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Jurbarkas vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-82
17-26 20-15 20-25 23-16
Position#4
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.9
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
vs
Telsiai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game76.7
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Telsiai
07 Nov 2026
JURB102
TELS101
29 Nov 2025
JURB74
TELS88
25 Jan 2025
JURB100
TELS97
10 Feb 2024
JURB83
TELS89
28 Oct 2023
JURB80
TELS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Telsiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
77avg 78
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 78
A07/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
58avg 78
H12/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
64avg 78
A14/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 78
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
94-80
94
80
+14
91avg 78
A21/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 78
A25/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
14-21
21-22
19-22
19-23
32-20
23-17
16-22
8-20
16-18
14-21
32-14
20-20
22-23
17-17
16-12
19-19
20-25
15-24
25-5
21-21
24-15
27-25
22-19
23-22
22-20
24-26
21-10
159.6Avg total
82.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.776.9159.6+5.986%
Season at home (3)76.775.3152.0+1.367%
Season away (4)87.278.0165.2+9.2100%
Last 10 (7)82.776.9159.6+5.986%
Last 5 (5)81.675.2156.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (5)79.875.6155.4+4.280%
vs Weaker (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#10
W
77-51
77
51
+26
no box
H05/04
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#10
W
78-68
78
68
+10
no box
A08/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
H21/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
H22/04
NKL
Silute
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 90
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
80-78
80
78
+2
78avg 90
H10/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
90-89
90
89
+1
90avg 90
A14/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
107-71
107
71
+36
113avg 90
H19/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
100-80
100
80
+20
95avg 90
A21/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
95avg 90
H26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
17-15
13-10
22-8
17-22
21-20
18-10
22-16
21-19
15-7
17-29
18-24
25-17
20-13
16-22
14-22
17-18
13-18
15-18
32-12
28-14
13-23
17-21
22-20
27-19
19-23
27-23
17-24
33-11
29-22
28-19
17-19
23-25
22-14
25-20
30-21
22-24
23-10
18-20
25-22
157.5Avg total
84.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.376.7167.0+13.7100%
Season at home (3)91.775.0166.7+16.7100%
Season away (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.373.2157.5+11.190%
Last 5 (5)93.078.8171.8+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.376.0148.3-3.767%
vs Similar (5)75.681.6157.2-6.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.471.6155.0+11.877%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
JurbarkasTelsiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H12/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/10
NKL
81.3Avg total
41.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)41.040.381.3+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (3)34.739.374.0-4.733%-
Last 30 away (4)45.841.086.8+4.875%-
Last 10 (7)41.040.381.3+0.757%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.679.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (5)38.239.477.6-1.240%-
vs Weaker (1)51.043.094.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/04
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H22/04
NKL
Silute
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A14/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H19/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A21/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H26/10
NKL
78.2Avg total
43.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.877.4+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.733.274.9+8.581%-
Last 30 away (14)39.440.980.2-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.035.278.2+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)47.837.084.8+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.337.076.3+2.367%-
vs Similar (5)36.637.474.0-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.736.678.3+5.173%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.0
52.2%
51.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.1
35.2%
33.3%27.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.1
74.8%
70.3%16.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.3
59.3%
51.9%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.010.0
41.7%
33.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.4%
70.3%15.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWWWLWW
Telsiai
WWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#2
+6.7
Net rating
+17.5
109.5
Offensive rating
116.6
102.7
Defensive rating
99.0
52.4%
Effective FG%
60.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.2%
3-point %
41.7%
70.6%
Assist %
71.1%
86%
Form (last 7/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 116.6Defence102.7 · 99.0Shooting52.4% · 60.5%3-point %35.2% · 41.7%Ball care17.1% · 20.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 31.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 7/10)86% · 90%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Telsiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jurbarkas wins
0
Telsiai wins
No previous meetings.
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga90-78
21/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis94-80
19/10/23HVytis VDU79-73
14/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-72
12/10/23HUkmerges Stekas70-73
07/10/23ANeptunas 290-82
05/10/23HKauno Atletas81-80
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HVilkaviskis88-76
21/10/23ARytas 2100-80
19/10/23HDelikatesas Joniskis107-71
14/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga90-89
10/10/23HVytis VDU80-78
05/10/23ASilute77-66
22/04/23HSuduva-Mantinga75-74
21/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas 271-79
08/04/23AKauno Atletas78-68
05/04/23HKauno Atletas77-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game82.776.787.2
Allowed / game76.975.378.0
Point differential+5.9+1.3+9.2
Avg total159.6152.0165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Telsiai
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.391.789.0
Allowed / game76.775.078.3
Point differential+13.7+16.7+10.7
Avg total167.0166.7167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai660100%90.376.7+13.7
2 BC Olimpas Palanga87188%85.974.1+11.8
3 Jurbarkas76186%82.776.9+5.9
4 Suduva-Mantinga65183%84.572.8+11.7
5 Vilkaviskis85362%79.676.4+3.2
6 Delikatesas Joniskis74357%78.683.3-4.7
7 Ukmerges Stekas84450%73.475.9-2.5
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 283538%77.175.5+1.6
9 Silute83538%78.982.6-3.8
10 Kauno Atletas83538%77.081.8-4.8
11 Vytis VDU62433%85.784.7+1.0
12 Kretinga82625%77.083.5-6.5
13 Neptunas 281712%79.987.8-7.9
14 Rytas 281712%74.886.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas1720202380
Telsiai2615251682
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