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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 83-84
24-29 21-19 21-17 17-19
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game82.4
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 76
H09/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 76
H12/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
89-95
89
95
-6
88avg 76
A17/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-102
82
102
-20
81avg 76
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
61avg 76
H22/05
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
81avg 76
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
81avg 76
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 76
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 76
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
71-65
71
65
+6
65avg 76
A10/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
19-24
24-14
21-19
22-22
14-19
31-21
23-33
27-24
17-29
18-25
27-17
17-22
18-31
17-24
30-25
14-32
18-25
26-15
17-18
18-16
20-25
11-26
32-14
18-19
19-18
21-18
27-10
14-22
23-14
21-22
13-19
16-20
17-28
17-22
13-9
20-13
13-15
14-15
24-22
163.5Avg total
80.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.276.0153.2+1.250%
Season at home (2)74.072.0146.0+2.050%
Season away (2)80.580.0160.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)80.283.3163.5-3.130%
Last 5 (5)76.076.2152.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)82.891.5174.3-8.726%
vs Similar (6)80.783.2163.8-2.550%
vs Weaker (1)85.065.0150.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 83
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 83
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
56avg 83
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 83
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 83
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 83
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 83
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 83
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 83
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 83
H13/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
28-26
22-16
20-22
21-18
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
163.4Avg total
81.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.482.4164.8+0.040%
Season at home (3)85.779.7165.3+6.067%
Season away (2)77.586.5164.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)81.981.5163.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)83.281.2164.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
vs Similar (12)83.282.3165.5+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.986.3177.1+4.653%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A17/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A20/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
H22/05
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/09
LKL
Nevezis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/09
LKL
Tindastoll
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
ENBL
Siauliai
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H03/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/10
LKL
79.7Avg total
36.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.884.5-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.543.783.1-4.240%-
Last 30 away (15)40.045.985.9-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.179.7-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.073.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.846.386.1-6.430%-
vs Similar (6)39.840.580.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker (1)37.037.074.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
82.5Avg total
43.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.742.087.8+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.342.389.6+5.161%-
Last 30 away (12)43.341.785.0+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.782.5+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.050.391.3-9.30%-
vs Similar (12)44.138.282.3+5.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.043.491.4+4.660%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.4
55.7%
55.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.4
30.8%
35.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
70.8%14.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.9
51.2%
55.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
35.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.816.8
77.1%
70.8%16.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLLWLLLLLW
Neptunas
WLLWLLWLWW
#8
League position
#4
-3.4
Net rating
+0.0
93.9
Offensive rating
95.2
97.3
Defensive rating
95.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.8%
3-point %
34.5%
62.5%
Assist %
61.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 95.2Defence97.3 · 95.2Shooting52.1% · 51.4%3-point %30.8% · 34.5%Ball care15.3% · 15.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
17/05/26Neptunas v Jonava95-89
21/03/26Jonava v Neptunas81-64
07/12/25Jonava v Neptunas117-124 OT
26/10/25Neptunas v Jonava117-113
20/05/25Jonava v Neptunas93-98 OT
05/04/25Neptunas v Jonava97-98
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ALietkabelis71-65
03/10/26HSiauliai63-79
27/09/26HTindastoll71-77
22/09/26HNevezis85-65
19/09/26ATaurage90-95 OT
22/05/26HZalgiris Kaunas75-90
20/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas82-102
17/05/26ANeptunas89-95
12/05/26HJuventus90-95
09/05/26HSiauliai86-70
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87
23/09/26HJuventus99-84
20/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas69-93
13/06/26ALietkabelis91-82
11/06/26HLietkabelis66-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.274.080.5
Allowed / game76.072.080.0
Point differential+1.2+2.0+0.5
Avg total153.2146.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game82.485.777.5
Allowed / game82.479.786.5
Point differential+0.0+6.0-9.0
Avg total164.8165.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas550100%93.874.4+19.4
2 Gargzdai54180%92.287.8+4.4
3 Rytas32167%94.390.0+4.3
4 Jonava42250%77.276.0+1.2
5 Siauliai63350%82.882.8+0.0
6 Juventus52340%84.884.0+0.8
7 Neptunas52340%82.482.4+0.0
8 Lietkabelis52340%75.883.0-7.2
9 Taurage41325%83.292.5-9.2
10 Nevezis4040%70.087.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2421211783
Neptunas2919171984
← all games of the day
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