PythiaBasketballBETA
Jonava will host Rytas in the LKL on 5 November 2026, with the model favouring Rytas and predicting a 74% chance of a win for the visitors and a 26% chance for the home side, projecting a final score of 80-88 and a total of 167.6 points; the game carries a 4% chance of overtime. Jonava, sitting sixth in the league after seven games, has a 3-4 record, averages 78.4 points and allows 79.4, and at home they are 2-2 with 81.2 points for and 77.5 against; their last five games included wins over Juventus and CIU and a loss to Zalgiris Kaunas. Rytas, in second place with a 4-2 record, averages 90.8 points and concedes 85.2, and on the road they are undefeated 3-0, scoring 89.3 and allowing 78.3; their last five games saw four wins and one loss, including a home loss to Zalgiris Kaunas and wins over Trabzonspor and Juventus.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 78.4 | 79.4 | 157.9 | -1.0 | 43% |
| Season at home (4) | 81.2 | 77.5 | 158.8 | +3.8 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 74.7 | 82.0 | 156.7 | -7.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.5 | 79.0 | 156.5 | -1.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 76.8 | 155.0 | +1.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 82.2 | 89.6 | 171.8 | -7.4 | 27% |
| vs Similar (6) | 82.2 | 83.0 | 165.2 | -0.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 82.5 | 66.0 | 148.5 | +16.5 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 90.8 | 85.2 | 176.0 | +5.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 92.3 | 92.0 | 184.3 | +0.3 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 89.3 | 78.3 | 167.7 | +11.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.4 | 85.9 | 174.3 | +2.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.8 | 82.0 | 172.8 | +8.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 76.2 | 90.0 | 166.2 | -13.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (8) | 93.1 | 82.9 | 176.0 | +10.2 | 88% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 92.3 | 84.7 | 176.9 | +7.6 | 72% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 44.0 | 83.9 | -4.1 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.9 | 43.1 | 84.0 | -2.1 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.9 | 44.9 | 83.7 | -6.0 | 27% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.3 | 41.6 | 77.9 | -5.3 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.2 | 39.4 | 76.6 | -2.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 40.0 | 45.3 | 85.3 | -5.3 | 32% | - |
| vs Similar (6) | 40.5 | 41.2 | 81.7 | -0.7 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 37.0 | 37.5 | 74.5 | -0.5 | 0% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.0 | 42.0 | 86.1 | +2.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 45.1 | 39.8 | 84.9 | +5.4 | 75% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.8 | 44.6 | 87.4 | -1.9 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.0 | 41.0 | 85.0 | +3.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.4 | 39.2 | 84.6 | +6.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 37.2 | 44.2 | 81.5 | -7.0 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (8) | 41.1 | 40.0 | 81.1 | +1.1 | 62% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 46.8 | 42.4 | 89.3 | +4.4 | 67% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.8 | 19.2 | 55.6% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.8 | 8.1 | 35.3% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.5 | 14.5 | 70.8% | 14.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.1 | 20.6 | 55.6% | 41.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.4 | 9.3 | 35.3% | 27.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 27.6 | 18.8 | 70.8% | 18.8 |
Jonava
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 | Rytas v Jonava | 98-81 |
| 07/02/26 | Jonava v Rytas | 84-101 |
| 22/11/25 | Jonava v Rytas | 71-105 |
| 09/11/25 | Rytas v Jonava | 104-72 |
| 29/04/25 | Rytas v Jonava | 112-82 |
| 21/04/25 | Jonava v Rytas | 99-104 |
| 25/01/25 | Rytas v Jonava | 84-80 |
| 03/11/24 | Jonava v Rytas | 74-94 |
| 15/05/24 | Jonava v Rytas | 90-96 |
| 13/05/24 | Rytas v Jonava | 110-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Juventus | 94-82 |
| 28/10/26 | A | CIU | 80-67 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas | 63-86 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Neptunas | 83-84 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Lietkabelis | 71-65 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Siauliai | 63-79 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Tindastoll | 71-77 |
| 22/09/26 | H | Nevezis | 85-65 |
| 19/09/26 | A | Taurage | 90-95 OT |
| 22/05/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas | 75-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas | 89-94 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Trabzonspor | 97-81 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Juventus | 94-76 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Taurage | 79-71 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Siauliai | 95-88 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Nanterre | 65-93 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Neptunas | 86-77 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Sabah Baku | 82-73 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Gargzdai | 102-105 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Juventus | 95-101 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 43% |
| Home | WLLW | 50% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 78.4 | 81.2 | 74.7 |
| Allowed / game | 79.4 | 77.5 | 82.0 |
| Point differential | -1.0 | +3.8 | -7.3 |
| Avg total | 157.9 | 158.8 | 156.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 67% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 90.8 | 92.3 | 89.3 |
| Allowed / game | 85.2 | 92.0 | 78.3 |
| Point differential | +5.7 | +0.3 | +11.0 |
| Avg total | 176.0 | 184.3 | 167.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zalgiris Kaunas | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 93.1 | 75.0 | +18.1 |
| 2 | Rytas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 90.8 | 85.2 | +5.7 |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 88.8 | 88.2 | +0.5 |
| 4 |  Neptunas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 85.6 | 85.2 | +0.4 |
| 5 |  Lietkabelis | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 78.9 | 81.1 | -2.2 |
| 6 | Jonava | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 78.4 | 79.4 | -1.0 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 85.2 | 87.2 | -2.0 |
| 8 |  Siauliai | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 83.2 | 87.2 | -4.0 |
| 9 | Taurage | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 81.4 | 87.8 | -6.4 |
| 10 |  Nevezis | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 73.6 | 82.4 | -8.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonava | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 87 |
| Rytas | 27 | 22 | 12 | 30 | 91 |
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