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Valencia vs JL Bourg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 100-98
18-27 32-27 22-22 28-22
Position#1
Record15-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#12
Record9-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEurocupRound 18· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2024
Meetings · Valencia v JL Bourg
05 Feb 2025
VAL100
JBO98
17 Nov 2021
VAL98
JBO95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
61avg 85
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 85
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
116-78
116
78
+38
119avg 85
H07/01
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
120-94
120
94
+26
129avg 85
H11/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#18
W
96-91
96
91
+5
98avg 85
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 85
A18/01
ACB
Aris
#19
W
106-65
106
65
+41
110avg 85
H22/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
W
112-96
112
96
+16
109avg 85
H25/01
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
72-66
72
66
+6
65avg 85
A28/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 85
A01/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
12-31
22-16
22-13
28-30
23-18
21-22
27-21
26-21
26-13
35-24
29-20
33-19
34-23
26-26
27-26
28-21
24-25
21-28
23-17
20-18
26-20
23-25
17-31
28-16
27-17
27-18
24-14
28-23
26-29
33-22
25-22
21-20
10-12
17-17
24-17
10-26
16-18
28-23
30-19
180.7Avg total
96.5Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.280.7176.9+15.588%
Season at home (8)106.481.8188.1+24.688%
Season away (9)87.179.8166.9+7.389%
Last 10 (10)96.584.2180.7+12.370%
Last 5 (5)92.081.4173.4+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)98.485.9184.4+12.579%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
74avg 91
A03/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 91
H07/01
Eurocup
Poitiers
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A09/01
French Cup
Paris
#1
L
89-98
89
98
-9
103avg 91
A12/01
LNB
Aris
#19
W
92-51
92
51
+41
94avg 91
A15/01
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
87avg 91
A17/01
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 91
H22/01
Eurocup
Nanterre
#13
W
100-97
100
97
+3
120avg 91
H25/01
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
67-94
67
94
-27
46avg 91
H29/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
103-77
103
77
+26
118avg 91
H02/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
20-23
24-18
20-29
17-14
17-22
23-16
22-14
25-21
25-19
24-25
20-24
21-24
32-26
18-28
18-20
23-12
23-14
21-14
25-11
21-14
16-18
23-25
16-13
22-20
16-16
30-17
19-29
26-30
24-19
25-18
25-30
9-24
24-21
22-27
12-22
29-15
27-19
26-22
21-21
169.8Avg total
87.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.082.2168.2+3.853%
Season at home (9)84.484.4168.9+0.056%
Season away (8)87.879.6167.4+8.150%
Last 10 (10)87.682.2169.8+5.470%
Last 5 (5)86.684.0170.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)93.098.0191.0-5.033%
vs Similar (8)87.187.1174.2+0.050%
vs Weaker (19)87.181.4168.4+5.763%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
ValenciaJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#11
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A02/01
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/01
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/01
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
67-42
67
42
+25
H11/01
ACB
Lietkabelis
#18
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A18/01
ACB
Aris
#19
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H22/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H25/01
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A28/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
ACB
88.5Avg total
46.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.941.490.3+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.539.993.4+13.793%-
Last 30 away (15)44.342.987.1+1.467%-
Last 10 (10)46.442.188.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)49.241.891.0+7.479%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A03/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/01
Eurocup
Poitiers
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A09/01
French Cup
Paris
#1
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A12/01
LNB
Aris
#19
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A15/01
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A17/01
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H22/01
Eurocup
Nanterre
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H25/01
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H29/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H02/02
LNB
84.1Avg total
44.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.686.6+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.243.688.8+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)44.839.484.1+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.984.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.282.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)50.347.397.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (8)44.941.486.2+3.575%-
vs Weaker (19)44.240.885.1+3.458%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.6
58.4%
53.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.5
39.7%
34.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.8
79.2%
76.0%16.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.0
50.7%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.6
37.5%
34.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.620.7
80.9%
76.0%20.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWLWWWWL
JL Bourg
WLWWWWLWWL
#1
League position
#12
+15.4
Net rating
+9.3
121.8
Offensive rating
117.6
106.3
Defensive rating
108.3
58.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
39.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
39.7%
3-point %
37.5%
70.7%
Assist %
68.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.8 · 117.6Defence106.3 · 108.3Shooting58.9% · 52.9%3-point %39.7% · 37.5%Ball care18.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds34.8% · 39.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
0
JL Bourg wins
DateGameScore
28/11/24JL Bourg v Valencia96-107
08/03/22JL Bourg v Valencia77-88
17/11/21Valencia v JL Bourg98-95
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AMoraBanc Andorra84-86
28/01/25ACedevita Olimpija72-66
25/01/25HManresa112-96
22/01/25HAris106-65
18/01/25AUnicaja86-94
14/01/25ALietkabelis96-91
11/01/25HGranada120-94
07/01/25HTurk Telekom116-78
05/01/25ALeyma Coruna99-91
02/01/25AVenezia74-81
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HChalon/Saone103-77
29/01/25HHapoel Jerusalem67-94
25/01/25HNanterre100-97
22/01/25HCedevita Olimpija87-82
17/01/25AStrasbourg76-70
15/01/25AAris92-51
12/01/25AParis89-98
09/01/25APoitiers94-89
07/01/25HLietkabelis79-66
03/01/25ATurk Telekom89-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWLWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game96.2106.487.1
Allowed / game80.781.879.8
Point differential+15.5+24.6+7.3
Avg total176.9188.1166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%88%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
JL Bourg
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game86.084.487.8
Allowed / game82.284.479.6
Point differential+3.8+0.0+8.1
Avg total168.2168.9167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1715288%96.280.7+15.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1714382%83.575.1+8.5
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1812667%88.879.6+9.3
4 Gran Canaria1812667%79.375.8+3.5
5 Hapoel Jerusalem1811761%84.077.7+6.3
6 Cluj-Napoca1810856%89.087.0+2.0
7 Besiktas1810856%85.284.4+0.8
8 Cedevita Olimpija1810856%82.081.7+0.3
9 BC Wolves1810856%84.885.1-0.3
10 Venezia1810856%82.282.8-0.7
11 Turk Telekom1810856%79.881.7-1.8
12 JL Bourg179853%86.082.2+3.8
13 Buducnost189950%87.185.8+1.3
14 Ulm189950%87.289.0-1.8
15 Joventut Badalona1761135%80.185.9-5.8
16 Trento1861233%79.284.7-5.5
17 Hamburg1861233%78.187.0-8.9
18 Lietkabelis1851328%82.687.9-5.3
19 Aris1831517%74.784.8-10.1
20 Trefl Sopot181176%76.386.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia18322228100
JL Bourg2727222298
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