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Japan vs South Korea Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 88-80
19-22 24-17 25-18 20-23
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Japan 🏆
vs
South Korea
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2024
Meetings · Japan v South Korea
01 Mar 2026
JAPA78
SOUT72
07 Jul 2024
JAPA88
SOUT80
30 Sep 2023
JAPA83
SOUT77
14 Aug 2017
JAPA68
SOUT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Korea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
95-63
95
63
+32
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 70
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 70
H25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-22
17-21
33-15
17-19
33-18
23-18
7-16
33-13
23-21
18-7
21-22
21-15
17-19
14-16
18-7
23-17
20-20
18-16
22-24
12-28
13-15
18-23
23-19
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
19-20
19-18
17-13
21-22
147.4Avg total
76.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.271.2147.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)69.673.4143.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.984.6153.4-15.729%
vs Similar (8)77.687.6165.2-10.025%
vs Weaker (15)87.164.5151.5+22.693%
South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H21/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
95-55
95
55
+40
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
76-64
76
64
+12
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
55avg 82
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
96-62
96
62
+34
108avg 82
H25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
23-14
14-20
18-28
20-8
30-23
22-13
23-11
22-13
21-16
24-18
9-17
17-23
20-20
16-18
24-22
24-20
31-16
20-15
13-22
12-20
17-30
15-16
26-18
20-21
28-19
15-26
19-23
19-18
22-7
18-18
15-12
15-14
25-22
17-17
14-32
28-15
27-16
17-11
24-20
154.5Avg total
80.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.773.8154.5+6.950%
Last 5 (5)78.675.0153.6+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.290.6161.8-19.30%
vs Similar (7)82.078.0160.0+4.057%
vs Weaker (14)90.969.6160.5+21.293%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
JapanSouth Korea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
76.9Avg total
38.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.978.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.538.277.8+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.879.6-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.776.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.872.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.745.077.7-12.314%-
vs Similar (8)32.446.478.8-14.00%-
vs Weaker (15)44.934.179.0+10.967%-
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/07
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H26/09
Asian Games
Qatar
#11
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A28/09
Asian Games
Japan
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A30/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H02/10
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A03/10
Asian Games
Iran
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/10
Asian Games
Japan
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/10
Asian Games
Australia
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H25/02
Asia Cup
80.5Avg total
44.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.779.3+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.979.0+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.238.479.6+2.847%-
Last 10 (10)44.436.180.5+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.479.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.244.279.4-9.022%-
vs Similar (7)40.638.378.9+2.343%-
vs Weaker (14)46.333.179.4+13.179%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀33%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.012.5
44.6%
55.7%25.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.511.5
29.9%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.517.0
79.1%
71.8%17.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.0
51.0%
55.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.5
33.3%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.510.0
74.1%
71.8%10.0
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 07 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan
WWLLLWWWWW
South Korea
WLWLLWLWWL
+17.4
Net rating
+12.3
102.4
Offensive rating
101.6
85.0
Defensive rating
89.3
44.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
37.9%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
13.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.19
29.9%
3-point %
33.3%
72.9%
Assist %
73.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 101.6Defence85.0 · 89.3Shooting44.7% · 50.7%3-point %29.9% · 33.3%Ball care13.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds24.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Japan   ■ South Korea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Japan wins
4
South Korea wins
DateGameScore
06/10/23South Korea v Japan74-55
30/09/23Japan v South Korea83-77
14/08/17Japan v South Korea68-81
01/10/14South Korea v Japan71-63
25/11/10South Korea v Japan55-51
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HChina76-73
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79
03/10/23HChinese Taipei66-85
30/09/23HSouth Korea83-77
28/09/23AIndonesia70-57
26/09/23HQatar95-63
02/09/23HCape Verde80-71
31/08/23HVenezuela86-77
South Korealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HThailand96-62
22/02/24AAustralia71-85
06/10/23HJapan74-55
04/10/23AIran82-89
03/10/23AChina70-84
02/10/23HBahrain88-73
30/09/23AJapan77-83
28/09/23AQatar76-64
26/09/23HIndonesia95-55
21/07/22HNew Zealand78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
South Korea
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan1924252088
South Korea2217182380
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