PythiaBasketballBETA
ENBL· Jonavos sporto arena
Jonava will host Lausanne Basket on 18 November 2026 in the ENBL, and the Pythia model names Jonava the clear favourite, rating them 86% to win because their 1-1 season record and 75.5 points per game outpace Lausanne's 0-5 record and 73.8 points per game; Jonava's 9th league position versus Lausanne's 18th also weighs heavily. Jonava's season shows a 1-1 record, 75.5 points scored and 72.0 allowed per game, while their only home game was a 71.0-77.0 loss; their last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent 94-82 victory over Juventus. Lausanne's season is 0-5, 73.8 points scored and 87.8 allowed per game, their road record is 0-3 with 77.0 points scored and 85.7 allowed; in their last five they also have two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 91-73 win over Lugano Tigers. The teams have met once before, with Lausanne winning that encounter. Pythia projects a 89-77 score for Jonava, a total of 166.3 points, and gives Jonava an 86% chance to win and a 14% chance for Lausanne; the model also gives a 3% probability of overtime. The home team's line is 89-77, and Pythia estimates a 0% chance that Jonava covers the spread. Lausanne's recent road win over Lugano Tigers shows they can surprise, but Jonava's higher scoring average and better defensive record make them the likely victor.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 75.5 | 72.0 | 147.5 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 71.0 | 77.0 | 148.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| Season away (1) | 80.0 | 67.0 | 147.0 | +13.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.7 | 78.7 | 155.4 | -2.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.8 | 83.4 | 162.2 | -4.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (22) | 82.9 | 90.0 | 172.8 | -7.1 | 27% |
| vs Similar (6) | 82.2 | 83.0 | 165.2 | -0.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 82.5 | 66.0 | 148.5 | +16.5 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 73.8 | 87.8 | 161.6 | -14.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 69.0 | 91.0 | 160.0 | -22.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 77.0 | 85.7 | 162.7 | -8.7 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.3 | 82.8 | 162.1 | -3.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.4 | 81.4 | 158.8 | -4.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 71.1 | 93.1 | 164.2 | -22.0 | 9% |
| vs Similar (12) | 81.5 | 83.8 | 165.3 | -2.3 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 92.4 | 76.7 | 169.1 | +15.7 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 43.7 | 84.0 | -3.4 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.0 | 42.6 | 83.6 | -1.6 | 44% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 39.6 | 45.0 | 84.6 | -5.4 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.3 | 40.4 | 77.7 | -3.1 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.6 | 41.4 | 79.0 | -3.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (22) | 40.6 | 45.0 | 85.5 | -4.4 | 32% | - |
| vs Similar (6) | 40.5 | 41.2 | 81.7 | -0.7 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (2) | 37.0 | 37.5 | 74.5 | -0.5 | 0% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.1 | 44.1 | 85.1 | -3.0 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 41.8 | 42.8 | 84.5 | -1.0 | 46% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.5 | 45.1 | 85.6 | -4.5 | 24% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.3 | 42.0 | 83.3 | -0.7 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 43.0 | 82.8 | -3.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 34.6 | 48.3 | 82.9 | -13.6 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 42.2 | 44.6 | 86.8 | -2.4 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 49.3 | 36.6 | 85.9 | +12.7 | 86% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.8 | 19.2 | 53.5% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.8 | 8.1 | 32.5% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.5 | 14.5 | 70.7% | 14.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 46.5 | 25.5 | 53.5% | 51.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 17.9 | 5.8 | 32.5% | 17.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.8 | 13.8 | 70.7% | 13.8 |
Jonava
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Gargzdai | 70-91 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Rytas | 87-91 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Juventus | 94-82 |
| 28/10/26 | A | CIU | 80-67 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas | 63-86 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Neptunas | 83-84 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Lietkabelis | 71-65 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Siauliai | 63-79 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Tindastoll | 71-77 |
| 22/09/26 | H | Nevezis | 85-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Tindastoll | 69-79 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Fribourg Olympic | 75-92 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Lugano Tigers | 91-73 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Sdent BBC Nyon | 85-75 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Syntainics MBC | 67-88 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Regio Basel | 85-69 |
| 14/10/26 | A | CIU | 88-97 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Geneva Lions | 65-94 |
| 06/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 74-81 |
| 03/10/26 | H | BBC Monthey | 94-80 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LW | 50% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Points / game | 75.5 | 71.0 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.0 | 77.0 | 67.0 |
| Point differential | +3.5 | -6.0 | +13.0 |
| Avg total | 147.5 | 148.0 | 147.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 73.8 | 69.0 | 77.0 |
| Allowed / game | 87.8 | 91.0 | 85.7 |
| Point differential | -14.0 | -22.0 | -8.7 |
| Avg total | 161.6 | 160.0 | 162.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Syntainics MBC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 100.5 | 79.2 | +21.2 |
| 2 |  Tindastoll | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.2 | 69.2 | +14.0 |
| 3 |  Spartak Pleven | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 77.2 | 72.2 | +5.0 |
| 4 |  AEL | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 77.5 | 67.2 | +10.2 |
| 5 |  Voluntari | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 86.0 | 85.8 | +0.2 |
| 6 |  Kapfenberg Bulls | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 96.3 | 87.0 | +9.3 |
| 7 |  Anwil Wloclawek | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 89.0 | 82.0 | +7.0 |
| 8 |  Donar Groningen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 83.2 | 82.4 | +0.8 |
| 9 | Jonava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.5 | 72.0 | +3.5 |
| 10 |  Bristol Flyers | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.5 | 82.2 | -2.8 |
| 11 |  Tal Tech | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 78.8 | -0.6 |
| 12 |  CIU | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.0 | -3.0 |
| 13 |  Alkar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 90.7 | -6.0 |
| 14 |  Dubrava | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.3 | 88.0 | -10.7 |
| 15 |  BK Liepaja | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 89.8 | -13.5 |
| 16 |  Fyllingen | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 74.8 | 85.4 | -10.6 |
| 17 |  Zrinjski Mostar | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 77.5 | 82.0 | -4.5 |
| 18 | Lausanne Basket | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 73.8 | 87.8 | -14.0 |
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