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Jonava vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-77
18-24 28-23 25-16 13-14
Position#6
Record11-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game79.0
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#10
Record4-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game88.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Pieno Zvaigzdes
16 Dec 2023
JON84
PZV89
06 Mar 2023
JON84
PZV77
26 Oct 2022
JON81
PZV70
02 Apr 2022
JON91
PZV82
20 Dec 2021
JON77
PZV69
13 Oct 2020
JON77
PZV89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 71
A07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
69avg 71
A15/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 71
A29/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
83-66
83
66
+17
85avg 71
H01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 71
H04/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
83-91
83
91
-8
76avg 71
A12/02
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 71
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
27-19
18-23
20-26
15-18
25-10
19-22
10-18
21-18
15-16
16-21
24-20
22-12
21-26
13-24
24-14
19-22
20-19
21-14
23-11
15-14
20-18
12-19
15-24
27-25
21-23
23-26
12-17
24-21
27-17
10-21
13-26
25-15
15-30
28-18
24-23
17-26
16-14
23-15
21-26
156.9Avg total
78.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.379.0159.3+1.355%
Season at home (10)78.177.4155.5+0.740%
Season away (10)82.680.6163.2+2.070%
Last 10 (10)78.078.9156.9-0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.683.6161.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.675.0151.6+1.662%
vs Similar (13)83.081.9164.9+1.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.177.9159.0+3.275%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-84
61
84
-23
47avg 68
A11/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 68
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 68
A22/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
73avg 68
H08/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
65-83
65
83
-18
53avg 68
A16/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
56avg 68
A30/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
84avg 68
H05/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
63avg 68
H11/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-107
72
107
-35
56avg 68
H14/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
30-23
27-24
9-24
14-19
18-21
13-21
16-23
20-25
15-26
17-19
19-20
22-26
15-27
18-19
22-21
24-17
13-22
22-16
16-21
20-26
19-15
7-25
19-17
17-18
17-22
10-14
25-25
18-16
22-15
25-31
26-23
15-25
15-13
22-18
19-21
11-26
21-36
27-27
13-18
159.7Avg total
73.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.788.1165.8-10.421%
Season at home (11)82.391.0173.3-8.727%
Season away (8)71.584.1155.6-12.612%
Last 10 (10)73.885.9159.7-12.120%
Last 5 (5)73.686.2159.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.387.8165.1-10.518%
vs Similar (8)86.286.5172.8-0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
JonavaPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A15/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A29/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/02
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H14/02
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
79.2Avg total
41.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.380.1+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.536.778.2+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.081.9+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.179.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.236.274.5+2.062%-
vs Similar (13)43.840.784.5+3.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.036.679.6+6.462%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H17/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A22/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A30/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H11/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-62
32
62
-30
H14/02
LKL
79.8Avg total
36.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.878.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.741.480.1-2.653%-
Last 30 away (13)36.840.176.9-3.223%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.279.8-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.477.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.540.677.1-4.036%-
vs Similar (8)41.641.483.0+0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.8
55.3%
54.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.1
36.5%
35.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.314.0
76.5%
74.2%14.0
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.215.0
49.7%
54.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.8
33.9%
35.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.8
73.6%
74.2%14.8
They take 53.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWLLLWWWWL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLWLLLLLLW
#6
League position
#10
-4.2
Net rating
-17.1
106.6
Offensive rating
98.6
110.8
Defensive rating
115.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.2%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.5%
3-point %
33.9%
65.4%
Assist %
58.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 98.6Defence110.8 · 115.7Shooting55.1% · 50.2%3-point %36.5% · 33.9%Ball care19.1% · 20.2%Off. rebounds23.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Jonava   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
2
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas77-81
18/02/23ARytas92-86
14/02/23HPrienai74-85
12/02/23ANevezis83-91
04/02/23HRytas62-75
01/02/23HNeptunas83-66
29/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-76
21/01/23HNeptunas76-75
15/01/23AGargzdai69-68
07/01/23ALietkabelis84-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23HRytas72-107
11/02/23HLietkabelis71-77
05/02/23HNeptunas91-85
30/01/23AGargzdai69-79
16/01/23ANevezis65-83
08/01/23HSiauliai75-76
22/12/22AJuventus77-93
17/12/22HBC Wolves71-90
11/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas61-84
01/12/22HNevezis86-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayLLWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%40%70%
Points / game80.378.182.6
Allowed / game79.077.480.6
Point differential+1.4+0.7+2.0
Avg total159.3155.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %21%27%12%
Points / game77.782.371.5
Allowed / game88.191.084.1
Point differential-10.4-8.7-12.6
Avg total165.8173.3155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2118386%86.471.5+14.9
2 Rytas2015575%89.281.2+8.1
3 BC Wolves2115671%85.179.7+5.4
4 Juventus2114767%85.682.8+2.8
5 Lietkabelis2113862%85.583.2+2.2
6 Jonava2011955%80.379.0+1.4
7 Siauliai20101050%84.285.1-0.9
8 Nevezis2191243%82.084.2-2.1
9 Neptunas2081240%77.881.8-4.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1941521%77.788.1-10.4
11 Gargzdai2141719%78.685.6-7.0
12 Prienai2121910%78.089.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1828251384
Pieno Zvaigzdes2423161477
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