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Jena vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game89.6
Jena
Germany
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Bayern
Germany
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game70.1
GermanyBBLRound 12· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jena v Bayern
20 Dec 2026
JEN v BAY
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
JEN61
BAY106
09 Dec 2018
JEN66
BAY82
03 Dec 2017
JEN78
BAY85
21 Dec 2016
JEN54
BAY98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 70
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
56avg 70
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
81avg 70
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 70
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 70
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
68-115
68
115
-47
52avg 70
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 70
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 70
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
78-97
78
97
-19
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
8-24
25-23
9-22
13-18
14-22
21-18
14-19
25-31
24-23
24-15
12-29
18-11
18-21
26-28
17-11
21-19
19-19
22-16
20-22
11-28
22-26
16-32
19-29
29-22
24-28
8-14
21-29
30-26
13-21
23-22
12-19
18-32
28-21
22-22
19-16
11-33
28-17
16-30
23-17
165.5Avg total
76.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.989.6167.4-11.722%
Season at home (4)82.582.8165.2-0.250%
Season away (5)74.295.0169.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)76.688.9165.5-12.320%
Last 5 (5)78.696.8175.4-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.689.0167.6-10.424%
vs Similar (5)81.286.8168.0-5.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 82
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 82
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 82
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 82
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 82
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
19-29
22-23
24-21
22-29
176.1Avg total
88.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.070.1166.1+25.988%
Season at home (5)104.067.2171.2+36.8100%
Season away (3)82.775.0157.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)88.687.5176.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)91.081.0172.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.495.3180.8-9.922%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.873.2163.9+17.679%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
JenaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A14/11
BBL
85.3Avg total
39.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.186.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.686.1-3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)40.047.887.8-7.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.685.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.893.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.346.888.1-5.532%-
vs Similar (5)38.642.481.0-3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
41.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.885.5+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.085.6+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.887.6-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.488.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.148.788.8-8.644%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.036.383.3+10.789%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
73.4%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
73.4%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
LLLLLWWLLL
Bayern
LWWWLLLWLL
#18
League position
#1
-12.9
Net rating
+2.0
85.5
Offensive rating
101.7
98.4
Defensive rating
99.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
36.5%
60.5%
Assist %
66.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 101.7Defence98.4 · 99.7Shooting51.1% · 55.8%3-point %32.8% · 36.5%Ball care19.0% · 15.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Jena   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jena wins
8
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Jena v Bayern61-106
26/09/25Bayern v Jena93-77
02/02/19Bayern v Jena103-71
09/12/18Jena v Bayern66-82
22/04/18Bayern v Jena101-78
03/12/17Jena v Bayern78-85
02/04/17Bayern v Jena98-68
21/12/16Jena v Bayern54-98
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUlm78-97
09/11/26HHamburg87-91
01/11/26ABamberg78-88
30/10/26HFrankfurt82-93
09/10/26ABonn68-115
04/10/26HChemnitz82-76
01/10/26HVechta79-71
27/09/26ATrier85-98
25/09/26ASyntainics MBC62-77
10/05/26AAlba Berlin65-83
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValencia87-102
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game77.982.574.2
Allowed / game89.682.895.0
Point differential-11.7-0.2-20.8
Avg total167.4165.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game96.0104.082.7
Allowed / game70.167.275.0
Point differential+25.9+36.8+7.7
Avg total166.1171.2157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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