Jena vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 66-82

22-25 13-26 15-10 16-21

Position#18

Record3-5

FormWLWLL

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game88.8

Jena

Bayern 🏆

Position#1

Record9-0

FormLWWLW

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game73.0

BBLRound 10

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Jena v Bayern

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bayern winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJena

Date

Competition

Gotha

#17

85-81

no box

H01/05

BBL

Alba Berlin

55-112

112

-57

no box

A29/09

BBL

Oldenburg

94-91

no box

A07/10

German Cup

Mitteldeutscher

#15

81-64

+17

no box

H13/10

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

78-101

101

-23

no box

A20/10

BBL

Bonn

82-70

+12

no box

H27/10

BBL

Bremerhaven

#17

87-98 OT

-11

no box

H03/11

BBL

Gottingen

#14

88-81

no box

A10/11

BBL

Ulm

80-85

-5

no box

H17/11

BBL

Bamberg

67-99

-32

no box

A25/11

BBL

18-14

27-24

23-15

17-28

16-22

15-30

9-33

15-27

20-29

21-24

24-20

29-18

18-20

23-12

20-13

20-19

16-23

17-27

17-29

28-22

23-21

22-16

21-20

16-13

20-25

32-20

13-19

17-18

18-21

22-15

14-17

34-28

19-19

23-23

21-24

17-19

23-24

13-32

14-24

167.9Avg total

79.7Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	77.2	88.8	166.0	-11.5	38%
Season at home (4)	82.5	79.2	161.8	+3.2	50%
Season away (4)	72.0	98.2	170.2	-26.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	88.2	167.9	-8.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	86.6	167.4	-5.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	78.4	89.9	168.3	-11.6	29%
vs Similar (9)	78.3	75.8	154.1	+2.6	44%
vs Weaker (3)	93.0	79.0	172.0	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBayern

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

96-71

+25

no box

A04/11

BBL

Darussafaka

#16

116-70

116

+46

149avg 105

H08/11

Euroleague

Oldenburg

95-74

+21

no box

H11/11

BBL

CSKA Moscow

79-93

-14

108avg 105

H16/11

Euroleague

Mitteldeutscher

#15

81-66

+15

no box

A18/11

BBL

Olympiacos

62-72

-10

86avg 105

H20/11

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

#14

89-74

+15

117avg 105

A22/11

Euroleague

Giessen

#13

94-79

+15

no box

H25/11

BBL

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

71-95

-24

93avg 105

A29/11

Euroleague

Khimki M.

#13

72-65

95avg 105

H06/12

Euroleague

24-18

33-28

17-18

22-7

21-17

33-18

33-15

29-20

20-19

22-18

26-17

27-20

23-30

17-26

25-21

14-16

21-19

15-16

25-17

20-14

15-15

12-16

16-14

19-27

21-17

25-25

15-20

28-12

21-16

25-24

21-25

27-14

17-27

12-20

26-20

16-28

16-16

15-12

23-22

18-15

161.4Avg total

85.5Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	89.6	73.0	162.6	+16.6	100%
Season at home (4)	92.5	77.5	170.0	+15.0	100%
Season away (5)	87.2	69.4	156.6	+17.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	75.9	161.4	+9.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	77.0	154.6	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.0	90.3	168.3	-12.3	0%
vs Similar (12)	80.6	78.1	158.7	+2.5	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	89.9	73.1	162.9	+16.8	93%

This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JenaBayern

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.9	40.9	+1.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.2	21.6	40.9	-2.4	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.1	17.5	39.6	+4.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	18.8	39.1	+1.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	25.3	48.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	17.5	37.8	+2.8	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.2	93%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.2	41.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	19.1	42.5	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	21.2	40.8	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.6	44.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.6	41%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	16.0	34.4	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	22.3	45.7	+1.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	18.9	40.6	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	18.5	37.2	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	57%	-

JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gotha

#17

45-38

H01/05

BBL

Alba Berlin

31-52

-21

A29/09

BBL

Oldenburg

41-53

-12

A07/10

German Cup

Mitteldeutscher

#15

41-32

H13/10

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

33-50

-17

A20/10

BBL

Bonn

45-37

H27/10

BBL

Bremerhaven

#17

52-45

H03/11

BBL

Gottingen

#14

40-36

A10/11

BBL

Ulm

42-42

H17/11

BBL

Bamberg

40-43

-3

A25/11

BBL

83.8Avg total

41.0Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	41.5	82.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	39.0	83.4	+5.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	43.8	81.7	-5.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	42.8	83.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.6	84.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	41.8	43.5	85.3	-1.8	41%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.9	36.9	75.8	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.3	40.3	82.7	+2.0	67%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

57-46

+11

A04/11

BBL

Darussafaka

#16

54-35

+19

H08/11

Euroleague

Oldenburg

42-37

H11/11

BBL

CSKA Moscow

40-56

-16

H16/11

Euroleague

Mitteldeutscher

#15

36-35

A18/11

BBL

Olympiacos

27-31

-4

H20/11

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

#14

46-42

A22/11

Euroleague

Giessen

#13

46-40

H25/11

BBL

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

29-47

-18

A29/11

Euroleague

Khimki M.

#13

31-28

H06/12

Euroleague

80.5Avg total

40.8Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	37.9	80.1	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.7	36.5	80.2	+7.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	39.7	79.9	+0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	39.7	80.5	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.6	73.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	50.3	92.0	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.8	37.1	80.9	+6.6	86%	-

This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.4	38.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.7	22.4	40.1	-4.7	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	17.3	42.0	+7.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.7	42.1	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	19.5	41.5	+2.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.9	41.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.7	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.1	19.0	43.1	+5.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.1	40.7	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.6	23.1	41.6	-4.5	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	21.3	47.3	+4.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	21.3	42.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	16.5	36.3	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.9	16.9	38.9	+5.0	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	42.3	81.1	-3.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	40.1	80.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	44.2	81.5	-7.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	43.8	82.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	42.8	78.8	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.3	45.5	81.8	-9.2	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.9	38.0	75.9	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	50.7	38.7	89.3	+12.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	38.9	82.0	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.1	41.1	85.2	+2.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.7	36.1	77.8	+5.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	36.2	80.9	+8.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.4	81.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	40.0	76.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.9	40.5	81.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.1	35.9	82.0	+10.1	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	22.1	53.6%	54.1%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.1	7.5	39.3%	34.0%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	16.1	12.8	79.5%	73.6%	12.8

They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	22.1	55.5%	54.1%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	7.2	31.6%	34.0%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	15.5	12.0	77.4%	73.6%	12.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	22.9	56.0%	54.1%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.7	7.1	36.1%	34.0%	21.4
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.9	79.1%	73.6%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	21.5	56.9%	54.1%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.5	35.2%	34.0%	25.6
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.8	76.3%	73.6%	11.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jena wins

Bayern wins

Date	Game	Score
22/04/18	Bayern v Jena	101-78
03/12/17	Jena v Bayern	78-85
02/04/17	Bayern v Jena	98-68
21/12/16	Jena v Bayern	54-98

Jenalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/18	A	Bamberg	67-99
17/11/18	H	Ulm	80-85
10/11/18	A	Gottingen	88-81
03/11/18	H	Bremerhaven	87-98 OT
27/10/18	H	Bonn	82-70
20/10/18	A	Crailsheim Merlins	78-101
13/10/18	H	Mitteldeutscher	81-64
07/10/18	A	Oldenburg	94-91
29/09/18	A	Alba Berlin	55-112
01/05/18	H	Gotha	85-81

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/18	H	Khimki M.	72-65
29/11/18	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	71-95
25/11/18	H	Giessen	94-79
22/11/18	A	Gran Canaria	89-74
20/11/18	H	Olympiacos	62-72
18/11/18	A	Mitteldeutscher	81-66
16/11/18	H	CSKA Moscow	79-93
11/11/18	H	Oldenburg	95-74
08/11/18	H	Darussafaka	116-70
04/11/18	A	Crailsheim Merlins	96-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	38%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	77.2	82.5	72.0
Allowed / game	88.8	79.2	98.2
Point differential	-11.5	+3.2	-26.2
Avg total	166.0	161.8	170.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

Bayern

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	89.6	92.5	87.2
Allowed / game	73.0	77.5	69.4
Point differential	+16.6	+15.0	+17.8
Avg total	162.6	170.0	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	89%	100%	80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	9	9	0	100%	89.6	73.0	+16.6
2	Alba Berlin	9	8	1	89%	93.6	74.4	+19.1
3	Oldenburg	9	7	2	78%	89.7	78.9	+10.8
4	Bamberg	9	7	2	78%	90.3	84.6	+5.8
5	Bayreuth	9	6	3	67%	86.8	81.9	+4.9
6	Giessen	10	6	4	60%	89.8	90.0	-0.2
7	Vechta	10	6	4	60%	79.0	79.4	-0.4
8	Bonn	10	5	5	50%	83.8	86.6	-2.8
9	Ludwigsburg	9	4	5	44%	80.3	79.1	+1.2
10	Ulm	9	4	5	44%	86.4	86.6	-0.1
11	Gottingen	10	4	6	40%	79.5	80.0	-0.5
12	Basketball Braunschweig	10	4	6	40%	77.2	80.8	-3.6
13	Jena	8	3	5	38%	77.2	88.8	-11.5
14	s.Oliver Wurzburg	9	3	6	33%	80.0	83.6	-3.6
15	Frankfurt	9	3	6	33%	78.6	83.8	-5.2
16	Bremerhaven	10	3	7	30%	80.8	87.7	-6.9
17	Mitteldeutscher	9	1	8	11%	76.2	88.7	-12.4
18	Crailsheim Merlins	10	1	9	10%	80.9	90.6	-9.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jena	22	13	15	16	66
Bayern	25	26	10	21	82

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Jena vs Bayern Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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