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JL Bourg vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-67
23-13 28-15 22-18 14-21
Position#6
Record15-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#16
Record3-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game84.2
FranceLNBRound 23· Ekinox
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JL Bourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
67-94
67
94
-27
46avg 90
H29/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
103-77
103
77
+26
118avg 90
H02/02
LNB
Valencia
#1
L
98-100
98
100
-2
85avg 90
A05/02
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
93avg 90
A08/02
LNB
ASA
#3
W
65-64
65
64
+1
60avg 90
A12/02
French Cup
Monaco
#2
L
88-101
88
101
-13
100avg 90
A14/02
Leaders Cup
Nancy
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
85avg 90
H01/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
94-84
94
84
+10
109avg 90
H08/03
LNB
Paris
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
91avg 90
A15/03
French Cup
Limoges
#14
W
87-63
87
63
+24
112avg 90
A22/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
24-21
22-27
12-22
29-15
27-19
26-22
21-21
27-18
27-32
22-22
22-28
21-21
19-15
18-22
25-23
9-22
22-13
14-16
20-13
23-17
28-29
19-25
18-30
27-20
18-23
11-29
25-21
19-25
29-21
24-20
22-18
24-32
22-19
13-25
32-23
29-18
20-17
22-12
16-16
171.3Avg total
85.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.982.3171.2+6.668%
Season at home (11)90.789.4180.1+1.455%
Season away (11)87.175.3162.4+11.882%
Last 10 (10)85.785.6171.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)88.288.0176.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.892.8181.7-4.033%
vs Similar (7)86.787.7174.4-1.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.481.1170.4+8.375%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
86avg 84
A21/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
100avg 84
H05/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
62-65
62
65
-3
68avg 84
A11/01
LNB
Paris
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
84avg 84
H19/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
76avg 84
A25/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
92-90
92
90
+2
108avg 84
H01/02
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
96-73
96
73
+23
109avg 84
H08/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
75-105
75
105
-30
89avg 84
A02/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
85avg 84
H09/03
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
88avg 84
A22/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
9-29
15-16
24-23
18-18
17-10
14-31
26-20
15-13
11-18
20-19
16-15
16-38
20-13
14-28
23-11
27-18
18-28
11-17
12-31
19-24
25-23
23-15
25-28
26-16
21-19
23-18
26-20
14-27
18-31
23-27
20-20
22-28
23-10
18-31
14-17
27-25
14-17
28-18
8-23
161.2Avg total
76.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.884.2157.0-11.414%
Season at home (11)76.085.5161.5-9.518%
Season away (11)69.582.9152.5-13.49%
Last 10 (10)76.684.6161.2-8.020%
Last 5 (5)83.487.4170.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.784.9157.5-12.214%
vs Similar (2)79.078.0157.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (6)71.763.5135.2+8.283%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
JL BourgLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H29/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H02/02
LNB
Valencia
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A05/02
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/02
LNB
ASA
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A12/02
French Cup
Monaco
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/02
Leaders Cup
Nancy
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H01/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/03
LNB
Paris
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A15/03
French Cup
Limoges
#14
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A22/03
LNB
87.4Avg total
45.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.542.789.2+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.445.392.7+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)45.840.686.5+5.276%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.187.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.844.292.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.046.393.3+0.750%-
vs Similar (7)45.941.787.6+4.186%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.341.587.8+4.869%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A11/01
LNB
Paris
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/02
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H08/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A02/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/03
LNB
80.1Avg total
38.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.677.8-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.540.177.6-2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.941.177.9-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.880.1-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.085.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.043.780.7-6.723%-
vs Similar (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)36.829.766.5+7.2100%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.0
53.7%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.6
30.0%
35.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.918.8
75.5%
74.9%18.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.1
53.6%
54.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
74.9%15.3
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
JL Bourg
WLWLLWWLWL
La Rochelle
LLLWWLLLLL
#6
League position
#16
+0.0
Net rating
-10.6
112.8
Offensive rating
102.9
112.8
Defensive rating
113.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.0%
3-point %
35.1%
67.6%
Assist %
80.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 102.9Defence112.8 · 113.5Shooting50.8% · 53.2%3-point %30.0% · 35.1%Ball care16.7% · 19.7%Off. rebounds37.0% · 21.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ JL Bourg   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
JL Bourg wins
0
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24La Rochelle v JL Bourg78-86
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25ALimoges87-63
15/03/25AParis91-99
08/03/25HGravelines-Dunkerque94-84
01/03/25HNancy81-93
14/02/25AMonaco88-101
12/02/25AASA65-64
08/02/25ASaint Quentin83-81
05/02/25AValencia98-100
02/02/25HChalon/Saone103-77
29/01/25HHapoel Jerusalem67-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25ACholet77-83
09/03/25HChalon/Saone77-86
02/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-105
08/02/25HLe Portel96-73
01/02/25HDijon92-90
25/01/25AGravelines-Dunkerque68-94
19/01/25HParis73-90
11/01/25AChalon/Saone62-65
05/01/25HLyon-Villeurbanne75-79
21/12/24ALe Mans71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

JL Bourg
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%55%82%
Points / game88.990.787.1
Allowed / game82.389.475.3
Point differential+6.6+1.4+11.8
Avg total171.2180.1162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%27%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL14%
HomeLLWWL18%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %14%18%9%
Points / game72.876.069.5
Allowed / game84.285.582.9
Point differential-11.4-9.5-13.4
Avg total157.0161.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2217577%88.778.0+10.6
2 Cholet2217577%86.779.8+6.9
3 Paris2216673%93.085.1+8.0
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne2216673%89.282.0+7.3
5 JL Bourg2215768%88.982.3+6.6
6 Le Mans22121055%85.782.7+3.0
7 Saint Quentin22111150%77.579.2-1.7
8 Nancy22111150%85.788.5-2.8
9 Dijon22101245%84.085.3-1.3
10 Chalon/Saone22101245%84.487.0-2.6
11 Nanterre23101343%84.985.5-0.7
12 Strasbourg2281436%80.584.9-4.4
13 Limoges2381535%80.085.5-5.4
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque2271532%77.581.9-4.5
15 Le Portel2261627%73.380.7-7.5
16 La Rochelle2231914%72.884.2-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
JL Bourg2328221487
La Rochelle1315182167
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