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Japan vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 98-88
22-15 14-31 27-27 35-15
Position#28
Record7-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game73.8
Japan 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record9-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A17/07
Asia Cup
Philippines
#7
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H19/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A21/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#51
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A25/08
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H30/08
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A11/11
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A14/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
96-61
96
61
+35
H23/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H26/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A25/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
10-21
12-20
30-20
32-16
18-18
27-29
25-18
22-33
12-16
20-26
31-24
27-25
5-19
15-21
21-14
14-13
13-14
22-10
24-11
24-10
26-23
13-24
24-17
16-14
29-13
28-19
8-15
22-16
30-13
23-16
21-16
32-19
19-16
22-22
22-15
11-23
20-30
16-16
16-12
157.0Avg total
82.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.473.8149.2+1.654%
Season at home (6)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Season away (7)71.775.0146.7-3.343%
Last 10 (10)82.674.4157.0+8.260%
Last 5 (5)84.469.8154.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.795.9166.6-25.10%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.687.9160.5-15.20%
vs Weaker (15)89.364.4153.7+24.987%
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A05/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H08/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H11/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A11/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
H25/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
12-29
14-14
22-24
29-18
22-27
21-14
26-29
26-11
22-20
28-18
12-18
20-21
25-22
22-22
27-21
30-19
22-24
15-30
23-27
19-22
17-22
16-25
28-25
21-16
18-25
27-15
25-15
13-28
22-18
25-24
23-13
22-17
21-29
19-23
19-18
21-17
19-28
14-25
18-28
174.7Avg total
86.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.879.4160.2+1.469%
Season at home (7)81.677.9159.4+3.771%
Season away (6)79.881.2161.0-1.367%
Last 10 (10)86.188.6174.7-2.550%
Last 5 (5)84.289.0173.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.284.3158.6-10.117%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.778.2163.9+7.590%
vs Weaker (8)84.275.6159.9+8.688%
This opponent (Japan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
JapanFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/07
Asia Cup
Philippines
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H19/07
Asia Cup
Australia
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/07
Asia Cup
Iran
#51
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A25/08
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H30/08
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A11/11
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A14/11
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H23/02
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/08
World Cup
78.5Avg total
40.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.278.9-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.438.776.1-1.338%-
Last 30 away (17)39.641.481.0-1.735%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.978.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.481.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.449.182.6-15.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.245.078.2-11.812%-
vs Weaker (15)44.033.577.5+10.567%-
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#3
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A05/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H06/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H08/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H25/08
World Cup
86.9Avg total
42.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.577.5+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.437.677.9+2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)37.339.676.9-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.686.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.140.575.6-5.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.637.577.1+2.160%-
vs Weaker (8)43.936.980.8+7.062%-
This opponent (Japan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Japan wins
0
Finland wins
No previous meetings.
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/08/23AGermany63-81
26/02/23HBahrain95-72
23/02/23HIran96-61
14/11/22AKazakhstan81-61
11/11/22ABahrain87-74
30/08/22HKazakhstan73-48
25/08/22AIran68-79
21/07/22AAustralia85-99
19/07/22HPhilippines102-81
17/07/22AIran76-88
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/08/23HAustralia72-98
27/02/23HGermany81-87
24/02/23AIsrael97-95 OT
14/11/22HEstonia91-71
11/11/22AGermany80-94
13/09/22ASpain90-100
11/09/22HCroatia94-86
08/09/22HNetherlands88-67
06/09/22HCzech Republic98-88
05/09/22ASerbia70-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game75.479.771.7
Allowed / game73.872.375.0
Point differential+1.6+7.3-3.3
Avg total149.2152.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%67%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland
World Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL69%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game80.881.679.8
Allowed / game79.477.981.2
Point differential+1.4+3.7-1.3
Avg total160.2159.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1716194%85.570.3+15.2
3 Canada1413193%99.668.5+31.1
4 Australia1412286%83.858.1+25.6
5 Germany1412286%80.471.4+9.1
6 Spain1311285%83.967.4+16.5
7 South Sudan1311285%79.967.2+12.7
8 Puerto Rico119282%82.678.4+4.3
9 New Zealand108280%92.668.9+23.7
10 Angola1411379%74.062.6+11.4
11 Dominican Republic1411379%82.873.2+9.6
12 France1310377%79.864.4+15.5
13 China1310377%78.669.0+9.6
14 Lithuania1310377%78.170.7+7.4
15 Ivory Coast1310377%74.568.1+6.4
16 Montenegro1813572%77.971.2+6.8
17 Serbia139469%82.876.3+6.5
18 Italy139469%86.383.2+3.1
19 Finland139469%80.879.4+1.4
20 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
21 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
22 Greece128467%78.775.2+3.5
23 Lebanon149564%87.179.1+8.0
24 Brazil117464%88.170.5+17.6
25 Mexico117464%82.578.4+4.1
26 Venezuela138562%77.869.7+8.2
27 Jordan138562%78.273.8+4.5
28 Slovenia138562%84.280.2+3.9
29 Georgia138562%80.877.6+3.2
30 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
31 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
32 Egypt148657%73.067.7+5.3
33 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
34 Japan137654%75.473.8+1.6
35 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
36 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
37 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
38 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
39 Philippines126650%79.477.9+1.5
40 Cape Verde126650%71.170.8+0.3
41 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
42 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
43 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
44 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
45 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
46 Iran136746%70.471.1-0.7
47 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
48 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
49 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan2214273598
Finland1531271588
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