PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

JL Bourg vs Paris Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 01 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game92.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game85.9
FranceLNBRound 29· Ekinox
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · JL Bourg v Paris
01 May 2027
JBO v PRS
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
JBO75
PRS91
08 Jun 2025
JBO93
PRS103
12 Apr 2025
JBO91
PRS98
12 Apr 2024
JBO81
PRS89
16 Dec 2023
JBO83
PRS81
24 Sep 2022
JBO102
PRS99
04 Dec 2021
JBO93
PRS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JL Bourg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
L
89-93
89
93
-4
77avg 77
A13/10
Eurocup
Le Mans
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
85avg 77
A18/10
LNB
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 77
H21/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
89-81
89
81
+8
77avg 77
H24/10
LNB
Chemnitz
#13
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 77
A28/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#5
L
98-101
98
101
-3
93avg 77
H31/10
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
A08/11
LNB
Buducnost
#10
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
29-19
24-17
22-25
28-26
24-22
20-26
18-17
19-24
34-21
22-15
15-19
33-28
15-25
18-15
23-13
19-25
13-21
17-29
28-21
31-13
25-34
18-24
24-30
27-20
20-19
14-21
27-24
24-25
22-32
19-22
12-28
21-20
15-16
18-16
12-16
16-19
28-28
17-15
16-28
173.1Avg total
84.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.192.1179.2-5.025%
Season at home (4)88.587.2175.8+1.250%
Season away (4)85.897.0182.8-11.20%
Last 10 (10)84.189.0173.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)81.290.0171.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.287.8168.9-6.625%
vs Similar (12)85.588.4173.9-2.933%
vs Weaker (6)87.779.0166.7+8.783%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 85
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 85
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 85
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 85
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.285.9183.1+11.389%
Season at home (4)102.887.0189.8+15.8100%
Season away (5)92.885.0177.8+7.880%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
JL BourgParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A13/10
Eurocup
Le Mans
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A18/10
LNB
Trento
#27
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H21/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H24/10
LNB
Chemnitz
#13
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#5
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H31/10
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/11
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/11
LNB
Buducnost
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/11
LNB
92.6Avg total
45.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.688.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.744.790.4+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.044.685.6-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)45.746.992.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.291.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.045.287.2-3.233%-
vs Similar (12)43.745.889.4-2.142%-
vs Weaker (6)46.241.387.5+4.867%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.8
55.2%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
34.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.416.7
68.4%
74.2%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
34.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.2%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
JL Bourg
LLLWLLWWLL
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
#13
League position
#1
-2.9
Net rating
+4.0
95.0
Offensive rating
103.4
98.0
Defensive rating
99.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
57.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.3%
3-point %
36.7%
57.1%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 103.4Defence98.0 · 99.4Shooting51.6% · 57.9%3-point %30.3% · 36.7%Ball care14.5% · 14.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ JL Bourg   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
JL Bourg wins
9
Paris wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Paris v JL Bourg107-77
22/03/26Paris v JL Bourg85-95
15/11/25JL Bourg v Paris75-91
08/06/25JL Bourg v Paris93-103
06/06/25Paris v JL Bourg117-103
04/06/25Paris v JL Bourg100-89
12/04/25JL Bourg v Paris91-98
15/03/25Paris v JL Bourg99-91
12/01/25Paris v JL Bourg98-89
28/04/24Paris v JL Bourg84-80
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRoanne77-90
10/11/26HBuducnost66-68
08/11/26AParis77-107
04/11/26ASlask Wroclaw88-84
31/10/26HNanterre98-101
28/10/26AChemnitz77-96
24/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque89-81
21/10/26HTrento90-79
18/10/26ALe Mans90-91
13/10/26ANeptunas89-93
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

JL Bourg
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game87.188.585.8
Allowed / game92.187.297.0
Point differential-5.0+1.2-11.2
Avg total179.2175.8182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game97.2102.892.8
Allowed / game85.987.085.0
Point differential+11.3+15.8+7.8
Avg total183.1189.8177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.