Gargzdai are entering the 2026-27 season with a 9-3 overall record, including a 6-3 mark in the LKL where they sit second in a ten-team table. Their last five games show a 3-2 spread, and recent outings include a 91-70 win over Jonava away, a 76-87 loss to Nevezis away, and an 81-78 home victory against Taurage in the King Mindaugas Cup. In the LKL Gargzdai boast a net rating of 0.1, ranking third out of ten teams and moving up from eighth a few games ago. Home play yields a 5-1 record with 82.8 points for and 81.3 against, while away games are 4-2 with 94.2 points for and 87.8 against. J. Carlos leads the squad with 20.9 points and 8.1 assists per game, and L. Wilson averages 6.1 rebounds. Their next contest is an away King Mindaugas Cup match against Jurbarkas on 17 November 2026, where the model projects a 62% chance of victory.
Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.
Gargzdai stats, form & predictions – 2026-27
In the LKL (this season) Gargzdai score 88.3 points a game and allow 87.3 across 10 games – 50% of their games go over 172.5 and they clear 86.5 team points in 60%. They win 60% (75% at home, 50% away), by +1.0 points a game on average.
🏀 1. Points & form
GAGargzdaiLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 79
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
97avg 79
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 79
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 79
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 79
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 79
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 79
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 79
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 79
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 79
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 79
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 79
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 79
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 79
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 79
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 79
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 79
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
175.6Avg total
88.2Scored
87.4Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
22.3
24.1
-1.8 won 30%
Q2
19.4
21.7
-2.3 won 20%
Q3
22.8
22.7
+0.1 won 40%
Q4
23.8
18.8
+5.0 won 60%
■ scored ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 40% of 10 games, the 2nd half in 50%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=4AWAY n=6
84.2
Points / game
91.0
83.8
Allowed / game
89.7
168.0
Game total
180.7
25%
Over 172.5
67%
75%
Win %
50%
+0.5
Margin
+1.3
36.0
1st half scored
45.5
25%
Won the 1st half
50%
25%
Won by 10+
33%
Points scored per game
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 84.0 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
Split
Total scored
Total allowed
Home scored
Home allowed
Away scored
Away allowed
Win %
All games (30)
85.8
86.5
82.7
83.4
88.8
89.7
57%
vs Stronger (11)
78.5
86.5
77.0
84.7
80.4
88.6
36%
vs Similar (10)
90.8
88.3
85.4
80.0
96.2
96.6
70%
vs Weaker (9)
89.0
84.7
88.0
85.8
89.8
83.8
67%
Over 172.5 (game total)
47% of these 30 games
💪 2. Team strengths
Where they rank
Win %
=3rdof 10 · 2 level60%
Attack: points scored per game
3rdof 1088.3
Defence: points allowed per game
9thof 1087.3
Game total: both teams' points per game
1stof 10175.6
Ranked against the 10 teams of the league over this season. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
GA GargzdaiLeague average
95.8
Offensive rating
98.8
96.4
Defensive rating
98.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.8%
3-point %
35.3%
34.1%
3-point attempt rate
38.2%
60.0%
Assist %
60.5%
Profile
■ Gargzdai■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).
Playoffs Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 172.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.
📊 4. Betting markets
Bets by period · pick a period
GAGargzdaiLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
175.6Avg total
88.2Scored
87.4Allowed
Full game
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the game
Over 172.5
Last 30 (30)
85.8
86.5
172.3
-0.8
57%
47%
Last 30 at home (15)
82.7
83.4
166.1
-0.7
60%
20%
Last 30 away (15)
88.8
89.7
178.5
-0.9
53%
73%
Last 10 (10)
89.0
85.7
174.7
+3.3
70%
50%
Last 5 (5)
82.6
82.4
165.0
+0.2
60%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)
78.5
86.5
165.0
-7.9
36%
45%
vs Similar (10)
90.8
88.3
179.1
+2.5
70%
50%
vs Weaker (9)
89.0
84.7
173.7
+4.3
67%
44%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 172.5 = the league line
Over 172.547%
n=30
Under 172.553%
n=30
Won the game57%
n=30
Lost the game43%
n=30
GAGargzdaiLast 20 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
16-30
16
30
-14
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
22-16
22
16
+6
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
18-23
18
23
-5
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
15-25
15
25
-10
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
18-24
18
24
-6
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
16-20
16
20
-4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
D
18-18
18
18
+0
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
27-14
27
14
+13
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
17-15
17
15
+2
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
L
17-20
17
20
-3
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A14/11
LKL
44.6Avg total
21.6Scored
23.0Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)
21.7
22.6
44.3
-0.9
37%
50%
Last 30 at home (15)
18.9
21.1
40.0
-2.1
33%
27%
Last 30 away (15)
24.5
24.1
48.7
+0.4
40%
73%
Last 10 (10)
22.3
22.2
44.5
+0.1
40%
50%
Last 5 (5)
22.2
19.8
42.0
+2.4
60%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)
22.8
22.0
44.8
+0.8
45%
45%
vs Similar (10)
22.4
22.5
44.9
-0.1
40%
50%
vs Weaker (9)
19.7
23.4
43.1
-3.8
22%
56%
1st quarter hit rates · last 30 games · line 42.5 = the league line x 24%
Over 42.550%
n=30
Under 42.550%
n=30
Won the quarter37%
n=30
Lost the quarter57%
n=30
GAGargzdaiLast 20 – 2nd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
23-12
23
12
+11
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
17-15
17
15
+2
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
25-18
25
18
+7
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
18-32
18
32
-14
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
18-24
18
24
-6
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
19-21
19
21
-2
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
19-23
19
23
-4
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
16-20
16
20
-4
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
27-20
27
20
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
12-23
12
23
-11
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
17-27
17
27
-10
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
20-16
20
16
+4
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
16-19
16
19
-3
A14/11
LKL
43.0Avg total
21.1Scored
21.9Allowed
2nd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)
19.1
22.2
41.3
-3.1
27%
47%
Last 30 at home (15)
18.7
22.7
41.3
-4.0
13%
40%
Last 30 away (15)
19.6
21.7
41.3
-2.1
40%
53%
Last 10 (10)
22.0
22.0
44.0
+0.0
40%
70%
Last 5 (5)
17.8
22.2
40.0
-4.4
20%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)
16.3
22.6
38.9
-6.4
18%
27%
vs Similar (10)
18.9
22.9
41.8
-4.0
10%
50%
vs Weaker (9)
22.9
20.9
43.8
+2.0
56%
67%
2nd quarter hit rates · last 30 games · line 42.5 = the league line x 24%
Over 42.547%
n=30
Under 42.553%
n=30
Won the quarter27%
n=30
Lost the quarter67%
n=30
GAGargzdaiLast 20 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
87.7Avg total
42.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)
40.9
44.8
85.7
-3.9
30%
53%
Last 30 at home (15)
37.6
43.7
81.3
-6.1
13%
33%
Last 30 away (15)
44.1
45.9
90.0
-1.7
47%
73%
Last 10 (10)
44.3
44.2
88.5
+0.1
60%
60%
Last 5 (5)
40.0
42.0
82.0
-2.0
40%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)
39.1
44.6
83.7
-5.5
18%
45%
vs Similar (10)
41.3
45.4
86.7
-4.1
30%
50%
vs Weaker (9)
42.6
44.3
86.9
-1.8
44%
67%
1st half hit rates · last 30 games · line 84.5 = the league line x 49%
Over 84.553%
n=30
Under 84.547%
n=30
Won the half30%
n=30
Lost the half67%
n=30
GAGargzdaiLast 20 – 3rd quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
17-25
17
25
-8
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
22-13
22
13
+9
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
25-14
25
14
+11
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
25-19
25
19
+6
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
14-22
14
22
-8
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
10-19
10
19
-9
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
18-24
18
24
-6
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
16-22
16
22
-6
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
23-9
23
9
+14
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
W
19-18
19
18
+1
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
30-18
30
18
+12
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A14/11
LKL
42.7Avg total
21.8Scored
20.9Allowed
3rd quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)
21.8
21.1
43.0
+0.7
50%
57%
Last 30 at home (15)
20.9
20.8
41.7
+0.1
47%
53%
Last 30 away (15)
22.8
21.5
44.3
+1.3
53%
60%
Last 10 (10)
22.8
21.2
44.0
+1.6
50%
50%
Last 5 (5)
22.0
18.2
40.2
+3.8
60%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)
20.5
20.8
41.3
-0.4
55%
55%
vs Similar (10)
23.0
23.3
46.3
-0.3
30%
70%
vs Weaker (9)
22.2
19.1
41.3
+3.1
67%
44%
3rd quarter hit rates · last 30 games · line 43.5 = the league line x 25%
Over 43.557%
n=30
Under 43.543%
n=30
Won the quarter50%
n=30
Lost the quarter50%
n=30
GAGargzdaiLast 20 – 4th quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
14-24
14
24
-10
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
18-22
18
22
-4
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
24-22
24
22
+2
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
29-13
29
13
+16
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
29-7
29
7
+22
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
16-10
16
10
+6
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
L
17-28
17
28
-11
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
15-20
15
20
-5
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
24-16
24
16
+8
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
19-26
19
26
-7
A14/11
LKL
43.0Avg total
22.6Scored
20.4Allowed
4th quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)
21.8
19.3
41.1
+2.5
57%
33%
Last 30 at home (15)
23.0
17.3
40.3
+5.7
73%
33%
Last 30 away (15)
20.6
21.4
42.0
-0.8
40%
33%
Last 10 (10)
21.9
20.3
42.2
+1.6
60%
50%
Last 5 (5)
20.6
22.2
42.8
-1.6
40%
60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)
19.0
21.0
40.0
-2.0
27%
27%
vs Similar (10)
24.6
18.2
42.8
+6.4
80%
40%
vs Weaker (9)
22.1
18.6
40.7
+3.6
67%
33%
4th quarter hit rates · last 30 games · line 44.5 = the league line x 26%
Over 44.533%
n=30
Under 44.567%
n=30
Won the quarter57%
n=30
Lost the quarter40%
n=30
GAGargzdaiLast 20 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A14/11
LKL
85.8Avg total
44.5Scored
41.3Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)
43.6
40.5
84.1
+3.2
57%
30%
Last 30 at home (15)
43.9
38.1
81.9
+5.8
67%
13%
Last 30 away (15)
43.4
42.9
86.3
+0.5
47%
47%
Last 10 (10)
44.7
41.5
86.2
+3.2
50%
40%
Last 5 (5)
42.6
40.4
83.0
+2.2
60%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)
39.5
41.8
81.3
-2.4
45%
27%
vs Similar (10)
47.6
41.5
89.1
+6.1
60%
30%
vs Weaker (9)
44.3
37.7
82.0
+6.7
67%
33%
2nd half hit rates · last 30 games · line 87.5 = the league line x 51%
Over 87.530%
n=30
Under 87.570%
🔥 70%+n=30
Won the half57%
n=30
Lost the half37%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
this season, LKL games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 172.5)
Team points (line 86.5)
Margin (win)
Split
All
Home
Away
All
Home
Away
All
Home
Away
Overall (10)
175.6
168.0
180.7
88.3
84.2
91.0
+1.0
+0.5
+1.3
vs Stronger (1)
175.0
175.0
-
77.0
77.0
-
-21.0
-21.0
-
vs Similar (6)
178.8
165.7
192.0
89.5
86.7
92.3
+0.2
+7.7
-7.3
vs Weaker (3)
169.3
-
169.3
89.7
-
89.7
+10.0
-
+10.0
% over line / win
50%
25%
67%
60%
50%
67%
60%
75%
50%
% under line / loss
50%
75%
33%
40%
50%
33%
40%
25%
50%
Scoring dials
Points / game88.3
League avg 84.0 · above by 4.3
Allowed / game87.3
League avg 84.0 · above by 3.3
1st half scored41.7
League avg 42.1 · below by 0.4
3-pointers made8.3
League avg 8.3 · above by 0.0
Free throws made13.8
League avg 16.0 · below by 2.2
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (this season)
Over 81.5 pts80%
🔥 70%+n=10
Under 81.5 pts20%
n=10
Over 86.5 pts60%
n=10
Under 86.5 pts40%
n=10
Over 91.5 pts20%
n=10
Under 91.5 pts80%
🔥 70%+n=10
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 162.590%
🔥 70%+n=10
Under 162.510%
n=10
Over 172.550%
n=10
Under 172.550%
n=10
Over 182.530%
n=10
Under 182.570%
🔥 70%+n=10
Result markets
Win60%
n=10
Win by 6+ (-5.5)40%
n=10
Cover +5.560%
n=10
Win by 10+30%
n=10
Win the 1st half40%
n=10
Overtime0%
n=10
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.
🎯 5. Shooting profile
Over:
GAScoringtheir own shots, last 10 games
Where their points come from
Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
45.1
25.2
55.9%
55.6%
50.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
23.1
8.0
34.6%
35.3%
24.0
🏀Free throws
19.8
14.0
70.7%
70.8%
14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
GADefencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Gargzdai: 85.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.9
21.8
54.6%
55.6%
43.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
24.1
8.0
33.2%
35.3%
24.0
🏀Free throws
24.7
17.6
71.3%
70.8%
17.6
Their opponents take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
GAScoringtheir own shots, last 30 games
Where their points come from
Gargzdai: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Attempts per game
Made per game
Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
43.8
23.1
52.7%
55.6%
46.1
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
22.6
7.4
32.8%
35.3%
22.3
🏀Free throws
22.0
16.5
75.0%
70.8%
16.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
GADefencetheir opponents' shots, last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Gargzdai: 85.4 points a game allowed
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
38.7
20.8
53.7%
55.6%
41.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.6
8.3
31.4%
35.3%
25.0
🏀Free throws
26.1
18.9
72.5%
70.8%
18.9
Their opponents take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
this season, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.
🔮 7. Pythia's view
Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
📊 The record behind it
19-15favourite won / lost
Across 34 games of Gargzdai, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 56% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE
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