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Bayern vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-75
21-18 13-13 18-18 29-26
Position#14
Record10-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.0
Bayern 🏆
vs
Paris
Position#16
Record8-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game92.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· SAP Garden
European cup2025
Meetings · Bayern v Paris
03 Dec 2026
BAY v PRS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
BAY81
PRS75
17 Oct 2024
BAY109
PRS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 78
H07/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
76avg 78
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
64avg 78
H11/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
87-59
87
59
+28
no box
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 78
H20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
93-89
93
89
+4
94avg 78
H22/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 78
H25/01
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 78
A29/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
62-79
62
79
-17
49avg 78
H01/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
14-27
22-23
36-20
23-21
24-28
14-24
19-22
15-12
18-12
13-15
20-24
25-24
15-19
18-21
27-14
18-10
24-17
23-18
22-14
7-18
25-16
18-16
13-17
22-24
31-20
26-26
14-19
20-14
17-22
28-15
33-28
23-26
20-13
18-11
18-14
14-18
23-23
18-19
7-19
157.1Avg total
80.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.483.0162.4-3.640%
Season at home (13)81.280.0161.2+1.262%
Season away (12)77.586.2163.8-8.817%
Last 10 (10)80.976.2157.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)79.075.6154.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.685.9164.4-7.343%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.881.5162.2-0.825%
vs Weaker (15)84.170.9155.0+13.187%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 90
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
87avg 90
A11/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
96-67
96
67
+29
88avg 90
H13/01
LNB
Monaco
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 90
H18/01
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
84-98
84
98
-14
76avg 90
A20/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
79-99
79
99
-20
64avg 90
H22/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
120-57
120
57
+63
122avg 90
A24/01
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
84avg 90
H27/01
Euroleague
Boulazac
#12
L
87-103
87
103
-16
74avg 90
H01/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-18
25-25
19-15
14-28
18-24
25-11
24-18
21-18
25-16
22-13
28-20
23-27
20-25
21-24
23-19
20-17
28-26
30-30
32-19
16-27
26-23
11-20
31-28
18-27
14-25
23-22
24-25
32-17
33-4
31-15
24-21
24-18
26-24
25-24
23-26
23-31
25-24
19-31
20-17
181.8Avg total
94.3Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.792.8182.5-3.133%
Season at home (13)90.091.5181.5-1.538%
Season away (11)89.394.4183.6-5.127%
Last 10 (10)94.387.5181.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)93.689.8183.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)92.296.2188.3-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.994.7182.6-6.822%
vs Weaker (14)99.284.0183.2+15.271%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
BayernParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#4
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H11/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/01
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
BBL
78.5Avg total
40.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.479.1+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.939.077.9-0.142%-
Last 30 away (18)41.938.079.9+3.961%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.378.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.879.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.643.985.4-2.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.540.880.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker (15)41.034.675.6+6.473%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A11/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/01
LNB
Monaco
#10
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/01
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H18/01
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H22/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
65-21
65
21
+44
A24/01
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H27/01
Euroleague
Boulazac
#12
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H01/02
LNB
88.6Avg total
44.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.347.093.3-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.447.493.9-1.056%-
Last 30 away (14)46.246.592.7-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.088.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.091.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.349.396.7-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.250.091.2-8.822%-
vs Weaker (14)48.442.891.1+5.671%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.4
59.8%
60.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.9
34.6%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.214.4
79.1%
78.2%14.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.5
52.4%
60.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.7
32.9%
35.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.218.7
80.6%
78.2%18.7
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLWWWLW
Paris
LWWLLWLWWW
#14
League position
#16
+8.1
Net rating
+2.7
100.2
Offensive rating
101.4
92.2
Defensive rating
98.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.6%
3-point %
32.9%
68.3%
Assist %
63.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 101.4Defence92.2 · 98.8Shooting56.4% · 50.8%3-point %34.6% · 32.9%Ball care18.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.5% · 38.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
06/11/25Paris v Bayern82-86
27/02/25Paris v Bayern93-88
17/10/24Bayern v Paris109-107
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HUlm62-79
29/01/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv79-64
25/01/26HWurzburg98-79
22/01/26HValencia93-89
20/01/26HPartizan63-67
18/01/26AChemnitz87-59
15/01/26HPanathinaikos85-78
11/01/26HBonn66-63
09/01/26AOlympiacos80-95
07/01/26HBaskonia96-89
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HBoulazac87-103
27/01/26HReal Madrid98-92
24/01/26ALe Portel120-57
22/01/26HDubai79-99
20/01/26AValencia84-98
18/01/26HLe Mans110-92
15/01/26HMonaco87-95
13/01/26HStrasbourg96-67
11/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne98-93 OT
07/01/26AAnadolu Efes84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW40%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%62%17%
Points / game79.481.277.5
Allowed / game83.080.086.2
Point differential-3.6+1.2-8.8
Avg total162.4161.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %33%38%27%
Points / game89.790.089.3
Allowed / game92.891.594.4
Point differential-3.1-1.5-5.1
Avg total182.5181.5183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2417771%82.178.7+3.4
2 Olympiacos2516964%89.283.9+5.2
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2516964%86.082.1+3.9
4 Barcelona2516964%86.684.7+1.9
5 Real Madrid26161062%87.783.3+4.4
6 Valencia26161062%90.286.4+3.8
7 Panathinaikos26161062%86.283.7+2.4
8 Crvena zvezda26161062%87.585.5+2.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas26151158%88.882.9+5.8
10 Monaco26151158%90.985.7+5.2
11 Virtus Bologna25121348%82.883.4-0.6
12 Olimpia Milano25121348%85.086.0-1.0
13 Dubai26121446%87.288.2-1.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv26111542%88.991.8-2.8
15 Bayern25101540%79.483.0-3.6
16 Baskonia2591636%86.990.4-3.5
17 Paris2481633%89.792.8-3.1
18 Partizan2681831%80.489.5-9.1
19 Anadolu Efes2671927%79.384.7-5.4
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2561924%78.787.0-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2113182981
Paris1813182675
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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