Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 75-89

16-18 17-26 24-23 18-22

Position#6

Record6-12

FormWLWWW

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game73.0

Valmiera/ORDO

BK Liepaja 🏆

Position#3

Record14-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game67.6

LBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saldus

80-84

-4

A13/12

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#20

90-73

+17

A16/12

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

66-71

-5

H20/12

LBL

Jelgava

71-63

H23/12

LBL

Barons Kvartals

81-58

+23

H27/12

LBL

Lietkabelis

74-71

H07/01

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

66-75

-9

A11/01

LBL

Valga

#15

97-82

+15

A14/01

Baltic League

Jurmala

78-65

+13

A17/01

LBL

Tal Tech

#16

74-66

H21/01

Baltic League

13-16

23-15

28-35

16-18

17-15

19-18

21-18

33-22

20-16

21-20

13-15

12-20

23-21

11-19

21-10

16-13

21-18

27-19

14-4

19-17

20-19

19-18

15-23

20-11

12-22

21-13

19-17

14-23

15-18

24-20

33-15

25-29

–

18-18

17-15

22-18

17-15

148.5Avg total

77.7Scored

70.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	72.2	73.0	145.2	-0.8	33%
Season at home (9)	72.8	70.1	142.9	+2.7	56%
Season away (9)	71.7	75.9	147.6	-4.2	11%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	70.8	148.5	+6.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	71.8	149.6	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	71.0	79.0	150.0	-8.0	17%
vs Similar (9)	74.3	73.4	147.8	+0.9	44%
vs Weaker (15)	77.1	68.5	145.6	+8.7	73%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

86-62

+24

A03/12

LBL

Barons Kvartals

84-51

+33

A06/12

LBL

Nevezis

#21

90-84

A17/12

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

71-66

A20/12

LBL

Jurmala

67-73

-6

H30/12

LBL

Rapla

#17

87-68

+19

H06/01

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

89-69

+20

H10/01

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

94-69

+25

H14/01

Baltic League

Saldus

84-77

H17/01

LBL

Juventus

80-92

-12

A21/01

Baltic League

21-16

22-17

23-15

20-14

16-14

16-6

20-13

32-18

26-21

20-20

27-21

17-22

16-20

20-21

15-13

20-12

19-19

22-27

8-9

18-18

23-14

16-20

25-20

30-23

18-22

23-11

18-13

28-12

22-19

16-20

28-18

24-19

17-13

25-20

18-25

18-22

20-22

19-27

23-21

154.3Avg total

83.2Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.2	67.6	146.9	+11.6	82%
Season at home (9)	83.2	70.8	154.0	+12.4	89%
Season away (8)	74.8	64.1	138.9	+10.6	75%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	71.1	154.3	+12.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	75.0	161.8	+11.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	81.0	76.0	157.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (5)	73.6	82.0	155.6	-8.4	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	79.8	68.7	148.5	+11.1	83%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	17.8	35.7	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.3	35.3	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.8	20.7	38.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	17.4	36.1	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	17.5	16.8	34.3	+0.7	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.6	37.0	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	20.1	36.7	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	17.6	36.4	+1.3	64%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	17.4	37.7	+2.8	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.7	22.5	39.2	-5.8	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.5	18.9	35.4	-2.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	38%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Saldus

36-31

A13/12

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#20

36-33

A16/12

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

41-36

H20/12

LBL

Jelgava

34-40

-6

H23/12

LBL

Barons Kvartals

48-37

+11

H27/12

LBL

Lietkabelis

39-37

H07/01

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

33-35

-2

A11/01

LBL

Valga

#15

39-38

A14/01

Baltic League

Tal Tech

#16

35-33

H21/01

Baltic League

73.4Avg total

37.9Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.7	36.6	72.3	-1.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.7	37.3	72.1	-2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	35.9	72.5	+0.8	64%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.9	35.6	73.4	+2.3	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.0	74.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.5	43.2	77.7	-8.7	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.2	36.2	71.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	36.3	34.2	70.5	+2.1	67%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

43-33

+10

A03/12

LBL

Barons Kvartals

32-20

+12

A06/12

LBL

Nevezis

#21

46-41

A17/12

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

36-41

-5

A20/12

LBL

Jurmala

41-46

-5

H30/12

LBL

Rapla

#17

46-28

+18

H06/01

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

48-45

H10/01

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

#13

50-31

+19

H14/01

Baltic League

Saldus

41-32

H17/01

LBL

Juventus

38-44

-6

A21/01

Baltic League

78.2Avg total

42.1Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	36.3	75.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	36.0	77.4	+5.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	36.1	78.2	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	36.0	80.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	39.6	36.0	75.6	+3.6	67%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	17.6	36.8	+1.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	15.9	34.8	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.7	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	16.9	37.5	+3.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.1	36.6	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	17.4	36.9	+2.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.1	16.1	36.2	+4.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	17.7	37.4	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	14.4	34.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.3	15.0	33.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	20.2	40.4	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	16.9	34.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	20.0	48.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.2	23.2	40.4	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.5	16.2	35.7	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	30.3	69.2	+8.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	40.7	79.6	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.8	35.9	75.7	+3.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	34.4	74.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.5	35.8	72.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.1	36.9	74.0	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.8	34.3	75.1	+6.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	34.5	73.5	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	34.8	74.9	+5.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	34.2	71.9	+3.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	35.0	76.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	39.0	81.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	37.0	83.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.6	45.0	79.6	-10.4	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	39.6	32.2	71.8	+7.3	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/14	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	66-71
19/10/14	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	86-75
19/03/14	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	79-82
08/02/14	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	78-77 OT
04/12/13	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	78-65
06/11/13	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	65-80
10/04/13	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	82-102
16/01/13	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	87-62
16/12/12	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Liepaja	78-71
13/10/12	BK Liepaja v Valmiera/ORDO	84-73

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/15	H	Tal Tech	74-66
17/01/15	A	Jurmala	78-65
14/01/15	A	Valga	97-82
11/01/15	A	Latvijas Universitate	66-75
07/01/15	H	Lietkabelis	74-71
27/12/14	H	Barons Kvartals	81-58
23/12/14	H	Jelgava	71-63
20/12/14	H	BK Liepaja	66-71
16/12/14	A	Tallinna Kalev	90-73
13/12/14	A	Saldus	80-84

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/15	A	Juventus	80-92
17/01/15	H	Saldus	84-77
14/01/15	H	Rakvere Tarvas	94-69
10/01/15	H	Barons Kvartals	89-69
06/01/15	H	Rapla	87-68
30/12/14	H	Jurmala	67-73
20/12/14	A	Valmiera/ORDO	71-66
17/12/14	A	Nevezis	90-84
06/12/14	A	Barons Kvartals	84-51
03/12/14	A	Latvijas Universitate	86-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	33%
Home	WLLWW	56%
Away	LLLLW	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	33%	56%	11%
Points / game	72.2	72.8	71.7
Allowed / game	73.0	70.1	75.9
Point differential	-0.8	+2.7	-4.2
Avg total	145.2	142.9	147.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	22%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	33% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	82%
Home	WWLWW	89%
Away	LWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	82%	89%	75%
Points / game	79.2	83.2	74.8
Allowed / game	67.6	70.8	64.1
Point differential	+11.6	+12.4	+10.6
Avg total	146.9	154.0	138.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	56%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (1)	60% (5)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	11	10	1	91%	84.0	65.8	+18.2
2	BK Liepaja	17	14	3	82%	79.2	67.6	+11.6
3	Jurmala	18	13	5	72%	72.5	66.5	+6.0
4	VEF Riga	6	4	2	67%	84.7	72.3	+12.3
5	Jekabpils	19	10	9	53%	73.0	72.5	+0.5
6	Barons Kvartals	19	10	9	53%	71.4	76.8	-5.4
7	Jelgava	18	7	11	39%	71.1	72.9	-1.9
8	Valmiera/ORDO	18	6	12	33%	72.2	73.0	-0.8
9	Latvijas Universitate	18	5	13	28%	63.7	74.6	-10.9
10	Saldus	18	2	16	11%	67.9	81.3	-13.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	16	17	24	18	75
BK Liepaja	18	26	23	22	89

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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