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Jonava vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 81-70
25-14 18-15 24-22 14-19
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.0
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lithuania
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game79.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes
16 Dec 2023
JON84
PZV89
06 Mar 2023
JON84
PZV77
26 Oct 2022
JON81
PZV70
02 Apr 2022
JON91
PZV82
20 Dec 2021
JON77
PZV69
13 Oct 2020
JON77
PZV89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 65
H06/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
65-79
65
79
-14
52avg 65
A08/05
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
no box
A24/09
LKL
SCM Craiova
#25
L
59-65
59
65
-6
no box
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-64
71
64
+7
64avg 65
H01/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
80-62
80
62
+18
80avg 65
H07/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
92-90
92
90
+2
83avg 65
A10/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 65
A15/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 65
H22/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
25-19
15-14
19-21
7-26
19-17
18-23
21-13
19-14
14-15
12-22
22-16
19-13
14-25
14-18
12-9
25-20
18-14
17-15
11-15
17-16
26-14
16-18
21-14
17-23
21-24
25-21
29-22
14-10
16-26
17-12
31-23
24-23
15-17
18-14
25-26
19-22
21-23
26-22
16-17
150.0Avg total
75.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.080.0162.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)82.080.0162.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.974.1150.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)82.877.4160.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.885.3160.1-10.530%
vs Similar (14)76.377.2153.5-0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.886.2179.0+6.6100%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 72
A22/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
69-82
69
82
-13
60avg 72
H24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
67-89
67
89
-22
55avg 72
H28/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
52avg 72
A25/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
90avg 72
H27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
no box
A03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
90-92
90
92
-2
85avg 72
H10/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 72
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
no box
H23/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
30-10
17-24
22-27
11-27
18-12
28-18
12-25
16-15
20-18
18-23
13-33
15-19
15-18
24-26
20-23
20-18
25-19
25-21
27-34
16-15
19-18
17-26
26-19
23-17
24-21
21-25
22-29
18-19
11-23
17-17
23-17
19-21
22-21
27-19
5-18
27-23
24-21
17-26
22-20
171.2Avg total
83.3Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.079.0152.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.079.0152.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)83.387.9171.2-4.640%
Last 5 (5)87.889.6177.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.991.5173.3-9.627%
vs Similar (12)87.186.5173.6+0.650%
vs Weaker (3)82.782.7165.3+0.033%
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -5.3-5.3
JonavaPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H06/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A08/05
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A24/09
LKL
SCM Craiova
#25
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H01/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H07/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H22/10
LKL
74.0Avg total
36.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.078.5-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.381.0+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)34.341.776.0-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.974.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.241.676.8-6.420%-
vs Similar (14)38.940.479.4-1.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A22/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H28/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A25/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A03/10
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H23/10
LKL
76.7Avg total
39.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.282.6+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.541.185.6+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)38.641.379.9-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.676.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.880.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.742.682.3-2.947%-
vs Similar (12)45.340.786.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (3)33.736.770.3-3.033%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.1
56.4%
55.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
34.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.7
74.1%
74.2%13.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.2
51.1%
55.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.5
37.8%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.6
78.0%
74.2%15.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWWWWWLWLL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
WLLLWWLLLW
#3
League position
#10
+2.6
Net rating
-0.7
105.8
Offensive rating
110.4
103.2
Defensive rating
111.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.0%
3-point %
37.8%
63.2%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 110.4Defence103.2 · 111.1Shooting50.2% · 53.0%3-point %27.0% · 37.8%Ball care17.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Jonava   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
2
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
DateGameScore
10/10/22Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava90-92
02/04/22Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes91-82
20/12/21Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes77-69
11/10/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava76-80
26/10/20Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava91-76
13/10/20Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes77-89
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/22HJuventus82-84
19/10/22HNevezis82-80
15/10/22ARytas78-71
10/10/22APieno Zvaigzdes92-90
07/10/22HBC Wolves80-62
01/10/22HNevezis71-64
27/09/22ASCM Craiova59-65
24/09/22APrienai80-74 OT
08/05/22ASiauliai65-79
06/05/22HSiauliai70-72
Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22HPrienai115-110 OT
20/10/22ASiauliai73-79
16/10/22ABC Wolves69-76
10/10/22HJonava90-92
03/10/22ANeptunas92-91 OT
27/09/22HGargzdai97-92
25/09/22ALietkabelis74-86
28/04/22HSiauliai67-89
24/04/22HNeptunas69-82
22/04/22ALietkabelis87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Pieno Zvaigzdes
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus110100%107.077.0+30.0
2 Siauliai110100%79.073.0+6.0
3 Neptunas110100%85.081.0+4.0
4 Jonava110100%82.080.0+2.0
5 Nevezis1010%80.082.0-2.0
6 BC Wolves1010%81.085.0-4.0
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes1010%73.079.0-6.0
8 Prienai1010%77.0107.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2518241481
Pieno Zvaigzdes1415221970
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