PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in
Teams › LKL › Gargzdai← All teams

Gargzdai

Lithuania LKL 6-3 · 2/10
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WWWWWLWWLW
Points / game
88.3
allowed 87.3
Over 172.5
50%
game total, 10 games
Game total
175.6
both teams per game
Win rate
60%
6-4
Margin / game
+1.0
points
1st half
41.7
points scored / game
Overtime
0%
games to overtime
Sections
Gargzdai

Gargzdai are entering the 2026-27 season with a 9-3 overall record, including a 6-3 mark in the LKL where they sit second in a ten-team table. Their last five games show a 3-2 spread, and recent outings include a 91-70 win over Jonava away, a 76-87 loss to Nevezis away, and an 81-78 home victory against Taurage in the King Mindaugas Cup. In the LKL Gargzdai boast a net rating of 0.1, ranking third out of ten teams and moving up from eighth a few games ago. Home play yields a 5-1 record with 82.8 points for and 81.3 against, while away games are 4-2 with 94.2 points for and 87.8 against. J. Carlos leads the squad with 20.9 points and 8.1 assists per game, and L. Wilson averages 6.1 rebounds. Their next contest is an away King Mindaugas Cup match against Jurbarkas on 17 November 2026, where the model projects a 62% chance of victory.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Gargzdai stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the LKL (this season) Gargzdai score 88.3 points a game and allow 87.3 across 10 games – 50% of their games go over 172.5 and they clear 86.5 team points in 60%. They win 60% (75% at home, 50% away), by +1.0 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

GargzdaiLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 79
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
97avg 79
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 79
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 79
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 79
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 79
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 79
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 79
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 79
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 79
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 79
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 79
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 79
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 79
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 79
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 79
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 79
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
175.6Avg total
88.2Scored
87.4Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
22.3
24.1
-1.8
won 30%
Q2
19.4
21.7
-2.3
won 20%
Q3
22.8
22.7
+0.1
won 40%
Q4
23.8
18.8
+5.0
won 60%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 40% of 10 games, the 2nd half in 50%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=4AWAY n=6
84.2
Points / game
91.0
83.8
Allowed / game
89.7
168.0
Game total
180.7
25%
Over 172.5
67%
75%
Win %
50%
+0.5
Margin
+1.3
36.0
1st half scored
45.5
25%
Won the 1st half
50%
25%
Won by 10+
33%
Points scored per game
8%15%22%30%20%75-7920%80-8410%85-8930%90-940%95-9920%100-104
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
5%10%15%20%10%70-7420%75-7920%80-8410%85-890%90-9420%95-9920%100-104
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 84.0 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)85.886.582.783.488.889.757%
vs Stronger (11)78.586.577.084.780.488.636%
vs Similar (10)90.888.385.480.096.296.670%
vs Weaker (9)89.084.788.085.889.883.867%
Over 172.5 (game total)47% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
=3rdof 10 · 2 level60%
Attack: points scored per game
3rdof 1088.3
Defence: points allowed per game
9thof 1087.3
Game total: both teams' points per game
1stof 10175.6
Ranked against the 10 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
2ndof 1050.4%
2-point accuracy
5thof 1056.6%
3-point accuracy
2ndof 1037.3%
Free-throw accuracy
6thof 1070.3%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
3 Rytas50.3%
4 Neptunas48.3%
5 Juventus47.7%
6 Jonava47.6%
7 Siauliai47.6%
10 Nevezis42.0%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
2 Rytas61.9%
3 Jonava60.2%
4 Siauliai56.9%
6 Neptunas56.1%
7 Juventus55.0%
9 Nevezis47.5%
10 Taurage47.1%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
3 Rytas36.6%
4 Juventus35.4%
5 Siauliai34.9%
7 Neptunas34.5%
9 Jonava31.8%
10 Nevezis30.7%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
2 Neptunas75.7%
3 Siauliai75.0%
4 Juventus72.1%
7 Rytas70.2%
8 Jonava65.7%
10 Nevezis63.1%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
50.4%+2.6pp v the LKL average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the LKL average
#2 of 10 in LKL
✋ 2-pointers
56.6%+1.1pp v the LKL average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
6 of 10 shots go in · line = the LKL average
#5 of 10 in LKL
🌟 3-pointers
37.3%+1.9pp v the LKL average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the LKL average
#2 of 10 in LKL
🏹 Free throws
70.3%-0.5pp v the LKL average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
7 of 10 shots go in · line = the LKL average
#6 of 10 in LKL

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
GargzdaiLeague average
95.8
Offensive rating
98.8
96.4
Defensive rating
98.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.8%
3-point %
35.3%
34.1%
3-point attempt rate
38.2%
60.0%
Assist %
60.5%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 98.8Defence96.4 · 98.8Shooting51.5% · 54.6%3-point %32.8% · 35.3%Ball care13.9% · 15.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.37
■ Gargzdai   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 172.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+15444%4-05-0100%WWWWW
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2550%3-13-2100%WLWLW
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+3450%1-24-125%WWLWL
4 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1410%4-11-375%LWLWW
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+533%4-11-3100%LWWLW
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2540%2-22-3-WLLLW
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3233%2-41-20%LLWLL
8 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2550%3-20-40%LWLLL
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5320%2-21-467%LLWWL
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-6911%1-30-425%LLLWL
Playoffs
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 172.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
175.6Avg total
88.2Scored
87.4Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 172.5
Last 30 (30)85.886.5172.3-0.857%47%
Last 30 at home (15)82.783.4166.1-0.760%20%
Last 30 away (15)88.889.7178.5-0.953%73%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%50%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%45%
vs Similar (10)90.888.3179.1+2.570%50%
vs Weaker (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%44%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 172.5 = the league line
Over 172.547%
n=30
Under 172.553%
n=30
Won the game57%
n=30
Lost the game43%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, LKL games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 172.5)Team points (line 86.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (10)175.6168.0180.788.384.291.0+1.0+0.5+1.3
vs Stronger (1)175.0175.0-77.077.0--21.0-21.0-
vs Similar (6)178.8165.7192.089.586.792.3+0.2+7.7-7.3
vs Weaker (3)169.3-169.389.7-89.7+10.0-+10.0
% over line / win50%25%67%60%50%67%60%75%50%
% under line / loss50%75%33%40%50%33%40%25%50%
Scoring dials
Points / game88.3
League avg 84.0 · above by 4.3
Allowed / game87.3
League avg 84.0 · above by 3.3
1st half scored41.7
League avg 42.1 · below by 0.4
3-pointers made8.3
League avg 8.3 · above by 0.0
Free throws made13.8
League avg 16.0 · below by 2.2
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 81.5 pts80%
🔥 70%+n=10
Under 81.5 pts20%
n=10
Over 86.5 pts60%
n=10
Under 86.5 pts40%
n=10
Over 91.5 pts20%
n=10
Under 91.5 pts80%
🔥 70%+n=10
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 162.590%
🔥 70%+n=10
Under 162.510%
n=10
Over 172.550%
n=10
Under 172.550%
n=10
Over 182.530%
n=10
Under 182.570%
🔥 70%+n=10
Result markets
Win60%
n=10
Win by 6+ (-5.5)40%
n=10
Cover +5.560%
n=10
Win by 10+30%
n=10
Win the 1st half40%
n=10
Overtime0%
n=10
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Gargzdai: 85.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.8
54.6%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.717.6
71.3%
70.8%17.6
Their opponents take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
J. CarlosLKL7729.720.93.18.156.9%44.0%
B. KrikkeLKL7625.113.64.91.356.1%18.2%
Evaldas SaulysLKL7324.911.43.01.351.1%48.5%
D. StanleyLKL7024.614.93.34.341.5%39.3%
Arunas MikalauskasLKL7421.87.94.30.744.4%29.4%
L. WilsonLKL7521.610.36.10.654.2%30.0%
Adomas SidareviciusLKL7016.83.31.42.139.1%30.0%
Grant ShephardLKL6215.54.82.80.770.6%-
Kristupas LesciauskasLKL6513.83.01.30.541.2%30.8%
L. VaistarasLKL4113.71.83.00.530.0%25.0%
R. KreismontasLKL325.21.00.00.050.0%50.0%
P. KulikauskasLKL101.10.01.00.0--
M. GervinasLKL101.12.00.00.0100.0%-
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
4.0
11 rated players
D. Stanley15.3 pts9.4
Evaldas Saulys11.3 pts6.2
B. Krikke13.6 pts6.1
Grant Shephard7.3 pts5.5
J. Carlos17.1 pts4.5
L. Wilson10.1 pts2.9
L. Vaistaras1.8 pts1.8
R. Kreismontas1.0 pts1.1
Player market rates – share of games
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
56%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
19-15favourite won / lost
Across 34 games of Gargzdai, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 56% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Jurbarkas
v
Gargzdai
Tue 17 Nov, 17:00 UTC
Pythia: Gargzdai 62%
home 38%away 62%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Jurbarkas v Gargzdai Tue 17 Nov
No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=33
2023-24
n=17
2025-26
n=34
2026-27
n=10
Trend
Points scored / game75.877.983.188.3
Points allowed / game84.494.187.787.3
Game total160.2171.9170.8175.6
Over 162.545%82%65%90%
Over 172.527%53%47%50%
Over 182.59%12%18%30%
Team points over 86.515%18%38%60%
Win %18%18%44%60%
Home win %25%25%47%75%
Away win %12%11%41%50%
Margin / game-8.6-16.2-4.5+1.0
Won by 10+6%12%12%30%
Close games won (5 or fewer)25%0%57%100%
Overtime %3%0%6%0%
1st half total79.586.484.087.5
Won the 1st half21%24%38%40%
3-point attempt rate39%37%34%32%
Effective FG%50%49%51%56%
Pace72.976.574.8-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
14 NovSiauliai v Gargzdai LKL97-82L
08 NovJonava v Gargzdai LKL70-91W
02 NovNevezis v Gargzdai LKL87-76L
27 OctGargzdai v Taurage King Mindaugas Cup81-78W
24 OctGargzdai v Lietkabelis LKL83-80W
18 OctJuventus v Gargzdai LKL100-90L
14 OctNevezis v Gargzdai King Mindaugas Cup86-101W
11 OctTaurage v Gargzdai LKL82-102W
06 OctGargzdai v Jurbarkas King Mindaugas Cup79-75W
03 OctRytas v Gargzdai LKL102-105W
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.