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Jena vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-89 (OT)
16-10 24-25 12-21 18-14 12-19
Position#16
Record5-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#8
Record6-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.0
GermanyBBLRound 15· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jena v Rostock
21 Nov 2026
JEN v ROS
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
JEN82
ROS89
12 May 2022
JEN76
ROS77
08 May 2022
JEN97
ROS87
20 Feb 2022
JEN85
ROS89
17 Apr 2021
JEN85
ROS81
13 Dec 2020
JEN86
ROS79
05 Feb 2020
JEN74
ROS63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
65avg 69
A31/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
69avg 69
H08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
63avg 69
A17/11
German Cup
Trier
#12
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 69
A19/11
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
53avg 69
H06/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 69
A14/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
81-102
81
102
-21
70avg 69
H20/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
63avg 69
A27/12
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 69
H29/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
80avg 69
A03/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
19-17
14-22
19-14
8-24
28-17
20-16
29-15
24-23
27-22
6-25
21-21
24-26
28-28
27-12
16-28
19-22
11-20
24-20
16-30
14-25
20-12
20-22
16-20
18-22
14-16
19-34
30-30
19-29
10-16
23-21
30-25
16-15
13-29
26-26
25-22
19-19
25-30
24-26
27-11
172.4Avg total
82.8Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.690.0173.6-6.438%
Season at home (5)78.891.0169.8-12.220%
Season away (8)86.689.4176.0-2.850%
Last 10 (10)82.889.6172.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)81.690.0171.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.890.3173.1-7.633%
vs Similar (6)80.588.7169.2-8.233%
vs Weaker (11)96.281.7177.9+14.582%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#32
W
96-68
96
68
+28
no box
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 76
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 76
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
97-72
97
72
+25
97avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
93avg 76
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 76
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 76
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 76
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 76
H31/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
26-23
20-20
27-11
20-24
21-24
27-25
19-18
25-22
15-17
24-16
23-19
21-20
30-12
21-23
25-17
14-23
20-20
21-18
24-18
19-18
21-16
23-25
21-18
27-25
24-27
25-24
16-21
16-19
8-23
16-22
26-16
14-18
17-22
24-16
12-29
20-14
18-10
21-30
23-23
166.4Avg total
85.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.983.0164.9-1.146%
Season at home (7)83.182.6165.7+0.657%
Season away (6)80.583.5164.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)85.481.0166.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)78.283.2161.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.379.7153.0-6.333%
vs Similar (12)84.382.2166.5+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.781.1166.9+4.657%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
JenaRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H08/11
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A17/11
German Cup
Trier
#12
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A19/11
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H06/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H20/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/12
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H29/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/01
BBL
81.1Avg total
37.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.483.9+1.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.840.883.6+2.142%-
Last 30 away (18)42.241.884.1+0.439%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.381.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.676.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.541.781.2-2.233%-
vs Similar (6)40.546.787.2-6.20%-
vs Weaker (11)47.938.786.6+9.273%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H03/01
BBL
79.0Avg total
39.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.380.3+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.237.578.7+3.750%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.881.7+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.179.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.475.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.740.372.0-8.733%-
vs Similar (12)42.439.682.0+2.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.038.979.9+2.143%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.6
50.3%
53.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.89.3
28.4%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.714.5
70.0%
73.5%14.5
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.614.3
48.3%
53.8%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.3
36.3%
34.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.918.6
81.2%
73.5%18.6
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
WLLLLLWLWL
Rostock
WLLLWWWWLW
#16
League position
#8
-9.0
Net rating
+5.2
101.9
Offensive rating
113.3
110.9
Defensive rating
108.1
46.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
28.4%
3-point %
36.3%
53.3%
Assist %
61.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 113.3Defence110.9 · 108.1Shooting46.7% · 51.3%3-point %28.4% · 36.3%Ball care18.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds35.3% · 32.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Jena   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jena wins
7
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25Rostock v Jena79-80
12/05/22Jena v Rostock76-77
10/05/22Rostock v Jena85-78
08/05/22Jena v Rostock97-87
05/05/22Rostock v Jena84-65
20/02/22Jena v Rostock85-89
23/12/21Rostock v Jena94-81
02/05/21Rostock v Jena107-104
17/04/21Jena v Rostock85-81
10/04/21Rostock v Jena84-75
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ASyntainics MBC95-86
29/12/25HBonn80-92
27/12/25ALudwigsburg82-91
20/12/25HBamberg81-102
14/12/25AFrankfurt70-79
06/12/25HUlm70-92
19/11/25ATrier95-94
17/11/25AAlba Berlin78-91
08/11/25HChemnitz85-72
31/10/25AWurzburg92-97 OT
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HFrankfurt82-77
31/12/25HBayern67-85
26/12/25HAlba Berlin66-80
20/12/25AChemnitz92-97
17/12/25ASzombathely84-77
15/12/25HLudwigsburg96-89 OT
10/12/25HTrefl Sopot97-72
08/12/25ABamberg87-74
21/11/25HVechta87-91
19/11/25HFC Porto96-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%20%50%
Points / game83.678.886.6
Allowed / game90.091.089.4
Point differential-6.4-12.2-2.8
Avg total173.6169.8176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game81.983.180.5
Allowed / game83.082.683.5
Point differential-1.1+0.6-3.0
Avg total164.9165.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1413193%86.972.4+14.6
2 Wurzburg1410471%81.978.0+3.9
3 Alba Berlin149564%84.477.0+7.4
4 Trier149564%89.189.6-0.5
5 Bonn159660%79.978.7+1.2
6 Ulm148657%81.978.9+3.0
7 Bamberg137654%88.882.9+5.9
8 Ludwigsburg137654%82.884.0-1.2
9 Chemnitz147750%88.787.3+1.4
10 Frankfurt147750%82.582.9-0.4
11 Syntainics MBC147750%83.986.4-2.6
12 Rostock136746%81.983.0-1.1
13 Vechta136746%84.287.2-3.0
14 Jena135838%83.690.0-6.4
15 Oldenburg145936%83.382.5+0.8
16 Basketball Braunschweig1441029%79.488.5-9.1
17 Hamburg1221017%83.393.4-10.1
18 Heidelberg1421214%79.885.5-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Jena162412181282
Rostock102521141989
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