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JL Bourg vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-77
24-16 26-16 27-17 15-28
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Position#17
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game74.7
FranceLNBRound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez
27 Mar 2027
JBO v POR
upcoming
08 Oct 2022
JBO92
POR77
05 Feb 2022
JBO73
POR83
16 Mar 2021
JBO88
POR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JL Bourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Roanne
#13
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
no box
H19/04
LNB
Orleans
#17
L
82-84
82
84
-2
88avg 77
A24/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
no box
A30/04
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
85-96
85
96
-11
81avg 77
H03/05
LNB
Le Portel
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
80avg 77
H10/05
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
L
80-93
80
93
-13
87avg 77
A17/05
LNB
Paris
#10
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
no box
H24/09
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 77
A27/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
84-102
84
102
-18
70avg 77
A01/10
LNB
Toulouse
#37
W
93-56
93
56
+37
no box
H04/10
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
16-21
23-18
20-14
23-18
34-9
10-31
15-26
14-21
28-13
20-23
19-24
17-34
18-27
28-15
22-20
18-22
26-27
22-16
17-21
18-21
20-16
21-27
21-29
21-28
20-27
20-18
32-20
18-24
26-14
16-17
13-16
18-31
23-24
20-26
23-21
23-9
31-12
24-18
15-17
172.6Avg total
86.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.390.7177.0-4.367%
Season at home (1)102.099.0201.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)78.586.5165.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)86.985.7172.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)86.484.2170.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.682.9157.4-8.329%
vs Similar (15)81.578.2159.7+3.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.483.0166.4+0.425%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Roanne
#13
W
103-87
103
87
+16
117avg 82
A17/05
LNB
Levallois
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
91avg 82
A25/05
LNB
Levallois
#3
W
81-71
81
71
+10
82avg 82
H28/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
65-94
65
94
-29
50avg 82
A02/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A04/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
84avg 82
H07/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
92avg 82
H09/06
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
102avg 82
H24/09
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
47avg 82
A27/09
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
81-62
81
62
+19
92avg 82
H02/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
24-23
31-16
32-24
23-24
23-17
24-17
24-19
22-16
17-17
20-21
22-17
13-25
18-22
21-23
13-24
20-22
15-24
12-17
25-16
23-21
19-21
23-20
17-14
26-20
14-25
15-23
28-17
14-27
30-14
20-16
19-23
8-12
13-23
19-21
19-26
22-17
15-15
23-12
21-18
159.6Avg total
80.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.374.7149.0-0.367%
Season at home (2)82.071.0153.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)59.082.0141.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)80.379.3159.6+1.060%
Last 5 (5)77.677.0154.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.883.7161.5-5.936%
vs Similar (12)83.278.8162.0+4.367%
vs Weaker (6)82.574.3156.8+8.283%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
JL BourgPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#13
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H19/04
LNB
Orleans
#17
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A24/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A30/04
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H03/05
LNB
Le Portel
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H10/05
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/05
LNB
Paris
#10
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H24/09
LNB
Le Portel
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A01/10
LNB
Toulouse
#37
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H04/10
French Cup
85.4Avg total
43.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.480.0-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.342.380.6-4.031%-
Last 30 away (14)40.938.379.2+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.385.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.284.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.943.981.7-6.014%-
vs Similar (15)39.439.278.6+0.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.239.881.0+1.538%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/05
LNB
Levallois
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A25/05
LNB
Levallois
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/05
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A02/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H09/06
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/09
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A27/09
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H02/10
LNB
78.4Avg total
37.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.780.7-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.581.1+2.175%-
Last 30 away (14)38.342.080.3-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.978.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.342.480.6-4.127%-
vs Similar (12)41.241.282.4-0.167%-
vs Weaker (6)41.536.878.3+4.7100%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.3
57.7%
53.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.511.7
75.5%
75.2%11.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.1
49.7%
53.7%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.6
36.4%
35.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.014.9
82.8%
75.2%14.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
JL Bourg
WLWWLLLWLW
Pau-Orthez
WLWLWLLWWW
#5
League position
#17
-7.6
Net rating
+3.3
108.7
Offensive rating
110.7
116.4
Defensive rating
107.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.0%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.0%
3-point %
36.4%
62.8%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 110.7Defence116.4 · 107.4Shooting55.0% · 52.0%3-point %34.0% · 36.4%Ball care15.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds21.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ JL Bourg   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
JL Bourg wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
05/02/22JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez73-83
02/10/21Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg71-79
16/03/21JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez88-58
16/01/21Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg76-83
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/22HToulouse93-56
01/10/22ALyon-Villeurbanne84-102
27/09/22ALe Portel73-71
24/09/22HParis102-99 OT
17/05/22AChalons-Reims80-93
10/05/22HLe Portel83-86
03/05/22HFos-sur-Mer85-96
30/04/22AStrasbourg92-88 OT
24/04/22AOrleans82-84
19/04/22HRoanne95-82 OT
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/22HLimoges81-62
27/09/22ABoulogne-Levallois59-82
24/09/22HStrasbourg83-80
09/06/22HMonaco83-85
07/06/22HMonaco82-76
04/06/22AMonaco72-79
02/06/22AMonaco65-94
28/05/22HLevallois81-71
25/05/22ALevallois94-77
17/05/22ARoanne103-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

JL Bourg
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.3102.078.5
Allowed / game90.799.086.5
Point differential-4.3+3.0-8.0
Avg total177.0201.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%100%0%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game74.382.059.0
Allowed / game74.771.082.0
Point differential-0.3+11.0-23.0
Avg total149.0153.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco330100%92.078.7+13.3
2 Le Mans440100%92.581.8+10.8
3 Ada Blois330100%94.790.3+4.3
4 Boulogne-Levallois32167%82.375.3+7.0
5 Pau-Orthez32167%74.374.7-0.3
6 JL Bourg32167%86.390.7-4.3
7 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.384.3-9.0
8 Dijon42250%89.087.2+1.8
9 Cholet21150%86.589.5-3.0
10 Fos-sur-Mer21150%85.092.5-7.5
11 Roanne31233%95.391.0+4.3
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%91.087.0+4.0
13 Nanterre31233%85.382.7+2.7
14 Strasbourg31233%83.784.0-0.3
15 Nancy31233%77.382.0-4.7
16 Paris3030%93.7101.0-7.3
17 Le Portel3030%76.384.0-7.7
18 Limoges3030%67.379.0-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
JL Bourg2426271592
Pau-Orthez1616172877
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