PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Jonava vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 94-82
16-27 29-15 24-25 25-15
Position#6
Record2-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.0
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Vs
55%
45%
■ JON 55%■ JUV 45%
Pythia win probability
Projected 83-81
Projected total 164.6
Position#7
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game86.3
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jonava v Juventus
04 Mar 2027
JON v JUV
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
JON94
JUV82
12 May 2026
JON90
JUV95
19 Nov 2025
JON82
JUV80
03 Nov 2025
JON82
JUV98
23 Apr 2025
JON78
JUV72
08 Dec 2024
JON93
JUV98
27 Nov 2024
JON90
JUV87
26 Nov 2023
JON84
JUV73
11 Apr 2023
JON76
JUV88
22 Oct 2022
JON82
JUV84
13 Apr 2022
JON65
JUV71
29 Mar 2022
JON86
JUV80
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Jonava host Juventus in the LKL. Pythia makes Jonava the favourite at 55% and projects 83-81, about 165 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Jonava are 2-4 this season (75.8 scored, 79.0 allowed a game), form LWLLW; Juventus are 3-4 this season (85.7 scored, 86.3 allowed a game), form LLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
55.5%fair 1.80
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winLost
44.5%fair 2.25
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-102
82
102
-20
81avg 74
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
61avg 74
H22/05
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
81avg 74
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 74
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 74
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#8
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 74
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
71-65
71
65
+6
65avg 74
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
79avg 74
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 74
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 74
A28/10
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
18-31
17-24
30-25
14-32
18-25
26-15
17-18
18-16
20-25
11-26
32-14
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
24-29
21-19
21-17
17-19
15-24
11-17
14-24
23-21
20-18
17-20
24-12
19-17
157.3Avg total
76.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.879.0154.8-3.233%
Season at home (3)77.076.0153.0+1.033%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.381.0157.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)72.076.2148.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.790.5173.2-7.827%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.481.0159.4-2.640%
vs Weaker (3)85.075.7160.7+9.367%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 79
A12/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
78avg 79
A19/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
84-99
84
99
-15
74avg 79
A23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
85avg 79
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
86avg 79
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
66-105
66
105
-39
51avg 79
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 79
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
100avg 79
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#20
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 79
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 79
H25/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
21-22
17-21
21-24
26-13
20-14
21-32
15-25
16-18
20-31
20-28
28-22
28-24
24-14
17-22
25-17
18-20
23-16
26-17
26-24
8-20
21-24
19-34
18-27
25-23
28-18
15-21
3-21
31-25
26-26
20-19
23-20
22-25
25-25
14-20
15-5
25-30
17-21
10-20
24-23
169.8Avg total
81.9Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.786.3172.0-0.643%
Season at home (4)90.884.5175.2+6.275%
Season away (3)79.088.7167.7-9.70%
Last 10 (10)81.987.9169.8-6.040%
Last 5 (5)77.889.4167.2-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)85.193.9179.0-8.842%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.090.0174.0-6.017%
vs Weaker (5)93.085.0178.0+8.080%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1252%1303%1355%1407%1459%15011%15511%16012%16511%1709%1757%1804%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1253%1357%14511%15512%1659%1754%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 165 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
49.3%
Under 164.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5Actual: Over 169.5
Over 169.5
37.1%
Under 169.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5Actual: Over 174.5
Over 174.5
26.2%
Under 174.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Jonava total 82.5Actual: Jonava over 82.5
Over 82.5
52.2%
Under 82.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonava total 86.5Actual: Jonava over 86.5
Over 86.5
36.9%
Under 86.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonava total 90.5Actual: Jonava over 90.5
Over 90.5
23.6%
Under 90.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus total 78.5Actual: Juventus over 78.5
Over 78.5
61.0%
Under 78.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus total 82.5Actual: Juventus under 82.5
Over 82.5
45.6%
Under 82.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus total 86.5Actual: Juventus under 86.5
Over 86.5
31.0%
Under 86.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-330%-301%-271%-242%-213%-184%-156%-127%-99%-69%-36%+010%+39%+68%+96%+125%+154%+183%+212%+241%+271%+300%+33
0%-331%-272%-214%-157%-99%-310%+38%+95%+153%+211%+270%+33
Margin from Jonava's side (positive = Jonava win). Pythia's expected margin is +1.6; Jonava win by 1+ in 48% of simulations.
Spread Jonava -3Actual: Jonava -3
JON -3
46.9%
JUV +3
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
JON
No market prices yet.
JUV
No market prices yet.
Spread Jonava 0Actual: Jonava 0
JON 0
55.5%
JUV 0
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
JON
No market prices yet.
JUV
No market prices yet.
Spread Jonava +3Actual: Jonava +3
JON +3
64.0%
JUV -3
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
JON
No market prices yet.
JUV
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
JonavaJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
H22/05
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
LKL
CIU
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
ENBL
78.0Avg total
35.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.584.2-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.183.8-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)38.945.684.5-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.778.0-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)39.745.785.5-6.032%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.042.483.4-1.460%-
vs Weaker (3)37.338.776.0-1.30%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A12/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A19/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A23/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#20
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/10
LKL
87.9Avg total
44.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.444.188.6+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.142.988.0+2.371%-
Last 30 away (16)43.845.289.1-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.787.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)44.247.191.3-2.937%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.840.286.0+5.783%-
vs Weaker (5)43.837.681.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.7
55.0%
55.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
70.4%13.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.3
54.0%
55.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.912.1
71.6%
70.4%12.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLLWLLWLLL
Juventus
LWWLLWWLLL
#6
League position
#7
+2.6
Net rating
-6.9
89.5
Offensive rating
94.8
86.9
Defensive rating
101.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.8%
3-point %
34.4%
63.1%
Assist %
48.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 94.8Defence86.9 · 101.7Shooting50.7% · 53.1%3-point %29.8% · 34.4%Ball care17.4% · 15.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Jonava   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jonava wins
5
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
12/05/26Jonava v Juventus90-95
11/04/26Juventus v Jonava85-86
11/01/26Juventus v Jonava104-95
19/11/25Jonava v Juventus82-80
03/11/25Jonava v Juventus82-98
15/10/25Juventus v Jonava97-83
23/04/25Jonava v Juventus78-72
13/04/25Juventus v Jonava109-115 OT
08/12/24Jonava v Juventus93-98
27/11/24Jonava v Juventus90-87
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ACIU80-67
25/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-86
17/10/26HNeptunas83-84
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65
19/09/26ATaurage90-95 OT
22/05/26HZalgiris Kaunas75-90
20/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas82-102
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HRytas76-94
21/10/26AReggiana76-75
18/10/26HGargzdai100-90
11/10/26ASiauliai71-83
07/10/26HUnicaja66-105
04/10/26HTaurage93-77
27/09/26HNevezis94-77
23/09/26ANeptunas84-99
19/09/26ALietkabelis82-84
12/06/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game75.877.074.7
Allowed / game79.076.082.0
Point differential-3.2+1.0-7.3
Avg total154.8153.0156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Juventus
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game85.790.879.0
Allowed / game86.384.588.7
Point differential-0.6+6.2-9.7
Avg total172.0175.2167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%93.073.0+20.0
2 Rytas54180%91.283.4+7.8
3 Gargzdai75271%90.688.4+2.1
4 Neptunas84450%85.685.2+0.4
5 Lietkabelis84450%78.981.1-2.2
6 Juventus73443%85.786.3-0.6
7 Siauliai83538%83.287.2-4.0
8 Taurage83538%81.487.8-6.4
9 Jonava62433%75.879.0-3.2
10 Nevezis6060%71.383.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1629242594
Juventus2715251582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.