uppsala108-77
29/09/26AJamtland87-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jamtland
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game92.399.286.5
Allowed / game82.183.880.7
Point differential+10.2+15.4+5.8
Avg total174.4183.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game96.298.094.0
Allowed / game81.677.287.0
Point differential+14.5+20.8+7.0
Avg total177.8175.2181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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