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Jena vs Rostock Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game81.7
GermanyBBLRound 10· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jena v Rostock
21 Nov 2026
JEN v ROS
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
JEN82
ROS89
12 May 2022
JEN76
ROS77
08 May 2022
JEN97
ROS87
20 Feb 2022
JEN85
ROS89
17 Apr 2021
JEN85
ROS81
13 Dec 2020
JEN86
ROS79
05 Feb 2020
JEN74
ROS63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 69
A02/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
69avg 69
H07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 69
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
62-77
62
77
-15
56avg 69
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
81avg 69
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 69
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 69
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
68-115
68
115
-47
52avg 69
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 69
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A01/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
20-23
28-27
18-16
5-22
25-21
17-16
22-10
23-14
8-24
25-23
9-22
13-18
14-22
21-18
14-19
25-31
24-23
24-15
12-29
18-11
18-21
26-28
17-11
21-19
19-19
22-16
20-22
11-28
22-26
16-32
19-29
29-22
24-28
8-14
21-29
30-26
13-21
23-22
12-19
163.0Avg total
76.1Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.688.3164.9-11.729%
Season at home (3)81.080.0161.0+1.067%
Season away (4)73.294.5167.8-21.20%
Last 10 (10)76.186.9163.0-10.830%
Last 5 (5)77.888.6166.4-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.088.6167.6-9.628%
vs Similar (5)81.286.8168.0-5.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 77
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 77
A29/09
Eurocup
Hamburg
#18
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 77
A03/10
BBL
Rigas Zelli
#16
W
87-86
87
86
+1
85avg 77
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
101-62
101
62
+39
99avg 77
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#19
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 77
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#1
L
79-110
79
110
-31
70avg 77
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
92avg 77
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#12
L
83-86
83
86
-3
66avg 77
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
no box
H01/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-30
21-16
27-24
21-13
18-25
19-24
17-24
19-21
21-13
25-19
21-19
24-33
20-26
22-15
22-25
23-20
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
20-29
17-29
14-25
28-27
23-21
20-27
29-17
16-23
24-23
20-16
26-18
13-29
24-15
14-25
12-13
19-14
169.0Avg total
83.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.781.7170.4+7.057%
Season at home (3)90.773.7164.3+17.0100%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)83.385.7169.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)79.889.6169.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.387.6164.9-10.222%
vs Similar (6)81.280.5161.7+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.681.7172.3+8.960%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
JenaRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A02/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#16
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#3
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
BBL
81.7Avg total
37.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.445.786.2-5.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.544.084.5-3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)40.447.788.1-7.414%-
Last 10 (10)37.544.281.7-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.285.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.846.487.2-5.632%-
vs Similar (5)38.642.481.0-3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A27/09
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/09
Eurocup
Hamburg
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A03/10
BBL
Rigas Zelli
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#19
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/11
BBL
83.4Avg total
39.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.383.5+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.237.983.2+7.377%-
Last 30 away (17)41.742.183.8-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.983.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.247.286.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.844.784.4-4.944%-
vs Similar (6)42.341.383.7+1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.737.282.9+8.573%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.0
51.9%
55.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.2
34.3%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.312.2
70.5%
73.7%12.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.0
50.0%
55.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.8
33.0%
33.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
73.7%15.1
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
LLLWWLLLWL
Rostock
WLLLLWWWLL
#17
League position
#6
-10.9
Net rating
-3.4
87.8
Offensive rating
92.0
98.7
Defensive rating
95.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.3%
3-point %
33.0%
58.5%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 92.0Defence98.7 · 95.4Shooting51.7% · 49.8%3-point %34.3% · 33.0%Ball care18.3% · 16.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Jena   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jena wins
8
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
02/05/26Rostock v Jena89-79
08/01/26Jena v Rostock82-89 OT
19/10/25Rostock v Jena79-80
12/05/22Jena v Rostock76-77
10/05/22Rostock v Jena85-78
08/05/22Jena v Rostock97-87
05/05/22Rostock v Jena84-65
20/02/22Jena v Rostock85-89
23/12/21Rostock v Jena94-81
02/05/21Rostock v Jena107-104
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ABamberg78-88
30/10/26HFrankfurt82-93
09/10/26ABonn68-115
04/10/26HChemnitz82-76
01/10/26HVechta79-71
27/09/26ATrier85-98
25/09/26ASyntainics MBC62-77
10/05/26AAlba Berlin65-83
07/05/26HHeidelberg81-79 OT
02/05/26ARostock79-89
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HBayern69-67
28/10/26ATortona83-86
24/10/26ASyntainics MBC98-103 OT
20/10/26HAris79-110
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62
06/10/26HRigas Zelli87-86
03/10/26AHamburg91-84
29/09/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-94
27/09/26ABasketball Braunschweig82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game76.681.073.2
Allowed / game88.380.094.5
Point differential-11.7+1.0-21.2
Avg total164.9161.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game88.790.787.2
Allowed / game81.773.787.8
Point differential+7.0+17.0-0.5
Avg total170.4164.3175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern65183%94.370.3+24.0
2 Trier65183%99.587.3+12.2
3 Frankfurt54180%90.284.6+5.6
4 Syntainics MBC75271%88.081.1+6.9
5 Wurzburg64267%82.880.2+2.7
6 Rostock74357%88.781.7+7.0
7 Bonn74357%86.781.9+4.9
8 Bamberg74357%88.084.9+3.1
9 Ludwigsburg74357%87.187.7-0.6
10 Basketball Braunschweig63350%89.294.5-5.3
11 Ulm73443%81.984.9-3.0
12 Alba Berlin73443%84.090.0-6.0
13 Oldenburg73443%74.483.4-9.0
14 Chemnitz72529%86.788.7-2.0
15 Phoenix Hagen72529%85.790.4-4.7
16 Vechta72529%84.490.9-6.4
17 Jena72529%76.688.3-11.7
18 Hamburg71614%81.192.3-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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