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JL Bourg vs Pau-Orthez Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game92.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game90.4
FranceLNBRound 24· Ekinox
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez
27 Mar 2027
JBO v POR
upcoming
08 Oct 2022
JBO92
POR77
05 Feb 2022
JBO73
POR83
16 Mar 2021
JBO88
POR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JL Bourg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
L
89-93
89
93
-4
77avg 77
A13/10
Eurocup
Le Mans
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
85avg 77
A18/10
LNB
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 77
H21/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
89-81
89
81
+8
77avg 77
H24/10
LNB
Chemnitz
#13
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 77
A28/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
L
98-101
98
101
-3
93avg 77
H31/10
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
A08/11
LNB
Buducnost
#10
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#7
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
29-19
24-17
22-25
28-26
24-22
20-26
18-17
19-24
34-21
22-15
15-19
33-28
15-25
18-15
23-13
19-25
13-21
17-29
28-21
31-13
25-34
18-24
24-30
27-20
20-19
14-21
27-24
24-25
22-32
19-22
12-28
21-20
15-16
18-16
12-16
16-19
28-28
17-15
16-28
173.1Avg total
84.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.192.1179.2-5.025%
Season at home (4)88.587.2175.8+1.250%
Season away (4)85.897.0182.8-11.20%
Last 10 (10)84.189.0173.1-4.930%
Last 5 (5)81.290.0171.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.287.8168.9-6.625%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.588.4173.9-2.933%
vs Weaker (6)87.779.0166.7+8.783%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 78
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
85avg 78
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
52avg 78
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#3
L
61-89
61
89
-28
53avg 78
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 78
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 78
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
73avg 78
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#2
L
97-106 OT
97
106
-9
86avg 78
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
97-106
97
106
-9
no box
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H13/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-23
25-18
17-9
25-22
19-17
18-24
24-10
14-23
12-18
18-14
20-23
14-19
14-20
19-31
14-19
17-22
16-22
25-22
21-19
30-34
31-16
14-22
27-17
28-20
24-19
16-22
17-20
15-16
29-24
20-27
23-20
27-16
27-27
17-31
26-32
19-26
21-23
23-28
21-12
170.4Avg total
83.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.690.4174.0-6.825%
Season at home (4)83.087.0170.0-4.050%
Season away (4)84.293.8178.0-9.50%
Last 10 (10)83.686.8170.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)93.094.2187.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.297.4177.6-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.881.8168.6+5.177%
vs Weaker (12)86.877.9164.8+8.992%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
JL BourgPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A13/10
Eurocup
Le Mans
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A18/10
LNB
Trento
#27
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H21/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H24/10
LNB
Chemnitz
#13
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H31/10
LNB
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/11
Eurocup
Paris
#1
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/11
LNB
Buducnost
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/11
LNB
92.6Avg total
45.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.688.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.744.790.4+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.044.685.6-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)45.746.992.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.291.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.045.287.2-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.745.889.4-2.142%-
vs Weaker (6)46.241.387.5+4.867%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/06
Pro B
Nanterre
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/09
LNB
Dijon
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H03/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A10/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/10
LNB
Limoges
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/10
LNB
Le Mans
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A31/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A07/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H13/11
LNB
85.0Avg total
42.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.983.5-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.484.8+1.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.482.1-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.985.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.244.294.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.443.682.0-5.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.044.288.2-0.254%-
vs Weaker (12)40.438.779.1+1.875%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.8
55.2%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
34.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.416.7
68.4%
74.2%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.2
28.7%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
74.2%17.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
JL Bourg
LLLWLLWWLL
Pau-Orthez
LLLWWLLLWW
#13
League position
#14
-2.9
Net rating
-3.6
95.0
Offensive rating
91.4
98.0
Defensive rating
95.1
51.6%
Effective FG%
48.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.3%
3-point %
28.7%
57.1%
Assist %
65.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 91.4Defence98.0 · 95.1Shooting51.6% · 48.0%3-point %30.3% · 28.7%Ball care14.5% · 14.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ JL Bourg   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
JL Bourg wins
2
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
23/04/23Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg87-79
08/10/22JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez92-77
05/02/22JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez73-83
02/10/21Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg71-79
16/03/21JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez88-58
16/01/21Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg76-83
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRoanne77-90
10/11/26HBuducnost66-68
08/11/26AParis77-107
04/11/26ASlask Wroclaw88-84
31/10/26HNanterre98-101
28/10/26AChemnitz77-96
24/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque89-81
21/10/26HTrento90-79
18/10/26ALe Mans90-91
13/10/26ANeptunas89-93
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HStrasbourg84-89
07/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne97-106
31/10/26ALe Mans97-106 OT
25/10/26HLimoges85-81
17/10/26HSaint Quentin102-89
10/10/26ACholet79-85
03/10/26HDijon61-89
26/09/26ANanterre64-78
18/06/26HPoitiers86-73
15/06/26APoitiers81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

JL Bourg
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game87.188.585.8
Allowed / game92.187.297.0
Point differential-5.0+1.2-11.2
Avg total179.2175.8182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.683.084.2
Allowed / game90.487.093.8
Point differential-6.8-4.0-9.5
Avg total174.0170.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Le Mans87188%99.988.5+11.4
3 Dijon86275%92.984.1+8.8
4 Nanterre86275%88.581.1+7.4
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne86275%91.487.5+3.9
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
12 Nancy82625%80.585.4-4.9
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque81712%79.189.5-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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