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Jonava vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 91-82
31-22 19-23 23-21 18-16
Position#4
Record12-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.2
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#9
Record5-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game87.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes
16 Dec 2023
JON84
PZV89
06 Mar 2023
JON84
PZV77
26 Oct 2022
JON81
PZV70
02 Apr 2022
JON91
PZV82
20 Dec 2021
JON77
PZV69
13 Oct 2020
JON77
PZV89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-68
59
68
-9
no box
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
87-75
87
75
+12
72avg 69
A24/01
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
100-95
100
95
+5
99avg 69
A05/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
81-73
81
73
+8
67avg 69
A17/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
71-103
71
103
-32
no box
A03/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
62-79
62
79
-17
45avg 69
H06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
60avg 69
A13/03
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 69
H20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
49avg 69
A26/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 69
H29/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-18
19-15
18-12
15-23
21-7
22-24
25-20
19-24
21-21
17-24
27-19
35-31
18-18
23-18
23-19
17-18
11-29
20-20
24-27
16-27
26-17
16-20
12-26
8-16
23-28
20-24
19-19
8-22
18-18
23-23
16-20
10-30
14-24
17-21
19-18
28-12
25-14
21-22
20-19
20-25
159.3Avg total
76.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.081.2158.2-4.248%
Season at home (12)76.178.2154.3-2.250%
Season away (13)77.883.8161.7-6.046%
Last 10 (10)76.183.2159.3-7.150%
Last 5 (5)72.683.6156.2-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.085.7156.7-14.710%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.278.7154.9-2.556%
vs Weaker (4)90.579.0169.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
A28/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
87-88
87
88
-1
88avg 73
H10/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
23avg 73
A24/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
108-90
108
90
+18
106avg 73
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
70-99
70
99
-29
59avg 73
A06/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 73
H12/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
76avg 73
H16/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
66-99
66
99
-33
51avg 73
A12/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
86avg 73
A19/03
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
106-102 OT
106
102
+4
no box
H27/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
11-24
21-23
28-22
24-21
32-18
19-24
12-25
22-27
16-20
22-26
26-19
24-30
29-14
24-19
31-27
16-33
21-23
22-15
11-28
20-16
17-20
20-19
21-26
17-25
23-26
23-27
20-24
12-28
26-24
14-22
14-25
18-18
33-18
18-29
23-20
15-20
23-24
28-22
26-26
178.0Avg total
85.1Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.687.7167.3-8.222%
Season at home (11)83.789.3173.0-5.518%
Season away (12)75.886.3162.1-10.625%
Last 10 (10)85.192.9178.0-7.830%
Last 5 (5)85.093.8178.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.392.7170.0-15.48%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.883.2163.0-3.317%
vs Weaker (5)86.476.8163.2+9.660%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
JonavaPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A24/01
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A05/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A17/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A03/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A13/03
LKL
Rytas
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A26/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H29/03
LKL
78.7Avg total
38.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.577.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.337.778.0+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.641.177.7-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.578.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.240.276.4-4.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.539.878.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker (4)42.837.079.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A28/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H10/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A06/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H16/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A12/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A19/03
LKL
Prienai
#11
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H27/03
LKL
86.5Avg total
41.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.380.8-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.740.582.1+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)37.442.179.5-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.445.186.5-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.846.083.8-8.231%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.838.280.1+3.658%-
vs Weaker (5)38.436.274.6+2.260%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.7
53.0%
53.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.0
28.9%
33.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
76.8%
73.1%14.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.3
51.0%
53.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.8
33.3%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.616.2
71.7%
73.1%16.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WWLLLLWWWL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
WWLLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#9
-10.0
Net rating
-12.0
103.2
Offensive rating
102.3
113.2
Defensive rating
114.3
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.9%
3-point %
33.3%
62.1%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 102.3Defence113.2 · 114.3Shooting48.8% · 50.6%3-point %28.9% · 33.3%Ball care17.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Jonava   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jonava wins
2
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
DateGameScore
20/12/21Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes77-69
11/10/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava76-80
26/10/20Pieno Zvaigzdes v Jonava91-76
13/10/20Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes77-89
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/22HJuventus86-80
26/03/22ANeptunas78-75
20/03/22HRytas67-91
13/03/22AZalgiris Kaunas70-93
06/03/22HSiauliai62-79
03/03/22ALietkabelis71-103
17/02/22AAlytaus Dzukija81-73
05/02/22ANevezis100-95
24/01/22ANeptunas87-75
18/01/22AZalgiris Kaunas59-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HPrienai106-102 OT
19/03/22ANevezis92-85
12/03/22ARytas66-99
16/02/22HZalgiris Kaunas83-102
12/02/22HPrienai78-81
06/02/22AZalgiris Kaunas70-99
31/01/22HSiauliai108-90
24/01/22AAlytaus Dzukija86-92
10/01/22HNevezis87-88
28/12/21ARytas75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%50%46%
Points / game77.076.177.8
Allowed / game81.278.283.8
Point differential-4.2-2.2-6.0
Avg total158.2154.3161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW22%
HomeLWLLW18%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%18%25%
Points / game79.683.775.8
Allowed / game87.789.386.3
Point differential-8.2-5.5-10.6
Avg total167.3173.0162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%87.174.6+12.5
2 Rytas2421388%90.174.5+15.5
3 Lietkabelis2520580%83.873.7+10.0
4 Siauliai23121152%81.180.7+0.4
5 Juventus24121250%84.683.2+1.4
6 Jonava25121348%77.081.2-4.2
7 Neptunas24101442%77.080.7-3.6
8 Alytaus Dzukija24101442%76.780.7-4.0
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes2351822%79.687.7-8.2
10 Nevezis2351822%78.888.1-9.3
11 Prienai2532212%76.687.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava3119231891
Pieno Zvaigzdes2223211682
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