Jelgava vs Valmiera/ORDO Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 98-85

17-16 27-19 24-18 30-32

Position#9

Record4-6

FormLWLWL

Points / game69.3

Allowed / game78.1

Jelgava 🏆

Valmiera/ORDO

Position#1

Record9-1

FormLWWLW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game69.2

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jelgava winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valmiera/ORDO winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

53-60

-7

A29/09

LBL

Jekabpils

78-73

A07/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

87-75

+12

H10/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

58-84

-26

H17/10

LBL

Ventspils

64-70

-6

H30/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

67-90

-23

A04/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

73-67

A08/11

LBL

Ventspils

53-102

102

-49

A14/11

LBL

Jekabpils

80-74

H22/11

LBL

Valga

80-86

-6

A25/11

LBL

13-12

9-12

19-12

12-24

21-17

18-15

22-15

17-26

32-17

10-17

19-22

26-19

13-20

15-23

14-19

16-22

30-14

10-16

11-18

13-22

19-25

11-19

20-25

17-21

23-8

16-18

17-20

17-21

13-33

12-17

8-23

20-29

18-28

14-19

23-12

25-15

20-19

21-28

17-20

22-19

147.4Avg total

69.3Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	69.3	78.1	147.4	-8.8	40%
Season at home (4)	72.2	75.8	148.0	-3.5	50%
Season away (6)	67.3	79.7	147.0	-12.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	69.3	78.1	147.4	-8.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.6	83.8	154.4	-13.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	68.2	79.2	147.4	-11.0	27%
vs Similar (9)	77.9	78.9	156.8	-1.0	22%
vs Weaker (10)	74.2	65.6	139.8	+8.6	80%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

#17

89-65

+24

H21/10

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

80-65

+15

H24/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#10

72-65

H27/10

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

78-71 OT

A31/10

LBL

Jelgava

90-67

+23

H04/11

LBL

Ventspils

74-82

-8

A07/11

LBL

Nevezis

#12

70-64

A11/11

Baltic League

Jekabpils

76-60

+16

H14/11

LBL

Lietkabelis

65-73

-8

A18/11

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

95-62

+33

H21/11

LBL

20-20

25-10

26-19

18-16

27-11

10-23

25-21

18-10

18-11

22-19

7-17

25-18

16-15

23-15

16-18

10-17

25-19

19-11

25-20

21-17

25-19

14-17

15-31

20-15

15-14

21-18

20-15

14-17

17-12

17-17

22-14

20-17

17-17

13-27

24-20

11-9

22-17

29-18

18-11

26-16

146.3Avg total

78.9Scored

67.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.2	69.2	149.4	+11.0	90%
Season at home (5)	82.4	64.2	146.6	+18.2	100%
Season away (5)	78.0	74.2	152.2	+3.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	67.4	146.3	+11.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	68.2	144.2	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.2	84.5	162.8	-6.2	25%
vs Similar (10)	76.7	77.0	153.7	-0.3	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	81.7	66.8	148.5	+14.9	88%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JelgavaValmiera/ORDO

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.8	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.8	15.5	34.3	+3.3	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.9	37.1	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.7	37.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	15.5	35.7	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.6	16.9	37.4	+3.7	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.5	17.2	32.8	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	15.2	18.0	33.2	-2.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (18)	15.7	16.7	32.4	-1.0	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.6	18.4	32.0	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.2	35.0	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	13.3	17.6	30.9	-4.4	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.1	20.3	37.4	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	16.6	14.0	30.6	+2.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	18.5	38.6	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.1	37.1	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	23.8	40.0	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.1	69%	-

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

22-24

-2

A29/09

LBL

Jekabpils

39-32

A07/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

42-34

H10/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

28-43

-15

H17/10

LBL

Ventspils

40-30

+10

H30/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

30-44

-14

A04/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

39-26

+13

A08/11

LBL

Ventspils

25-50

-25

A14/11

LBL

Jekabpils

32-47

-15

H22/11

LBL

Valga

41-47

-6

A25/11

LBL

71.5Avg total

33.8Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	35.9	70.6	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	34.9	35.8	70.8	-0.9	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	34.6	35.9	70.6	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	37.7	71.5	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	42.8	76.2	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	31.8	39.0	70.8	-7.2	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.6	39.2	76.8	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	35.4	29.5	64.9	+5.9	70%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Parnu

#17

45-30

+15

H21/10

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

37-34

H24/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#10

40-30

+10

H27/10

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

39-30

A31/10

LBL

Jelgava

44-30

+14

H04/11

LBL

Ventspils

39-36

A07/11

LBL

Nevezis

#12

36-32

A11/11

Baltic League

Jekabpils

34-29

H14/11

LBL

Lietkabelis

30-44

-14

A18/11

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

51-35

+16

H21/11

LBL

72.5Avg total

39.5Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	36.3	75.8	+3.1	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	34.0	74.2	+6.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	38.8	77.4	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	33.0	72.5	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	35.2	73.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.6	39.7	78.2	-1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.3	33.5	74.8	+7.8	81%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.7	17.2	34.9	+0.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.7	18.3	38.1	+1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.5	17.5	35.1	+0.0	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	17.3	38.1	+3.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.7	17.6	38.2	+3.1	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.1	16.9	37.0	+3.1	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.8	40.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.8	22.6	41.5	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	19.3	39.6	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	15.5	35.1	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.9	38.4	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	15.2	33.5	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.0	18.7	35.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.5	16.0	35.5	+3.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.2	37.2	73.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.2	38.9	78.1	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	40.4	75.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.0	78.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.4	40.2	76.5	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.8	36.1	74.9	+2.7	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.6	35.6	75.2	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	32.8	73.2	+7.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.8	38.5	77.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	33.8	71.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	33.0	71.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.2	44.5	88.8	-0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.7	36.2	73.9	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	39.6	32.9	72.5	+6.6	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jelgava wins

Valmiera/ORDO wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/15	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	90-67
04/04/15	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	79-74
11/03/15	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	71-87
23/12/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	71-63
01/11/14	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	80-70
11/04/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	101-96
15/01/14	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	73-71
27/11/13	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	85-75
09/11/13	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	86-70
06/04/13	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	74-76

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/15	A	Valga	80-86
22/11/15	H	Jekabpils	80-74
14/11/15	A	Ventspils	53-102
08/11/15	A	Latvijas Universitate	73-67
04/11/15	A	Valmiera/ORDO	67-90
30/10/15	H	Ventspils	64-70
17/10/15	H	BK Liepaja	58-84
10/10/15	H	Barons Kvartals	87-75
07/10/15	A	Jekabpils	78-73
29/09/15	A	Jurmala	53-60

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/15	H	BK Ogre	95-62
18/11/15	A	Lietkabelis	65-73
14/11/15	H	Jekabpils	76-60
11/11/15	A	Nevezis	70-64
07/11/15	A	Ventspils	74-82
04/11/15	H	Jelgava	90-67
31/10/15	A	BK Ogre	78-71 OT
27/10/15	H	Tallinna Kalev	72-65
24/10/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	80-65
21/10/15	H	Parnu	89-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jelgava

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	40%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	WLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	69.3	72.2	67.3
Allowed / game	78.1	75.8	79.7
Point differential	-8.8	-3.5	-12.3
Avg total	147.4	148.0	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Points / game	80.2	82.4	78.0
Allowed / game	69.2	64.2	74.2
Point differential	+11.0	+18.2	+3.8
Avg total	149.4	146.6	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	80%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	11	10	1	91%	88.9	61.9	+27.0
2	Valmiera/ORDO	10	9	1	90%	80.2	69.2	+11.0
3	BK Liepaja	11	9	2	82%	82.3	65.6	+16.6
4	VEF Riga	5	4	1	80%	88.6	72.2	+16.4
5	Valga	6	3	3	50%	74.7	87.7	-13.0
6	Jelgava	10	4	6	40%	69.3	78.1	-8.8
7	Jekabpils	11	4	7	36%	71.4	76.5	-5.1
8	Jurmala	9	3	6	33%	71.8	71.4	+0.3
9	BK Ogre	10	3	7	30%	68.9	88.9	-20.0
10	Barons Kvartals	12	3	9	25%	77.5	85.5	-8.0
11	Latvijas Universitate	11	1	10	9%	74.1	88.4	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jelgava	17	27	24	30	98
Valmiera/ORDO	16	19	18	32	85

← all games of the day

Jelgava vs Valmiera/ORDO Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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